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February 13/14 VD Storm discussion


Bostonseminole

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Story of the pattern change aside of cutters and the blizzard.  They either manage to amplify way west, or struggle until well east.  But we have threats and like last time we can always get lucky.

 

 

Yes, There is threats, We could still luck out like the blizzard, I think this pattern is slightly more favorable so we will see

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It is more favorable. If anybody actually looks at models, they would see. We didn't just luck out with the blizzard, it was srn stream involvement...something we never saw until now. You will not always get snow from every storm there is. 

 

 

We did have southern stream involvement with that one, That has been missing most of the winter, But looks like we are missing the northern stream s/w for the sunday storm now, Its a matter of timing on these s/w's and whether we get them to phase like the blizz

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lol, yes...every winter...never fails ;)

 

well, i guess there will be clouds in the area for VD...er...Venereal Disease?????

 

That flags you as being (nearly) as old as me

 

VD is passé.     These days it's called Storm Track Diversion......as in: it's not coming to us, it's taking its dendritic spirochetes out to sea (OTS).

 

Besides, you ought to know that frequenting these threads is safe, since you can't get anything catching from just looking at porn...............

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We did have southern stream involvement with that one, That has been missing most of the winter, But looks like we are missing the northern stream s/w for the sunday storm now, Its a matter of timing on these s/w's and whether we get them to phase like the blizz

 

The faster the flow, the tougher it is to get the right timing/less margin of error.

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The faster the flow, the tougher it is to get the right timing/less margin of error.

 

 

And that problem has been consistent most of the winter, That is why i mentioned the luck part, We got it timed right, But it could just as well not happened and we would of ended up with still a decent event for some as the northern stream s/w was quite strong, The flow looks improved some here the next couple weeks, So maybe we get one timed right

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And that problem has been consistent most of the winter, That is why i mentioned the luck part, We got it timed right, But it could just as well not happened and we would of ended up with still a decent event for some as the northern stream s/w was quite strong, The flow looks improved some here the next couple weeks, So maybe we get one timed right

 

 

But it's a complately different pattern going forward. The reason why it was so fast in Jan was thanks to the massive PV. That will be gone, replaced by weak -NAO and lots of disturbances. Some will be warm, some may be white..but it's more active going forward. We can't always win 'em all.

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That flags you as being (nearly) as old as me

 

VD is passé.     These days it's called Storm Track Diversion......as in: it's not coming to us, it's taking its dendritic spirochetes out to sea (OTS).

 

Besides, you ought to know that frequenting these threads is safe, since you can't get anything catching from just looking at porn...............

I tittered

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But it's a complately different pattern going forward. The reason why it was so fast in Jan was thanks to the massive PV. That will be gone, replaced by weak -NAO and lots of disturbances. Some will be warm, some may be white..but it's more active going forward. We can't always win 'em all.

 

Right, Lets hope we see more white

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Right, Lets hope we see more white

 

2/14 looks like a scraper.  Not bad, still snow.

 

2/18 looks a little wide right. DT had posted something this morning about the GFS and referencing the data issues. 

 

2/2x looks warm I think most of the models agree on that.  Whatever the changes were we seem to get 1-2 cold threats, then a warmer one, then repeat.

 

Big departure day today, just hit 45.

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2/14 looks like a scraper.  Not bad, still snow.

 

2/18 looks a little wide right. DT had posted something this morning about the GFS and referencing the data issues. 

 

2/2x looks warm I think most of the models agree on that.  Whatever the changes were we seem to get 1-2 cold threats, then a warmer one, then repeat.

 

Big departure day today, just hit 45.

 

As well here, Up to 43F

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