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February 13/14 VD Storm discussion


Bostonseminole

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Maybe we get some light snows from the kicker
That kicker can go to hell. I'd actually feel good about this at our lat if it wasn't there considering we have a potent southern stream s/w and associated vort. It can probably get a little more north before verification time, but I'm not sure it has enough for us. Maybe we can get enough convection and latent heat release to pump up the SE ridge a little more.
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That kicker can go to hell. I'd actually feel good about this at our lat if it wasn't there considering we have a potent southern stream s/w and associated vort. It can probably get a little more north before verification time, but I'm not sure it has enough for us. Maybe we can get enough convection and latent heat release to pump up the SE ridge a little more.

 

Yeah, I wish it was gone, I don't like this one much with it being around, Either we speed the system up, Or we get it to wrap up further south, I don't think its going away

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Here's my thinking in a bit more detail than earlier:

 

 

Pros:

 

-southern stream system with some legit gulf moisture and convection

-very potent vortmax

-trend is our friend

 

 

Cons:

 

-little blocking with progressive pattern

-kicker right on the heels of it

 

 

 

I do think the pros are winning out right now, but always be on the lookout with kickers and fast flow. But I like to respect the southern stream juicers with potent vortmax...those have a penchant for trending north in the final couple days. I think most of SNE will prob get measurable, but not biting on big amounts yet.

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We are having some of the worst fog I've ever seen. This is awful. The snow is dirty outside the neighborhood. We need a 6-12er Bad. Lost 8" today. I can deal with no snow after Feb. 15th in a snow season but Do Not Give me a damed Historic Blizzard and eat it up 2 days later!!!! You damned Fog and Rain!

I'm losing it down here. Pulling for the GFS, hopefully I apologized enough to it.

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Fully

 

 

Clothed.

 

Bundleld with many layers.

Looks like a 2-4 deal for many.  More for some others.

 

And some fine looking cirrus for others.

Here's my thinking in a bit more detail than earlier:

 

 

Pros:

 

-southern stream system with some legit gulf moisture and convection

-very potent vortmax

-trend is our friend

 

 

Cons:

 

-little blocking with progressive pattern

-kicker right on the heels of it

 

 

 

I do think the pros are winning out right now, but always be on the lookout with kickers and fast flow. But I like to respect the southern stream juicers with potent vortmax...those have a penchant for trending north in the final couple days. I think most of SNE will prob get measurable, but not biting on big amounts yet.

I agree on the pros having the upper hand at the moment.  But.................I think it's the pros that are getting this as far north as it is and won't have the goods to come further.

 

What was it that Matt Noyes called CT/RI/SE MA?  The Great New England Snowbelt or some sort of horse sh*t?  Who woulda thought?  :)

 

 

At least I had minimal melt of my snow today.

 

31.2/31 off a high of 31.9.  At least the fog in this light looks like very  heavy small flakes.

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Bundleld with many layers.

 

And some fine looking cirrus for others.

I agree on the pros having the upper hand at the moment.  But.................I think it's the pros that are getting this as far north as it is and won't have the goods to come further.

 

What was it that Matt Noyes called CT/RI/SE MA?  The Great New England Snowbelt or some sort of horse sh*t?  Who woulda thought?  :)

 

 

At least I had minimal melt of my snow today.

 

31.2/31 off a high of 31.9.  At least the fog in this light looks like very  heavy small flakes.

 

 

Nice take on the thurs event, Have to agree, Don't think it will amount to much for us northerners

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