Snow_Miser Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I think the 12z GFS comes more north today. 8-9 members of the 6z GEFS had a significant hit for the area. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_6z/ensprsloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I think the 12z GFS comes more north today. 8-9 members of the 6z GEFS had a significant hit for the area. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRSNE_6z/ensprsloopmref.html how about the GFS's habit of loosing storms 3 or 4 days out ?Here is the 12Z NAM at 84 - has 2 lows one in northern Kentucky and one in Georgia http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/12znam850mbTSLPp06_county084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 why does the NAM look like its going to phase the two streams??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Eh. Long range NAM. However, in it's shorter range, say about 48 HR, look at the difference between GFS and NAM in Texas. I'm clearly bored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The NAM continues to be quite amplified with this system. Has the storm at the IN/KY border at hour 84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 why does the NAM look like its going to phase the two streams??? How much did you end up with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The nam keeps the first sw too strong headed towards the ohio valley. The euro focuses on the southern feature and doesnt phase them and it takes it south. The euro vs the nam at 84 gives me pause. If u see the euro and the gfs today and tonite focus on DC and not NYC then expect the nam trend that way. As it is now i like the euro. If it changes then i will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 How much did you end up with 9-10" not bad...all of it fell in like 4 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 The alignment of the precipitation leads me to believe that it remains suppressed even on the NAM. Still I think a 3-6 inch snowstorm for DC and Baltimore maybe even up to PHL. If the GFS and euro maybe trend north today and tonight I think we might be in the game for a few inches + up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yl715 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 GFS at 12z looking better than 00z through 57. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 9-10" not bad...all of it fell in like 4 hours Same here. Real solid storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Gfs looks like 00z euro for this event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Gfs looks like 00z euro for this event It's coming in more amplified so far through 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Gfs looks like 00z euro for this event H5 looks different then the euro. That's for sure. At least thru hour 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 About the same....no expansion of precip further north...still might be something for DC area on this run possibly....they deserve something anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Gfs looks like 00z euro for this event Disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It's coming in more amplified so far through 60 It will not cut it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It will not cut it I think it will. Out to 84. Coming up the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Same here. Real solid storm i have to consult you more often for a forecast. excellent job! had 7" here. not thrilled but definitely entertained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 H5 looks different then the euro. That's for sure. At least thru hour 75. Look at the second vort racing over the international border at 78-84. The wave spacing is pretty crappy but I wonder if the models are hinting at some interaction between the two. If not, it just serves as a kicker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 It will not cut it Are you looking at H5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I'm sorry guys. Lack of sleep here. It's going to be a solid hit. Last storm took alot out of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 90 hours looks pretty darn good to me for a Mid Atlantic snowstorm. A little tick north and we're good to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Hm it actually is further north. DC & Baltimore...yep if it continues trending nice run for us:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Hr 93 mod snow up to city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 90 hours looks pretty darn good to me for a Mid Atlantic snowstorm. A little tick north and we're good to go. That was apparent from hour 60 on this run. Based off the H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Looks like advisory event for city and warning for Phl and cnj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 Great run for Philadelphia and the NJ Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 i have to consult you more often for a forecast. excellent job! had 7" here. not thrilled but definitely entertained. Thanks man. I really track that hard. Glad it paid off. Got a little worried around 8pm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I'm sorry guys. Lack of sleep here. It's going to be a solid hit. Last storm took alot out of me I went to bed at 9:45 p.m. last night and slept until 10:00 a.m. Needed it badly after several days of being up for 6z runs and 12z runs lol. And yeah this run looks solid, but perhaps the euro is having that shortwave near the international border as a kicker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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