MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 While the Euro is not showing a snowstorm up here, it did trend northward significantly. If anything with the GFS and Euro each being consisent in showing their distinct solutions, an equal blend should have been taken, and it may end up like that -- a middle of the road solution between the GFS and Euro. Nogaps, GGEM and Ukie show a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM will probably be a hit again, however you can tell its trending farther SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM will probably be a hit again, however you can tell its trending farther SE. NAM will probably be a hit again, however you can tell its trending farther SE. not so sure - its way flatter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 NAM 54 hour , southern stream south and east of its 6z 60 hour , northern side still intact Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 not so sure - its way flatter It is further south but at 66, it's still coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It is further south but at 66, it's still coming up. It is further south but at 66, it's still coming up. OT - why is the Edit feature not working? my last post was only through hr48, now through he 57 its still amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 60 hour - looks similar to 6z 66 hr . northern steam similar precp field . 850`s still in AC precp into Southern PA . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 OT - why is the Edit feature not working? my last post was only through hr48, now through he 57 its still amped The last run was too amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It is further south but at 66, it's still coming up. It is further south but at 66, it's still coming up. you can see how much stronger and aggressive the northern stream vort is...way further south as opposed to 6Z (match up 60hr 12Z vs 66hr 6Z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 HR 66 - nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Still a nice hit coming in at hr 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It works out better this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 yeah NAM holds serve and we still have wiggle room if it trends further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 It's still going on at hour 69. Just inside the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hr 72...nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 hr 72 - 996 South of Montauk, Great precip field . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Hr 72 heavy snow for everyone. Pulling out at 75 still snowing. Looks wetter than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Wow, nice hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 the NAM wont relent! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Gotta see this inside 48 hours , be cautious its the NAM at 66 hours . need another 2 suites to b sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 850's stay south the whole time. Likely an all snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Verbatim 6-10 on the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Verbatim a 6-10" snowfall.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 11, 2013 Author Share Posted February 11, 2013 It'd be great if the NAM is correct but I think everyone's expectations should be around 2-4"...advisory level snows... I think that's a good goal given the overall model consensus at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Nice hit but it is the HR 66-72 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 .75"+ of liquid on the 12Z NAM. Looks like it could be more than that. EDIT: No, never mind. It's about .75-1" of liquid for the Tri-State Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_072_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 Tempered expectations is the way to to for now. Lets see some consensus first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 11, 2013 Share Posted February 11, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=12ℑ=nam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_072_500_vort_ht.gif A Very Potent Closed 500 mB that does a negative tilt. If it tilts earlier, we could be talking about 1"+ of liquid from CNJ to Boston, but that may cause BL issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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