ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:01 AM, Dsnowx53 said: Yup. Looks like all snow, except maybe a little bit in the afternoon, but I don't have access to soundings. It's a cold run. thanks!...i can sleep in peace now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:01 AM, Dsnowx53 said: Yup. Looks like all snow, except maybe a little bit in the afternoon, but I don't have access to soundings. It's a cold run. how much back in nw nj? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevbo81 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:02 AM, jm1220 said: Seriously, the chaos here among posters is just ridiculous. We always knew from the first moment that we were the transition zone between a crazy snow event or a more moderate event, and that northeast of us was always favored for the worst impacts. To me, the Euro didn't make any kind of crazy shift. People need to really calm down and just let this unfold. I still think, even with this MINOR shift, that we all have a very nice event. Time to watch the satellites/radar/WV from here on out for the most part. voice of reason! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:00 AM, lisnow66 said: Just go with WXOUTLOOKS call. He's the voice of reason. 16-20 inches is a great storm. Indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:02 AM, jm1220 said: Seriously, the chaos here among posters is just ridiculous. We always knew from the first moment that we were the transition zone between a crazy snow event or a more moderate event, and that northeast of us was always favored for the worst impacts. To me, the Euro didn't make any kind of crazy shift. People need to really calm down and just let this unfold. I still think, even with this MINOR shift, that we all have a very nice event. Time to watch the satellites/radar/WV from here on out for the most part. Yep....nice nice event ahead. Everyone acts like I was expecting 30" to now get 5 lol....my original thinking was 11-14 and I still think we get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How are the temps on the euro? Been ticking up for the past few hours now, nearing 35F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:01 AM, Dsnowx53 said: Yup. Looks like all snow, except maybe a little bit in the afternoon, but I don't have access to soundings. It's a cold run. And with likely decent ratios as the heights crash, anyone could be complaining? lol, for a lot of people this could be just as much or more snow than a more wrapped up solution with warmer temps. Still looks very, very impressive to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Total precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 imean for those of you complainingabout this run of the euro, areyou kidding me,it is very clos eto 12za little less qpf buti didnt cave to the gfs or anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Euro was a colder run right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:04 AM, WintersGrasp said: Yep....nice nice event ahead. Everyone acts like I was expecting 30" to now get 5 lol....my original thinking was 11-14 and I still think we get it My call still holds. I still think well over a foot for the immediate NYC metro and east. It would take a huge collapse IMO at this point to get an event that isn't impressive for us. Boston will likely get more snow than us, deal with it. And this system will likely have many surprises up its sleeve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 1.75+ NYC east...parts of coastal NJ in 1.75+ too but thats obv not all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:06 AM, leemhoc said: Euro was a colder run right? Looked at least as cold as 12z or even a little colder. Ratios of 12 or 15 to 1 can compensate for SLIGHTLY less liquid compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 5:59 AM, WintersGrasp said: I know it is posts like this that proves your worth about 95% of your post count is sanitation material.....read more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:06 AM, GD0815 said: imean for those of you complainingabout this run of the euro, areyou kidding me,it is very clos eto 12za little less qpf buti didnt cave to the gfs or anything Little less is likely 2.0 qpf in NYC instead of 2.2 qpf. Lol big whoop. Higher ratios late in the event too so that must be accounted for as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 1.75" liquid, what a bore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:02 AM, WintersGrasp said: Euro still would be a 12-16 inch storm as I see it....Boston looks like 20-30 or so....it was their storm anyway before this whole NAM fiasco began in the 12z runs voice of reason all of the sudden.....when is your map coming out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 So wait. Euro now shows 2 qpf and before 2.2qpf and we are complaining?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Knew this would reading BI's post in the New England thread. We still look great, let's just hope the east trend is done and we can finally reach a consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:08 AM, jm1220 said: Looked at least as cold as 12z or even a little colder. Ratios of 12 or 15 to 1 can compensate for SLIGHTLY less liquid compared to 12z. Bingo give that man a cookie! Lol. Have no problem forecasting 18-24 for NYC after seeing this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:09 AM, dbc said: Little less is likely 2.0 qpf in NYC instead of 2.2 qpf. Lol big whoop. Higher ratios late in the event too so that must be accounted for as well. exactly, Boxing Day only had 1.61" at NYC and .99 at JFK...ill take 2.00" and run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 What's wrong with a 12-18 inch snowstorm? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:11 AM, ruNNaWayIcEberG said: Euro still would be a 12-16 inch storm as I see it....Boston looks like 20-30 or so....it was their storm anyway before this whole NAM fiasco began in the 12z runs voice of reason all of the sudden.....when is your map coming out? No map...maybe if I get a few more requests ill make one though and I've been thinking these amounts for the past 24 hours or so...I think some of my negative posts about certain model runs made it seem as if I was banking on 30-40" or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS is really an outlier now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:12 AM, Snow88 said: What's wrong with a 12-18 inch snowstorm? lol absolutely nothing....where do i sign? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:08 AM, Kaner587 said: 1.75+ NYC east...parts of coastal NJ in 1.75+ too but thats obv not all snow That's still an amazing event, possibly a top 10 storm for NYC. Add 12-15 to 1 ratios at the height of it, and many still get 15-20" easy. So Boston gets 25", big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:11 AM, JSantanaNYC said: So wait. Euro now shows 2 qpf and before 2.2qpf and we are complaining?. Probably 1.8 of qpf not quite 2.0 bit it is colder so ratios are easily 12 - 15 to 1 95-99% snow if not all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:12 AM, ace0927 said: absolutely nothing....where do i sign? Precip should start in the morning hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:12 AM, ace0927 said: exactly, Boxing Day only had 1.61" at NYC and .99 at JFK...ill take 2.00" and run.... Absolutely. Boxing day had 1.7 QPF, yet we got 20-30" IF this is the SAME banding set up, we'd get more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 6:12 AM, CooL said: GFS is really an outlier now yup - across the board from the city east is between 12-18" and West of the city is a bit less... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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