earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Models are pretty consistent with a break/dryslot in parts of NJ later tonight before things really get kicking as the phase occurs. Can't wait for the freakouts when that happen.s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:15 PM, Kaner587 said: here we goooo what a great shot showing those two precip shields merge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Would be pretty remarkable to see this come to fruition. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/rloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:18 PM, earthlight said: Models are pretty consistent with a break/dryslot in parts of NJ later tonight before things really get kicking as the phase occurs. Can't wait for the freakouts when that happen.s That's why everyone needs to be calm and collective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:18 PM, earthlight said: Models are pretty consistent with a break/dryslot in parts of NJ later tonight before things really get kicking as the phase occurs. Can't wait for the freakouts when that happen.s Like clockwork right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:18 PM, earthlight said: Models are pretty consistent with a break/dryslot in parts of NJ later tonight before things really get kicking as the phase occurs. Can't wait for the freakouts when that happen.s I don't think that will reach here in Essex county or NE NJ....southwestern NJ right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:18 PM, IntenseBlizzard2013 said: On top of what's on the ground right now. We'd be measuring in feet like Boxing Day and yes Blizz of 96 IF that's right, which I hope it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 4km NAM has the same warm tongue as the MM5...sleet fest on Long Island later tonight underneath bright banding? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/t85w6.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:20 PM, WintersGrasp said: I don't think that will reach here in Essex county or NE NJ....southwestern NJ right? Dude, we haven't had rain all day here.... All the WAA is all snow-sleet.... All bonus. we are getting a great storm...ENJOY IT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 earthlight...matches current radar WELL. Wouldn't be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:20 PM, earthlight said: Would be pretty remarkable to see this come to fruition. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/rloop.html Do you think that band will come ashore, because on radar it looks like the north westerly movement of it has almost stoped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:22 PM, Chris L said: I don't think that will reach here in Essex county or NE NJ....southwestern NJ right? Dude, we haven't had rain all day here.... All the WAA is all snow-sleet.... All bonus. we are getting a great storm...ENJOY IT. I was referring to the dry slot and I'm enjoying it very much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:21 PM, earthlight said: 4km NAM has the same warm tongue as the MM5...sleet fest on Long Island later tonight underneath bright banding? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/t85w6.gif John..sleet late tonight on the Island?..not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:21 PM, earthlight said: 4km NAM has the same warm tongue as the MM5...sleet fest on Long Island later tonight underneath bright banding? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/t85w6.gif We already have a sleet fest going on now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That's really interesting that it shows such a sleet event for Long Island....doesn't that mean the heavy Banding will set up west and east of that then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:25 PM, TWCCraig said: We already have a sleet fest going on now lol that would be a disaster here..I thought after 4 it's all snow..that has me worried Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:18 PM, earthlight said: Models are pretty consistent with a break/dryslot in parts of NJ later tonight before things really get kicking as the phase occurs. Can't wait for the freakouts when that happen.s How much of nj dry slots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:25 PM, KEITH L.I said: John..sleet late tonight on the Island?..not good By 9 pm it should cool down enough for the eastern sections. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NAMSFC4_18z/cloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:27 PM, KEITH L.I said: that would be a disaster here..I thought after 4 it's all snow..that has me worried Me too. All the hi-res models have a warm tongue. The HRRR doesn't though, Euro doesn't. Still hopeful that it changes over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:28 PM, bluewave said: By 9 pm it should cool down enough for the eastern sections. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NAMSFC4_18z/cloop.html well if that's the case big bust on Long Island..this is the first I have heard about this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christopher Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 So what time this all ending tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:14 PM, easternsnowman said: Apparantly someone missed reading the latest models,especially the nam. um no the NAM..lol, haven't your learned yet, for one stop hugging it and secondly its always overdoing precip amounts...for Central Jersey who was on the fringes of this storm anyway the cutoff is going to be dramatic, they must feel at this time, todays rain slop fest took away a few inches and the other two models did not show more than maybe .6 tops left to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The Jersey dryslot seems to be occurring now. Back edge racing east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 cloudtops cooling and expanding in western/northern NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Scratch that, HRRR has warm tongue until 6PM, after that all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 18z NAM shows an additional at the least 2"+ of QPF on top of what's fallen already On 2/8/2013 at 8:31 PM, winterwarlock said: um no the NAM..lol, haven't your learned yet, for one stop hugging it and secondly its always overdoing precip amounts...for Central Jersey who was on the fringes of this storm anyway the cutoff is going to be dramatic, they must feel at this time, todays rain slop fest took away a few inches and the other two models did not show more than maybe .6 tops left to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:31 PM, winterwarlock said: um no the NAM..lol, haven't your learned yet, for one stop hugging it and secondly its always overdoing precip amounts...for Central Jersey who was on the fringes of this storm anyway the cutoff is going to be dramatic, they must feel at this time, todays rain slop fest took away a few inches and the other two models did not show more than maybe .6 tops left to go I don't trust the nam either but I think they went a little too low, but the nam does have everyone excited for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Breene Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 seems like I am wasting so much liquid to rain here, with slight sleet mixing in and out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:30 PM, Christopher said: So what time this all ending tomorrow? I believe by 8 - 9 am everything should be out of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 8:33 PM, SirReefTokeAlot said: The 18z NAM shows an additional at the least 2"+ of QPF on top of what's fallen already not IMBY and why are you hugging the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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