Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 75 mph wind gust here. Can see the sky lighting up to the south and our power is flickering again. Gusts inbound with these returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The nature of the returns in SE MA/RI is pretty brutal but if you look at the NAM...there's maybe some hope in the next few hours as the flow turns a bit more NE. I don't know if you and I are going to get into the fun like the others, I kind of doubt it, but we should do okay. To God's ears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Based upon the current extrapolation, the low looks to stall about 60 mi NE of Cape Cod...am I on target? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 NBC30 just updated the map for CT. 15-30" for much of the state. That band that is cutting through the state is kicking some serious A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How far does everybody think the death band will lift nw? Where does it stop and pivot? I'd be willing to bet that it travels farther than most think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 00z Hi-Res NAM doesn't really kick this storm out of here until sometime after 10 am tomorrow morning..........that's another 12 hours if it is right. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How far does everybody think the death band will lift nw? Where does it stop and pivot? I'd be willing to bet that it travels farther than most think... You must be getting whacked pretty good right now if I am. Can't imagine what those super bands are like. Looks like a firehose has set up through FIT - ORH - HFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How far does everybody think the death band will lift nw? Where does it stop and pivot? I'd be willing to bet that it travels farther than most think... It will tickle Litchfield county. Not much more I don't think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Upton just updated, going 24+ for eastern 3 counties in CT, 14-24 for fairfield county. Cut way back in the city though, down to 8" there, that's not even warning criteria(9" in 24) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Can someone elaborate on expectations for Boston for the rest of the night? Are we missing out on the jackpot? Looks like Srn CT is where it's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What's going on with this storm? Is this the radar being attenuated or are we seeing the Ginxy gravity waves etc?Notable pulses up and down. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes EDIT you can see suddenly some drying on the east edge of the death band and suddenly it's getting crunched? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What's going on with this storm? Is this the radar being attenuated or are we seeing the Ginxy gravity waves etc? Notable pulses up and down. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=BOX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes EDIT you can see suddenly some drying on the east edge of the death band and suddenly it's getting crunched? Looks like the meat of the main course is about to begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Looks like the meat of the main course is about to begin. I hope so Bob, looks worse and worse by the update. Looks like dogshi* right now. Weird, soon as there was south west rotating out of Albany the Wizz/CT Rain band lost the pellets/ice/intensities. Still nice, but narrow band considering the region. Note at that time the snow pushed west towards NYC and a new band formed south of Block Island. Up by Ray it's opened up, by you, by me. And these returns down here, check the dual pol at least until last check (phone is upstairs) that was sleet at times. For the "height" of the storm the radar looks like ****. Hoping as 8h winds come to NE and some cold air is dragged down we see things light up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I just captured this image of the storm approaching the benchmark: RGEM takes it slowly northeast to about 150 miles east of BOS by 12z with a wicked looking N-NE gradient over southern New England. Would expect gusts to 70-80 mph inland and 80-100 mph on the coast the way this is winding up (from NNE). The deformation band would likely be extended northeast to run about 50 miles inland west of PWM to west of BOS by 06z and then would probably dissolve into the general banding of the storm later in the overnight. Some astronomical snowfall totals are possible, would not rule out 40-60 inch totals in some places close to this deformation band but also the storm is so wound up that some narrow dry slots are probably going to develop between bands. With the blowing and drifting this may not be very easy to measure by Sunday morning. This will be ranked in the top ten of all-time storms going as far back as records extend, for New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 GFS still out to lunch it seems, only has .5 QPF for most of the state since 7 PM and some areas probably have triple that. Even for me it busts and I was stuck in a dryslot for an hour. