wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This is a New England special. I think everywhere west of the Hudson will generally under perform, especially NW NJ. The phase is just a tad late in my opinion. It's not opinion. The phase was a tad bit late. More snow coming though, even if its only a couple of inches. PA band is now getting tugged into the NYC deform and we should all be ripping again in an hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I like it. About 8" here (And just a sidenote...the butthurtdness needs to stop. Its a freaking snowstorm. If you're gonna b*tch and moan, just log off. This thread is the reason our sub-forum is always laughed at) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYStorm Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The storm is definitely not a bust. I have 8" here in Westchester with hours of snow to come. I consider 12-18" a MECS here, and 18"+ a HECS. We're guaranteed a MECS in Westchester and may get a HECS. Great stuff! And I'm right next to you in Tarrytown with about the same. But have you seen the radar? Even TWC just expressed concerns about NYC being dryslotted. I'm a total amateur here, but seems to me that there is ample reason to be concerned right now. The western edge doesn't seem to be filling in as expected. Not saying we're done yet, but I'd like to see what happens over the next hour or so. Want to see what happens with the banding over LI ... and whether it heads west or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Heavy banding over LI and NY is breaking down. Those areas of heavy subsidence are now lifting and we should fill in nicely with 20-25 db bands. Too little too late though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Heavy band has passed Bridgeport CT and is quickly heading west. If this motion continues, Westchester is in for a show in 30-45 minutes. Great for you up there but down here in Nassau, this is quite the bust. No if's and's or but's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lisnow66 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Heavy banding over LI and NY is breaking down. Those areas of heavy subsidence are now lifting and we should fill in nicely with 20-25 db bands. Too little too late though. The main show looks to be heading northeast. Fat lady has begun to sing for Nassau on west. I think even PT/WXOUTLOOKS would agree with this. So close but yet so far. Moving on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Snow and sleet here..wow didn't expect that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 When is the last time you checked the radar? Folks down in south Jersey are starting to report snow again. Not over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Eastern PA filling in nicely on radar last few minutes Vivian Brown is a degreed met, unlike some people TWC has on, like Crystal Egger and a former Houston 'met' who got BA degrees and then took the 60 hour AMS certificate class from Miss State. 'Met for non science majors'. Mostly about working the green screen, loading graphics, planning a TV weather cast. You can look up the MSU 60 hour certificate class on the internet. Much of it can be taken online, only takes about a semester on campus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The main show looks to be heading northeast. Fat lady has begun to sing for Nassau on west. I think even PT/WXOUTLOOKS would agree with this. So close but yet so far. Moving on. I do agree. The phase up was too late and the southern system moved way too fast to allow for what most of the better models' solutions to work out. But this is not yet over, but there is hardly any way that it can live up to it's potential of 12-20". Most of Nassau & Queens would be lucky to see 6" at this point and some places may not even get to that. Some parts of eastern Nassau may barely squeeze out 6-8", but I think that's about it. Looking at the radar, it is really deceptive showing moderate to heavy returns over me (Douglaston) and western Nassau sitting rotating around, but looking outside, it does not verify. Very frustrating indeed. Too much dry air pushing in from the west as the coastal low zips out just se of Cape Cod. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I do agree. The phase up was too late and the southern system moved way too fast to allow for what most of the better models' solutions to work out. But this is not yet over, but there is hardly any way that it can live up to it's potential of 12-20". Most of Nassau & Queens would be lucky to see 6" at this point and some places may not even get to that. Some parts of eastern Nassau may barely squeeze out 6-8", but I think that's about it. Looking at the radar, it is really deceptive showing moderate to heavy returns over me (Douglaston) and western Nassau sitting rotating around, but looking outside, it does not verify. Very frustrating indeed. Too much dry air pushing in from the west as the coastal low zips out just se of Cape Cod. WX/PT i cant speak to nassau but i am in queens and have about 4 inches now, so id be shocked not to get to 6. a lot of queens is doing ok, not great but ok with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Not over good discussion but his forecast is based on the NAM and their totals and we know how dubious the NAM is, thats the problem, you can always cut those numbers way back he still has me in the 8-16 inch group.....I mean even if we get the nice banding its 3-6 IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingofQueens Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 From Queens and have only 2 inches. Why is the nws still so high on the totals? The snow just isn't accumulating. Have they given a reason why they think 9-10 inches will verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 good discussion but his forecast is based on the NAM and their totals and we know how dubious the NAM is, thats the problem, you can always cut those numbers way back he still has me in the 8-16 inch group.....I mean even if we get the nice banding its 3-6 IMBY I hear ya, the point was we aren't finished yet, people have this wrapped and we still have some to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 NWS was probably following the HRRR. It still shows 6-8 more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Congrats, Suffolk County! Where have I seen this before? Suffolk winning big, under a heavy band for a majority of time... Can anyone remind me of the date? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 for shts and giggles, what did the 0z nam spit out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This sub forum has some of the worse posters in the history of weather forums. I'm taking a break after this. It just incredible how self center and annoying some of you can be. you will be doing one of these next week - ( oh and by the way I am enjoying the non - event ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 From Queens and have only 2 inches. Why is the nws still so high on the totals? The snow just isn't accumulating. Have they given a reason why they think 9-10 inches will verify. They're very likely going to cut down shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 They're very likely going to cut down shortly. The intense snow lasts until about 3am, and you get about 1-1.5" per hour. That gives you 6-9" more on top of a general 2-4" that's fallen in Brooklyn, Queens, and Nassau. That verifies a forecast around a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 for shts and giggles, what did the 0z nam spit out? .5-.75 additional from sandy hook to high point and NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 0.68 for LGA, although that includes precip from 0Z. 0.98 ISP, ditto from 0Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
threeyoda Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Taken in Long Island at 6:20pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You guys are going to be happy soon. Pouring snow here in Bucks county where this band filled in and continues to fill in up your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Interesting watching the MEGA band over LI and CT moving westward. It is amazing how RED it is over CT. Looks like NYC will see a decent storm after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Interesting watching the MEGA band over LI and CT moving westward. It is amazing how RED it is over CT. Looks like NYC will see a decent storm after all. Seems like the band is weakening while moving west. Def moderate snow though. Still light sleet in souther nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 people I think spoke too soon. Many of us are seeing 0.5-1in/hr rates out here and will be for the next several hours. We could easily pick up 4-6 additional without any crazy band setting up. If we get a consolidated deform band than all bets are off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 euro and nam both had more than 1.0 after 7pm and about 0.5 from 10pm on. It looks like we'll be able to tack that much on and could very well bring a large area to close to 10 at 7pm central park was at 2.5. Since about 8 its been snowing 1in/hr so they're probably closing in on 4 or 5 at the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The intense snow lasts until about 3am, and you get about 1-1.5" per hour. That gives you 6-9" more on top of a general 2-4" that's fallen in Brooklyn, Queens, and Nassau. That verifies a forecast around a foot. We're not getting close to an inch an hour. But here's a nice pic: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 oh BY THE WAY ...TWC new figures for CPK projecting 3-6 ....any 1 still want 2 argue this isnt a major bust for NYC?? unbelievably Gregory of Fox still going with 7-12 & he is knowldegable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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