IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:34 PM, snywx said: Here on 233rd st in the BX there is about 3" Wind whipped Mod Snow falling Climatology works in mysterious ways. This happened back in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:35 PM, jm1220 said: Take a look at the radar-the back edge is stopping cold and you can already see perhaps the beginning of the backbuilding which will occur, as the northern vort and energy catches up to our storm. Watch for the radar west of us to start filling in quite a bit this evening as the phase finally occurs. Heavy snow could make it down to Philly for a time, but it will be short lived down there. There will likely be a very stark difference between the Philly area and ours by morning. The reverse of exactly 3 years ago to a couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Please post obs in the obs thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ummmm guys anybody realize that the precip rates are now over an inch of rain per hour estimated on Long Island? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:45 PM, YanksFan27 said: Ummmm guys anybody realize that the precip rates are now over an inch of rain per hour estimated on Long Island? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes I can confirm. YES IT'S RIPPING HERE RIGHT NOW . 50dbz snow band over me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ny747pilot Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:45 PM, YanksFan27 said: Ummmm guys anybody realize that the precip rates are now over an inch of rain per hour estimated on Long Island? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes that's snow brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hewwww. Back building. Mod snow. Started 4pm Long island this is gona be yours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:45 PM, YanksFan27 said: Ummmm guys anybody realize that the precip rates are now over an inch of rain per hour estimated on Long Island? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes bright banding is skewing that with the jumbo flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:45 PM, YanksFan27 said: Ummmm guys anybody realize that the precip rates are now over an inch of rain per hour estimated on Long Island? http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N1P&rid=okx&loop=yes That will bckbuild in NYC and eastern shore nj later tonite. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z GFS has this only down to 988mb by 00z. It's already sub 984. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:41 PM, bluewave said: The reverse of exactly 3 years ago to a couple of days. Yep-I feel bad for those guys southwest of Trenton. Hopefully the incoming northern energy can pound away for a couple of hours there. And "reverse" would be 2 feet of snow for me and 2" down there-probably not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Based on how heavy the snow is falling and the 4km NAM. Someone might pull of 25-30" here on the island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Man look how East the GFS actually is in contrast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:52 PM, YanksFan27 said: 18z GFS has this only down to 988mb by 00z. It's already sub 984. And yet again, clearly too far east. Toss it in the trash. GFS just got schooled every which way to Sunday by this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:47 PM, ny747pilot said: that's snow brother Well aware, the point of my post is that equals insane snowfall rates if it's actually falling as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:53 PM, ace0927 said: heaviest echoes moving east... added to the ignore list, just enjoy the storm i think i finally weeded out all the tards in this thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Out of curiosity, what are the recent short range high res models showing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:53 PM, ace0927 said: heaviest echoes moving east... Don't you ever give up? It's pivoting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That gap is closing quickly in western north jersey. Game on for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:56 PM, Allsnow said: That gap is closing quickly in western north jersey. Game on for all of us Tim, I have a feeling the NAM is gonna be right..... Both of 'em. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:57 PM, ace0927 said: dude enough - look at the echoes south of LI, they are CLEARLY moving ene, they were headed towards me and voila...made a right turn I'm begging you to stop, you're the perfect example of why this sub forum is mocked so often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:56 PM, Allsnow said: That gap is closing quickly in western north jersey. Game on for all of us Oh man this is going to be agonizing watching the back edge here in Middlesex ughhhhhh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 See the slight "kink"? That will hook back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemost Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm in Morristown and we're really quite close to the edge of the precipitation shield... Moderate snows for the past several hours though, beautiful out there. Can't wait until the phase completes and it really starts to crank! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 As crappy and as far east and weak as the GFS is showing, it still has an additional 0.75"+ for the whole area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:57 PM, ace0927 said: dude enough - look at the echoes south of LI, they are CLEARLY moving ene, they were headed towards me and voila...made a right turn The storm will make that pivot at some point. But u r not incorrect saying its moviing ENE right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If rain rate is really 1"/hr on LI or anywhere and it turns to snow at that QPF rate with a ratio of just 10 to 1, would there really be 10" of new snow in just one hour! Never heard of such a rate of snow---would squeeze air out of the way and you would not be able to breathe! I believe 5/hr. " is tops in the great storms. Can a Met explain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 9:56 PM, Allsnow said: That gap is closing quickly in western north jersey. Game on for all of us the question is for how long and how heavy for central and western sections of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 10:00 PM, Chris L said: See the slight "kink"? That will hook back. Are you talking about the area up towards canada? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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