wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 6 runs in a row for the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 996 on the BM, 5 days away, and no one is posting in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 just saw it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The ECM control run was close brings system off of NCVA coast and out. Some marginal temps, but the right track could do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 4:07 PM, KEITH L.I said: just saw it! Yup, precip maxes in many of the same place as today. Taking into account GFS dry bias, this is a MECS. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermd Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Does euro have it ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Good lord......Epic Feb. incoming? Would like to see the EURO show this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 1.25" QPF for C NJ, mixing issues City and the island get .5 - .75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 4:10 PM, weathermd said: Does euro have it ? No, but has taken some steps towards GFS. The GFS is locked in much like the Euro was last week. Can't discount it simply for that reason. Oh, also, the NAM is on board and the SREFs are close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermd Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 4:16 PM, wolfsheepsheadbay said: No, but has taken some steps towards GFS. The GFS is locked in much like the Euro was last week. Can't discount it simply for that reason. Oh, also, the NAM is on board and the SREFs are close. Thanks Let's keep it locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Here we go again... GFS and NAM both warning snows here, and the fact that the GFS is just locked into this makes me think it's trying to get some of it's credibility back after the shellacking it took with this one. Watching very closely. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Gefs similar to the op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Game still on for mid week. Much less complex scenario here, pure southern stream low with bombing potential on the coast. Rather than 978mb level contamination issues it will be your more typical dynamic driven snow potential. Depending upon the intensity of course, it might begin as rain but the precip output should be juicy once again. Tropical forcing really pulling through for us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 4:52 PM, skisheep said: Here we go again... GFS and NAM both warning snows here, and the fact that the GFS is just locked into this makes me think it's trying to get some of it's credibility back after the shellacking it took with this one. Watching very closely. -skisheep This is still outside the NAM's range...how do you come to the conclusion that it's warning snows for you? Though the H5 setup on the 84 hr NAM does look decent...would like to see the Euro come on board today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 5:12 PM, Snow88 said: Gefs similar to the op yeah, nice signal from the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYC10023 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Personally, I'll just wait to hear what mayor Bloomberg says. He seems to be spot on with his predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 GGEM is out to sea...if it wasn't for that northern stream kicker right on the heels of the VD wave the low would've moved up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Plenty of time for this one. I think the other models will catch on eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Feb 2010 incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 wonder what the 12Z EURO will show.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I wouldn't get too excited if and until the Euro gets enthused about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 5:55 PM, pazzo83 said: Feb 2010 incoming 40 inches here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 6:03 PM, Snow88 said: 40 inches here Best month of snow in my life. I think Philly got around 50" that month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 6:03 PM, Snow88 said: 40 inches here Great month anthony, around 60 inches plus 6 on Jan 30 down my way. Imagine if the 25-27 storm would got all of 95, woulda been an 80 inch month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 108 1004 low of hse light precip working its way up the delmarva. Going to be a miss I would think (close) but isn't far from producing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 ya that kicker really spoils the party Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Euro trended towards the GFS. A close miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 6:19 PM, Kaner587 said: 108 1004 low of hse light precip working its way up the delmarva. Going to be a miss I would think (close) but isn't far from producing. Euro gettig a lot closer for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 On 2/9/2013 at 6:20 PM, Snow88 said: Euro trended towards the GFS. A close miss. the key is the orientation and speed of that kicker. If its modeled too fast and too far south, then the result is more like the GFS. Not sure which model would do better with this. GFS tends to do really well with pure miller a's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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