free_man Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 It's nice to see the gfs have nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 It's nice to see the gfs have nothing. What's up with you slant sticking the New Boston number? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 GGEM ticked south from the 12z too. Pretty good agreement between the NAM/GFS/GGEM. We had a lot of moving parts that we all hoped would get together by chance at some point. Now back to the fast flow random warm storm tossed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Rachel Frank just said she was riding the Euro, lmao. I liked how Ryan described the Euro as the "Albert Einstein of weather models" on the news last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Warrior commander Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 GGEM ticked south from the 12z too. Pretty good agreement between the NAM/GFS/GGEM. Yes. More consensus on the 00Z Op runs. Still lots going on though. Man, I'd like some blocking to become reality later on.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 0z gefs thankfully are sign more nw than 0z gfs op but def south of 18z gefs 24 hr precip wed eve-thur eve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 euro ....not good. edit the NW flank just doesn't get any precip going at all. not much different than 0z gfs (tad south) but qpf sign further S. in sne we have a saying for runs like these........ ............we toss. no really thou ......my hopes are alot more dash'd than they were at 110pm ....but i'll give one more run tommorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Nice Cape dumping on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 6z doesn't even show any precip making it to BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Next. Awtec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Upton cut way back, down to 2-4" here from 4-6", and the 6z GFS is flurries here at best, so they probably will cut more back. NEXT! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 What are you talking about. The other models showed scrapers at best. The nam was the oultlier. Just because the Ukie came a tad north at 12z, that gives credence to the nam? That's wishcasting and not forecasting-with all due respect. If anything, it looks to me that the 0z nam is coming into consensus with the other models. Edit-'cause I just realized you were down in Stamford--If by hits, you mean 1-2", then you are correct. nam was the only bringing warning snows. Upton way too aggressive. Not necessarily, GFS at 18z was warning snow, GGEM at 12z was warning snow, and NAM was warning snow. (warning snow being 6" in 12 hours, or .assuming roughly 5" liqui.d) Disagree that it's wishcasting, at 18z when that map came out, the EURO was the outlier in not giving a significant event. The models have backed off, but I think to call that wishcasting is absurd. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Well I guess we'll have to take 1-3 and be happy..but a bad turn of events overnight and for the weekend.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Pinning this thread killed the threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Pinning this thread killed the threat. It really never was one up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 It really never was one up here Looking more and more like we're going to have to make do with what we have, and hope that system next week doesn't monsoon us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 2-4 3-6 down here, looking forward to a little refresher, cherish every flake before the torch returns for good in a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Looking more and more like we're going to have to make do with what we have, and hope that system next week doesn't monsoon us. Yesterdays bonus may be all we hang our hat on until maybe some sunday or next weds, Euro gave us some lt snows sunday right now, But sundays is not off the table yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yesterdays bonus may be all we hang our hat on until maybe some sunday or next weds, Euro gave us some lt snows sunday right now, But sundays is not off the table yet How does the Euro look for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 2-4 3-6 down here, looking forward to a little refresher, cherish every flake before the torch returns for good in a couple weeks. SW CT winter. Looks like they have me 2-4". Wonder if Chris still wants us to congratulate him? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 How does the Euro look for next week? Right now, It runs a weak low up the St Lawrence, It would be a similar situation like yesterdays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 2-4 3-6 down here, looking forward to a little refresher, cherish every flake before the torch returns for good in a couple weeks. Youre still thinking 3-6" is possible down here? Flurries on the GFS, the NAM is 2-4", but what guidance is 3-6"? Unless youre hoping(and I am as well), that this was an overcorrect, and that it trends back north? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Youre still thinking 3-6" is possible down here? Flurries on the GFS, the NAM is 2-4", but what guidance is 3-6"? Unless youre hoping(and I am as well), that this was an overcorrect, and that it trends back north? -skisheep meh, maybe an inch...if that. Atmosphere is exhausted...after the blizzard of 78-we went snowless the rest of the month... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Youre still thinking 3-6" is possible down here? Flurries on the GFS, the NAM is 2-4", but what guidance is 3-6"? Unless youre hoping(and I am as well), that this was an overcorrect, and that it trends back north? -skisheep Anything is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 SW CT winter. Looks like they have me 2-4". Wonder if Chris still wants us to congratulate him? Yeah I'm ready any time you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 meh, maybe an inch...if that. Atmosphere is exhausted...after the blizzard of 78-we went snowless the rest of the month... LOL, I'd love to hear the scientific explanation for the atmosphere being exhausted? Please tell. Nothing anecdotal please. The Mid-Atlanitc had 2 blizzards in the span of one week back 2 years ago.Feb 5-6 and Feb 9-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah I'm ready any time you are. Spiking that ball at the 20 yard line is not a TD, NAM is on it's own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 LOL, I'd love to hear the scientific explanation for the atmosphere being exhausted? Please tell. Nothing anecdotal please. The Mid-Atlanitc had 2 blizzards in the span of one week back 2 years ago.Feb 5-6 and Feb 9-10. anything can happen of course. Just saying that often after a big one it's quiet...Feb 06 is another example. and with the MJO moving into Phase 3,4,5 in the next few weeks, if we don't get anything next 10-15 days, we're likely done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Spiking that ball at the 20 yard line is not a TD, NAM is on it's own. Dude, the whole time I've thought the best anyone would do is 1-3 on the cape and light snows inland. I just thought it was interesting that the NAM kept showing the same thing over and over...didn't mean I was sold on an outcome. I think after the 12z GFS yesterday though I was ready to chuck 2-4 with iso 3-5 (I may have somewhere in this thread) but it's clear now that that is not going to happen. From sometime yesterday AM... It has not had anything other than that idea in two days. Some cycles may have been 4-8 instead of 6-10 I guess. It will probably be a huge flop lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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