TWCCraig Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 I would take the NAM's temp profile over the GFS, as it's usually too warm due to its poor resolution. Looks like a decent event becoming more likely along LI and C NJ especially (3-5", 4-6"), maybe NYC and coastal CT as well. Still think this can have room for a minor bump north. The ocean enhancement is quite likely as the low begins to deepen fairly rapidly and throw back more moisture-so a good band or two may develop and sit around for a few hours. But the accumulating snow should last only 6 hours or so I would think. This will be on a tear out of here. Agree. Even if surface temps are warm, the snow should have not trouble sticking to a ground already covered in snow. Also, all the way through the 950's are below freezing, just the surface that is warm on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Agree. Even if surface temps are warm, the snow should have not trouble sticking to a ground already covered in snow. My ground's not covered in snow anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluebythec Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 delurking to ask : any idea of the timing in the Monmouth/Ocean county area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Start time for southern nass cnty? Sent from my SPH-L900 using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 timing looks like 3-4pm area wide with the light stuff..heaviest falls from 8pm-12am (using 4km NAM sim radar for estimates) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Start time for southern nass cnty? Sent from my SPH-L900 using Tapatalk 2 Probably around dark. Snow keeps going through about 2-3am. May have to contend with a light mix at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFan Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Anyone have the UKMET? Links on the model page aren't working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 SPC WRF agrees on the heaviest stuff jusssssst missing SE but still has about a 10-12 hour event...here is 06Z tomorrow night.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 RGEM is slightly wetter for city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 13, 2013 Author Share Posted February 13, 2013 Gefs very similar to nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The Euro still didn't budge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 not that it matters much but the euro basically doubled precip for some in our area. 0.1 line goes from just offshore LI at 12z to coastal CT on the 00z run. It'll probably correct up again at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 The Euro still didn't budge. it didn't budge but did increase precip. Still out to lunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 it didn't budge but did increase precip. Still out to lunch Yeah, I honestly think it's wrong. It literally has no precip in between West Virgina and Delaware at 24 hours. It's not even just further south than the other modes...it's an entirely different look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 ARW tripled its juice from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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