DaculaWeather Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 great time lapse from Portsmouth http://www.portsmouthwebcam.com/index.php/tugboats-time-lapse-3hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Yeah I think you guys get in on it. Pivot looks like its setting up Central/ eastern Ct to west of Orh You can see the deformation already taking shape. You have a col somewhere around NYC, and western CT up through western MA and central NH/ME are seeing that convergent flow. This is shaping up very nicely and anyone worrying need not be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You can see the deformation already taking shape. You have a col somewhere around NYC, and western CT up through western MA and central NH/ME are seeing that convergent flow. The snowfall rates in that band over LI into southern CT....that'll probably take the cake for this storm. Epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Had a gust to 57mph. Airport hit 59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You can see the deformation already taking shape. You have a col somewhere around NYC, and western CT up through western MA and central NH/ME are seeing that convergent flow. We are dumping up here. 24F powderfest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The snowfall rates in that band over LI into southern CT....that'll probably take the cake for this storm. Epic Just crushing 850 mb frontogenesis with that band. Definitely the kind of stuff that hasn't been seen at my folks place since 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 >24 area just keeps expanding .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Just crushing 850 mb frontogenesis with that band. Definitely the kind of stuff that hasn't been seen at my folks place since 2005. JMHO that'll be the most impressive radar of the night...down in that area. Pretty well modeled too off and on for the last day or so. Epic. >24 area just keeps expanding .. StormTotalSnowFcst-2.png Yeah, higher ratios and the north stall. Like I said that did matter, one mans loss is another mans gain. Glad to see ski country getting into it and the trails etc. If I can pull double digits here with this stuff I'll be pumped. I kind of think everything is going to shuffle a bit NW and the crush zone later is going to be Bob/Jerry/Scott/Ray maybe back to Will (not excluding RI over to Ginxy just not paying attention). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 it's starting to DUMP at the moneypitmike's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 JMHO that'll be the most impressive radar of the night...down in that area. Pretty well modeled too off and on for the last day or so. Epic. Yeah, higher ratios and the north stall. Like I said that did matter, one mans loss is another mans gain. Glad to see ski country getting into it and the trails etc. If I can pull double digits here with this stuff I'll be pumped. I kind of think everything is going to shuffle a bit NW and the crush zone later is going to be Bob/Jerry/Scott/Ray maybe back to Will (not excluding RI over to Ginxy just not paying attention). You could see it well modeled on those 4 km NAM reflectivity loops. As H8 frontogenesis goes to town in the early stages that band rots over SE New England. Then as the low nears peak intensity it separates into more deformation and secondary band closer to the low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhj Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 thunder snow and lightning power went out for 2 seconds back on . ripping here in the black point section of niantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ct_yankee Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Heavy to very heavy snow in New Haven now. The question is, will we still be in the heavy stuff when the stall happens, assuming it does happen? Hard to tell, but on radar animation it looks like the low center may be slowing down a tad, especially on the last few scans… Certainly can’t complain about current radar trends for our area, but how long will that hold up? Upton has upped our projected total to 22” so presumably they think these rates will continue for a good long while… But I’m kinda skeptical we’ll actually see that, as we’re looking to be just outside or right on the outer edge of the true jackpot zones. Guess we’ll find out soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The 700mb circulation continues to tighten with new enclosed contours developing and 700mb fronto continues to increase...if you think some are ripping now just wait for a few more hours...we've seen nothing yet! Also, for places further west you'll get into the action too...looks like we will see a pivot which should allow for much of everyone to get into this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 You could see it well modeled on those 4 km NAM reflectivity loops. As H8 frontogenesis goes to town in the early stages that band rots over SE New England. Then as the low nears peak intensity it separates into more deformation and secondary band closer to the low center. Yeah you guys get the technical aspect of it...to me it always seems as though once the low starts moving east those types of bands at least diminish a bit in intensity. In this case you explain what's about to happen. The best banding is setting up to the NW. The reason I was bummed with the stall being more NE, that's our time to make hay down here with the OE type stuff on the backside. I think most of the heaviest stuff stays just to my NW this evening. We will see later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 We should start seeing rates of 4-5''/HR...maybe even 6''/HR very soon for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Wow, New London County is getting smoked! Looks like I might miss out on the heavier stuff as it is just to my south heading towards Kevin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HarveyLeonardFan Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Radar returns south of ACK and MVY aren't looking all that healthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 We should start seeing rates of 4-5''/HR...maybe even 6''/HR very soon for some. that's what they have now in NL and Middlesex counties heading NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 that's what they have now in NL and Middlesex counties heading NW Enjoy...that will be to you shortly and me a time after that. If anyone is seeing like 5-6''/HR rates now I can't think of how it will be in a few hours b/c the fronto will only continue increasing and the 700mb low is continuing deepening and closing off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 We should start seeing rates of 4-5''/HR...maybe even 6''/HR very soon for some. Paul, it looks good for me, you think? The really good radar echoes seem to weaken as it heads NW to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Radar returns south of ACK and MVY aren't looking all that healthy. QPF south of the low track was always meager, this is all about where the bands set up and sit...and sit....for a looong time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Yeah you guys get the technical aspect of it...to me it always seems as though once the low starts moving east those types of bands at least diminish a bit in intensity. In this case you explain what's about to happen. The best banding is setting up to the NW. The reason I was bummed with the stall being more NE, that's our time to make hay down here with the OE type stuff on the backside. I think most of the heaviest stuff stays just to my NW this evening. We will see later. Exactly, you get intense WAA until the low slips east. This banding is basically being forced by that intense WAA, and it will weaken once the low gets passed a certain longitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Any tips on how to measure this? I'm staying at a large holiday inn, it has a forest about 100 feet south of it and a big parking lot in between. I have a yardstick but can't find a spot : / lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Based on latest pressure falls and current position, looks like it'll track just a tickle southeast of the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Any tips on how to measure this? I'm staying at a large holiday inn, it has a forest about 100 feet south of it and a big parking lot in between. I have a yardstick but can't find a spot : / lol In the trees actually might be most sheltered...but might be tough to trudge into there, lol. OTherwise try and find a place that doesn't appear to be drifting too much...easier said than done though. I sometimes will just take about 10 measurements in areas that aren't obvious drifts or valleys and average them if its bad and I don't have a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Paul, it looks good for me, you think? The really good radar echoes seem to weaken as it heads NW to me Yes, both you and I should rip very soon, if not already! I just got 1'' in the past hour and it looks like that will be cranking up very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 scooter getting plastered out of his mind with snow now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 In the trees actually might be most sheltered...but might be tough to trudge into there, lol. OTherwise try and find a place that doesn't appear to be drifting too much...easier said than done though. I sometimes will just take about 10 measurements in areas that aren't obvious drifts or valleys and average them if its bad and I don't have a good spot. Thought so, with these winds I'm kind of nervous to walk under these oaks...Don't want to die out here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Now with the banding beginning to take shape and locate now we watch to see when H5 closes off and the system starts to stall...once that happens and the band is dumping it's massive load over people that band will sit there for hours and hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Thought so, with these winds I'm kind of nervous to walk under these oaks...Don't want to die out here lol. About to be go time....your in the area ENE of ORH where the country line indents to the west....right on the line there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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