nutmegfriar Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Snowhole scores again???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dabize Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Snowhole scores again???? February 2013.........the month of Robin Hood Storms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 New GFS looks very promising, another tickle at 0 and 12 tomorow and we are looking at 4-8".(disclaimer, that will likely not happen, and is my dreams in full effect) All dreaming aside, I think the concensus* here seems to be a 2-4 lollies to 5" kind of deal down here, but it has to be watched closley, because even 30 more miles north and we have 4-8". Suprised Upton backed off to 1-3" though, really everything except the EURO is 2-4", they also only have less than 2" on the map here. They must be riding the EURO... *excepting the EURO, but at this point somewhat inclined to toss it, people in the NYC forum pointed out that it dosen't handle these types of events too well, and gave some decent reasoning that I'm inclined to buy. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 wow almost every poster here would be 5ppd in the philly subforum, they don't take this kind of crap down there. We're also all friends and while it looks like we're arguing it's all part of the dynamic that no other subforum has. We bicker online but the second all of us are in a room together it is a great time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Quoting other forums on this board in an attempt to support a snowier forecast seems a bit lame to me. Aren't the mets in this forum making enough sense, or do some just don't like what they are saying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Quoting other forums on this board in an attempt to support a snowier forecast seems a bit lame to me. Aren't the mets in this forum making enough sense, or do some just don't like what they are saying? we have some of the best mets in the country no doubt right in our subforum. every met that posts in here is great, it's just weeniedom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I'm not too confident about anything big, but it's still close. Hard to go high though when both the RGEM and Euro are saying MAYBE an inch, at best, near the shoreline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Decent bump north with the good stuff for the S Coast on the new SREFs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Decent bump north with the good stuff for the S Coast on the new SREFs. Better for CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Quoting other forums on this board in an attempt to support a snowier forecast seems a bit lame to me. Aren't the mets in this forum making enough sense, or do some just don't like what they are saying? The ideas are valid, and they were not mentioned in this forum, I don't see what's wrong with using other opinions. It was pointed out that the EURO had issues with the last system of this type, calling for .25" right up until the event for NYC, when we got nothing. Not trying to wishcast, simply taking the evidence into account. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 And yes, the mets on this forum are extraordinarily helpful, and I am thankful to no end for the analysis that they provide, i just don't see anything wrong with using other information that is not mentioned here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Like I said yesterday, it won't be that cold except for this weekend. The cold is not very prevalent, but the cold will probably be enough for some..and the pattern over the next two weeks looks ripe for storms of all kind. Don't forget, I'm talking about New England as a whole. There isn't a doubt that NNE will get snow and you and I will rain for a point. Scott we actually agree going forward, I think you just get hung up in the words which is why I suggested we use sensible weather in lieu of pattern. SREFs are a big shift north. NAM coup or SREF fumble? We're about to find out. Been the way it is this year no model is hot for long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Srefs are north yet again, south coast looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Srefs are north yet again, south coast looks great Yeah half inch line nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Don't forget with temps so mild tomorrow, it may start as a mix on the south coast until anything substantial moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Nice tick on the SREF's, probably a solid 3-5" here. Liking todays trend, will be intresting(and telling) if the EURO moves north. Don't need a hit, but some north movement to acknowlege the trend is all that I need. Still thinking 2-4" here, although that could change pending 0z. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Don't forget with temps so mild tomorrow, it may start as a mix on the south coast until anything substantial moves in.Scooter what would be a general start finish time down here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Scooter what would be a general start finish timd down here? Well that is highly dependent on how far north it comes. Maybe like a 7pm-4-5am deal if it comes north enough..otherwise if it stays south..a messy mix for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Decent bump north with the good stuff for the S Coast on the new SREFs.Yeah, 0.5" back to tickling the S Coast.0.25" for most of CT, all of RI, SE MA, CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 euro fail? would be a pretty big bust by nam/gfs. 18z were both pretty impressive out here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I don't know I haven't followed this too closely but the 0z NAM looks awfully strung out at 14 hours. King FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I don't know I haven't followed this too closely but the 0z NAM looks awfully strung out at 14 hours. King FTW? thats how its been, it re-strengthens off the delmarva, we will see if 00z can do it again, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 thats how its been, it re-strengthens off the delmarva, we will see if 00z can do it again, Just comparing to the 18z NAM...looks weaker aloft at 18 hours. It appears it's slower with the s/w energy, it doesn't round the "base" as quickly this run. It's either going to be delayed, or start going the wrong way it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 NAM is already wrong..lol. Too slow down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Just comparing to the 18z NAM...looks weaker aloft at 18 hours. It appears it's slower with the s/w energy, it doesn't round the "base" as quickly this run. It's either going to be delayed, or start going the wrong way it seems. true lets hope its just delayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 NAM is already wrong..lol. Too slow down south. As compared to radar, or compared to previous solutions? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 As compared to radar, or compared to previous solutions? -skisheep As compared to radar and ground truth. I don't think it matters...just funny it's off with that. NAM looks like it may be south of 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 flatter than 18z which should have been expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Maybe I will apologize to Chris M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Maybe I will apologize to Chris M No need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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