Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Dude, the whole time I've thought the best anyone would do is 1-3 on the cape and light snows inland. I just thought it was interesting that the NAM kept showing the same thing over and over...didn't mean I was sold on an outcome. I think after the 12z GFS yesterday though I was ready to chuck 2-4 with iso 3-5 (I may have somewhere in this thread) but it's clear now that that is not going to happen. From sometime yesterday AM... This may still end up a T-1" deal. It's a meh deal as many here thought it would be. This was never a CNE/NNE deal. 09z SREFs now have the 0.25" line at the South Coast. 0.1" line is now at the CT/MA/RI border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 This may still end up a T-1" deal. It's a meh deal as many here thought it would be. This was never a CNE/NNE deal. 09z SREFs now have the 0.25" line at the South Coast. 0.1" line is now at the CT/MA/RI border. No it wasn't a CNE/NNE deal, And it may not end up a SNE deal either, South is the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 No it wasn't a CNE/NNE deal, And it may not end up a SNE deal either, South is the trend Kicker is a kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 This may still end up a T-1" deal. It's a meh deal as many here thought it would be. This was never a CNE/NNE deal. 09z SREFs now have the 0.25" line at the South Coast. 0.1" line is now at the CT/MA/RI border. After the obscene amount of melting that went on yesterday, this would have to be a 6+ deal for me to even care. There are already bare spots showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Take em down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Anything is possible. Anything is possible, but that does not mean it's likely. I think 1-4" here is a decent call, think a small north trend might happen at 12z, GFS probably overcorrected and might correct back a bit, but nothing like the warning snow we had on the table yesterday. Upton still has close to 4" down here, so they must be somewhat confident. With what the models have been like this year though, for all we know 12z brings a KU (and yes, that will not happen, although anything is possible ) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Kicker is a kicker In the nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Meh. You can tell how interested most of us are by the total lack of posts. Nam could still be right but I'm still not interested until tonight. Feels like we are back into the fast flow hijinx again. Odds are if we get enough chances one will pan out again. I disagree that the atmosphere is tired but I think we all are. IMO what happens often with these epic systems is it requires a pattern of high energy fast moving opportunities and often as we have seen the timing doesn't work out. But it's a high risk high reward pattern when one or two do work out boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What is this "KU" term ppl are throwing around? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What is this "KU" term ppl are throwing around? Kocin-Ucellini http://www.amazon.com/Northeast-Snowstorms-1-2-Set/dp/1878220640 Didn't see the red tag, not sure if you're actually asking now. ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What is this "KU" term ppl are throwing around? Who's throwing that out there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 after a hiccup, back to the same ol same ol pattern again...some normal temps here, above normal temps there, a coating of snow or two...ho hum...not interested... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Ouch at some of the indiv members. High confidence forecast when 1/2 of the members show basically zilch for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What is this "KU" term ppl are throwing around? Kathulu - Mythcial creature created by author, H.P. Lovecraft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Kocin-Ucellini http://www.amazon.com/Northeast-Snowstorms-1-2-Set/dp/1878220640 Thanks bud. Who's throwing that out there? skisheep mentioned it, but I've seen this term used time and time again and wasn't sure what it referred to. Thanks to Chris now it makes sense. Should've asked this before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Ouch at some of the indiv members. High confidence forecast when 1/2 of the members show basically zilch for the area. That's fine by me lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Thanks bud. skisheep mentioned it, but I've seen this term used time and time again and wasn't sure what it referred to. Thanks to Chris now it makes sense. Should've asked this before. I though you were joking, As I MET I assumed you knew what a KU was. Must have book btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Anything is possible, but that does not mean it's likely. I think 1-4" here is a decent call, think a small north trend might happen at 12z, GFS probably overcorrected and might correct back a bit, but nothing like the warning snow we had on the table yesterday. Upton still has close to 4" down here, so they must be somewhat confident. With what the models have been like this year though, for all we know 12z brings a KU (and yes, that will not happen, although anything is possible ) -skisheep Its a potent s/w.......considering I just got 30 inches of snow, just looking at the positives not the alternative. Although I will admit its depressing heading down your way, the pack must be pretty thin by now, I will take pics in Darien today to show the difference, its dumbfounding! So fun having our friends up from down that way they are all amazed at the difference in snow just 10-25 miles away. Good luck! BDR is well above climo snowfall, probably leads all of new england to date, I know it was before the storm, what a great winter, warm and snowy!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I though you were joking, As I MET I assumed you knew what a KU was. Must have book btw. the book is excellent...fun to pull out every so often. They need another edition to cover the 09-13 storms.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I though you were joking, As I MET I assumed you knew what a KU was. Must have book btw.I think KU is mostly a board acronym. Right up there with AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I though you were joking, As I MET I assumed you knew what a KU was. Must have book btw. I've honestly never heard the term "KU" used, but Kocin-Ucellini I have, which now I find strange. Couldn't put two and two together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I think KU is mostly a board acronym. Right up there with AWT. What's AWT? FTW? Sorry I am not good with these terms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 the book is excellent...fun to pull out every so often. They need another edition to cover the 09-13 storms.... Yeah Kocin gave a great speech at the Northeast Storm Conference a few years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 NAM looks do be going the way of the fishies thru 24h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What's AWT? FTW? Sorry I am not good with these terms.It's a CT Blizz acronym for when something trends more extreme towards his weenie thinking. Hence, as we thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Its a potent s/w.......considering I just got 30 inches of snow, just looking at the positives not the alternative. Although I will admit its depressing heading down your way, the pack must be pretty thin by now, I will take pics in Darien today to show the difference, its dumbfounding! So fun having our friends up from down that way they are all amazed at the difference in snow just 10-25 miles away. Good luck! BDR is well above climo snowfall, probably leads all of new england to date, I know it was before the storm, what a great winter, warm and snowy!!!! Yeah it's getting pretty thin, down to about 8" at my house. Saw your photos, it's insane the gradient in such a short distance! when I mentioned the KU, it was in reference to the shifts on the models that we have seen, and that anything is possible. In no way was I implying that this would be a KU, nor will it be. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 NAM looks do be going the way of the fishies thru 24h. Congrats fish? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Gonna scoot right off the Del Marva I think on a mostly east heading. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Gonna let the NAM play out. Thru 30, the kicker is weaker and further NW. S/W is faster and a hair NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 People bit on this one too early IMO. Forgot that our blizzard was a diamond in a pile of crap. We got lucky...but just about every other threat this year has fizzled due to fast flow, weak high, etc. Wouldn't be shocked if rest of the winter is as uneventful as the first 2/3 was, minus last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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