moneypitmike Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I didnt' realize how mild it got for a lot of folks until I saw Messenger's (or was it Bob or Phil?)'s comment about gully washers and 45*. Man, widespread 40's. Much luckier than I thought I was. I'd rather have positive gain rather than minimal melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I didnt' realize how mild it got for a lot of folks until I saw Messenger's (or was it Bob or Phil?)'s comment about gully washers and 45*. Man, widespread 40's. Much luckier than I thought I was. I'd rather have positive gain rather than minimal melt. Yeah torched today here. 43 now. I'm not complaining, this stuff was so heavy I almost lost a bunch of expensive trees and shrubs. I was able to debendify a few of them, a couple others are shot. Plus it looked like the tundra ice in my driveway in a few spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 18z GEFS ensembles looked a little west of the op and west of 12z as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 18z Euro ensembles looked a little west of the op and west of 12z as well they have 18z euro ens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 18Z GEFS you mean. Yeah, they looked good for the Pike too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Man where are we gonna put another 4-8 of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 they have 18z euro ens? 18Z GEFS you mean. Yeah, they looked good for the Pike too. Yeah, I just got done looking at them to and typeod it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Man where are we gonna put another 4-8 of snow? The pack will melt plenty enough for it...the piles won't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Yeah, I just got done looking at them to and typeod it I know...I was laughing when I read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hopefully it keeps coming north to rain on southern CT and make it a pike north event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 I know...I was laughing when I read it. its a good thing the Euro does not have 4 runs, Would not get anything done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 There are a lot of nice 18z GEFS members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 There are a lot of nice 18z GEFS members. Yeah there are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hopefully it keeps coming north to rain on southern CT and make it a pike north event. Hopefully it dosen't! Got screwed in the last one(relativley speaking, 19" is not screwed, although compared to some totals it is), and another 5-8" would go a long way to fixing that problem and freshening everything up here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 There are a lot of nice 18z GEFS members. GGEM being on board is really good. Funny year...models taking turns being really good and really bad it seems. The Euro has really had a weakness it seems with these fast moving systems out of the mid south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Nice 18z GFS suite. Looks like I fire up the snowblower again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Man where are we gonna put another 4-8 of snow?C NH seems like a fine place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 C NH seems like a fine place. Agreed. North trend ain't done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Agreed. North trend ain't done.I meant central North Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 reading uptons discussion, they seem very confident on 3-6" for NYC metro and my area, suprised they thought that before the 18z GFS, now that the GFS is onboard for that number it makes more sense. if the GFS holds and EURO moves north, even if not to warning criteria, would expect a watch with the morning package. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I meant central North Haven. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Yeah there are. Figured there had to be some good ones in there, Pretty good kink to the west in the isobars Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I guess when a model has the SAME thing for two days consecutively (now going toward 3) you have to give it some credence no matter what the model is. Many laughed for looking at the 84 hr nam (extrapolation and then continuing when it had it in its actual run time) but a model must be sniffing something out when it is the same (more or less) for 12 consecutive runs. Same thing the euro did last week to an extent, different model. Obviously the caveats apply lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I meant central North Haven. Well played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Matt Noyes says 1-3 far SE NE dusting elsewhere, too bad he did not hug the Euro last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I don't know ... my experience with these southern stream deals is they tend to go N in time. I can't count the number of times looking at the FRH grids for 60 hours, and LGA has close to an inch, and BOS has .1, only to have them either be reversed inside of 24 hours, or LGA and LI end up raining. The west Atlantic ridge may hold and force what ever is conserving that is riding up along its western periphery, to ride that much further NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 I don't know ... my experience with these southern stream deal is they tend to go N in time. I can't count the number of times looking at the FRH grids for 60 hours, and LGA has close to an inch, and BOS has .1, only to have them either be reversed inside of 24 hours, or LGA and LI end up raining. The west Atlantic ridge may hold and force what ever is conserving that is riding up along its western periphery, to ride that much further NW. But can this trend as far north as 2/6/11 did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 But can this trend as far north as 2/6/11 did? Nothing is impossible ... but, if it trend a lot NW it would be because the ridge in the SE is overwhelming, in which case it becomes too weak of the system to mean much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Nothing is impossible ... but, if it trend a lot NW it would be because the ridge in the SE is overwhelming, in which case it becomes too weak of the system to mean much. I'm just afraid since that storm was pegged to hit SNE with a snowfall and then in the final 36 hours trended so far north that it even gave a period of rain all the way up to Lyndon State College. Just hoping that this time we have a bit more confluence to the north and that the kicker makes it progressive enough where that doesn't happen. But definitely I won't be resting easy until inside 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 12, 2013 Share Posted February 12, 2013 Oh, yeah, I remember that storm. We were proved for 4-8" originally and it was right after the parade of storms in 10-11 so they cancelled all school activities (it was a Saturday) and we got some brief ZR and then rain ultimately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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