Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hr 36 light snow on going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the GFS is not good thru 24..its actually horrible I'm so confident that the GFS is wrong that if the GFS verifies, I will not post on this forum for the rest of the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I guess its time for the Euro to hold serve on last time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ouch...not what I wanted to see. Counting the NAM as clueless and GFS trending east....axe ! actually im not so sure it is a bad thing both models are playing tot heir biases,a compromise puts us in a nice spot---want to guess what model sort of depicts that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hm....I'm sticking with my 11-14 inch forecast lol. Well lets be honest....assuming the NAM is the outlier of course....factoring in the sref....GFS...to start....it's about a foot for NYC....not much more....however srefs hammer Boston still...GFS doesnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TKFJ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS solution is quite hilarious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Intuition says I'd rather have the GFS than the NAM on my side. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gfs is 1 inch + of precip for city and .75+ for nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the GFS is not good thru 24..its actually horrible I'm so confident that the GFS is wrong that if the GFS verifies, I will not post on this forum for the rest of the winter. ack! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm so confident that the GFS is wrong that if the GFS verifies, I will not post on this forum for the rest of the winter. Yeah I think I'll take that bet as well. If the GFS is right, then I won't post until severe weather season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Anyone else watching the snow developing over NWNJ right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Given the model biases of the NAM and GFS and the fact that the GFS can't handle convection, and the consistency of the Euro and its ensembles, and given the current satellite and radar presentation, I think it's prudent to go with the Euro and its ensembles. Just my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Will people please save yourself a headache and look at the EURO . Initially the GFS is handed an apple and says its an orange . The southern vort is so intense the GFS 24 hours out cant handle it . FOLLOW THE EURO IT HASNT BUDGED IN 5 DAYS .......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ha the difference between the gfs and nam at say a mere 18 hrs is quite laughable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah I think I'll take that bet as well. If the GFS is right, then I won't post until severe weather season. Any thoughts on why it is wrong? Storm is basically at the door. I constantly hear the 0 Z runs are the best Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gfs has convective feedback. It is a low resolution model and can't handle the energy. Do not even use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ugh if the Euro follows the GFS this place will be awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Global Failure System. GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Any thoughts on why it is wrong? Storm is basically at the door. I constantly hear the 0 Z runs are the best urban legend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Wow, just ridiculous discrepancies between NAM and GFS here, and immediately too. Seriously, both of these models should be pretty much disregarded if they flip around like this. It's clear they can't handle this kind of situation and pattern. I could see an east shift due to the progressive pattern but not a complete fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS has poor handling on Convective Precipitation BTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It's the RGEM,NAM,SREF,Euro,Euro ensembles,GGEM vs GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 btw the awful gfs is still a foot of snow for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ugh if the Euro follows the GFS this place will be awful. Its not going to , it doesnt get in bed with dogs . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the funny thing is that even with the lesser amount of qpf it still has a foot or more NW of the city.... I agree the GFS is clearly wrong here with the current radar trends.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If the euro follows the GFS....I'm done posting. You guys better hope the euro follows the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ugh if the Euro follows the GFS this place will be awful. Little chance of that, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 btw the awful gfs is still a foot of snow for nyc I'd still take that easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 One thing I do like is how the RGEM looks alot more like the NAM then it does the GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It's the RGEM,NAM,SREF,Euro,Euro ensembles,GGEM vs GFS. I think we know who wins that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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