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 I hope so Bob, looks worse and worse by the update. Looks like dogshi* right now. Weird, soon as there was south west rotating out of Albany the Wizz/CT Rain band lost the pellets/ice/intensities. Still nice, but narrow band considering the region. Note at that time the snow pushed west towards NYC and a new band formed south of Block Island. Up by Ray it's opened up, by you, by me. And these returns down here, check the dual pol at least until last check (phone is upstairs) that was sleet at times. For the "height" of the storm the radar looks like ****. Hoping as 8h winds come to NE and some cold air is dragged down we see things light up. Much better snow here now. Flakes and flakes! I'm sending them up to you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Much better snow here now. Flakes and flakes! I'm sending them up to you! Probably another hour of snow here though, then wind and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Probably another hour of snow here though, then wind and dry. what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 southern CT and parts of LI just getting wrecked still. Cannot wait to see the totals out of that region, jackpot. Hartford on south...wow. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=okx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Regarding the collapse of the death band, I think the radar has been and is a bit deceiving. As soon as the heavy red echoes began to fade the character of the snow changed from big wettish flakes with occasional sleet mixed in to small dry crystalline snow… And the smaller flake/weaker echo stuff is MUCH more impressive in terms of how its accumulating. Don’t mistake the radar keying in on the size and type of precip for true heavy snow, we’re actually getting much more snow now the echoes have lightened. Don’t know if it’s like that for everyone, but here in New Haven I’ll take this stuff over the sleety mix at the height of the band any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Did anybody catch this? Could it be real Maybe the anemometer froze? There's no "AUTO" so it got quality controlled. METAR KOWD 090353Z 02017G79KT 1/4SM FZFG VV002 M06/M07 A2958 RMK AO2 PK WND 31079/0345 SNEMM SLP018 P0003 T10611067 PWINO FZRANO $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 what? Falmouth. We had snow since 8:00 this morning, moderate, but none of it "stuck." If it were 5 degrees colder, I would have 2 or 3 feet. But that doesn't count. So instead, I have 8 inches of mud, hurricane force winds, trees falling like dominoes, houses rocking off their foundations, and Ugg clad women chasing their bonnets, swimmingly. And electricity. So far. It's about as good as it gets. Especially when those women come back missing a thread or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 00z Hi-Res NAM doesn't really kick this storm out of here until sometime after 10 am tomorrow morning..........that's another 12 hours if it is right. Wow What is the big deal with that? Easily less then a 24 hr storm.....much less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilikebeer Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Long-time lurker; that's what we quant geeks do! Does anyone know why HRRR isn't updating? Power loss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What is the big deal with that? Easily less then a 24 hr storm.....much less. Why are you posting....if things are so awful? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Excellent topic guys. I've been glued to this thing for at least nine hours or more. Epic storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 What is the big deal with that? Easily less then a 24 hr storm.....much less. Yeah..the stall kind of failed. It slows for a bit, then shifts east. But the Euro idea of a multi-hour stall south of the cape was wrong. Good because this is laying waste to the regions power grid as is. Regarding the collapse of the death band, I think the radar has been and is a bit deceiving. As soon as the heavy red echoes began to fade the character of the snow changed from big wettish flakes with occasional sleet mixed in to small dry crystalline snow… And the smaller flake/weaker echo stuff is MUCH more impressive in terms of how its accumulating. Don’t mistake the radar keying in on the size and type of precip for true heavy snow, we’re actually getting much more snow now the echoes have lightened. Don’t know if it’s like that for everyone, but here in New Haven I’ll take this stuff over the sleety mix at the height of the band any day. Yeah, what we saw all at once was a shift aloft. 8h you had a warm pocket check it out. When that got obliterated the snow didn't go anywhere we just lost the bright banding etc/sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Why are you posting....if things are so awful? Decent storm but not historic up our way,It started snowing steady late in the day...in my view a 16 hour storm is no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 So what's the deal is this thing sticking around longer than originally thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Why are you posting....if things are so awful? Everyone has a viewpoint, they're all valid. I had forecasts for 18-24 or 24+ here for most of the day. Not happening I don't think, or even close. I think I'm still in the 14-18/18-24. NBD, it happens. A day ago this looked like it might last into Sunday morning when models had it stalling. It was at that point truly historic. It's out of here mid to late morning, not quite even a 24 hour storm. When we lost the stall we lost the epic aside of those fortunate enough to get into those crazy bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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