CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS may be too dry,that's the biggest issue...probably related to the capture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think that 4km nam is onto something. Current representing the CCB very well. We shall see. Super duper weenie solution for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 http://www.weatherstreet.com/satellite-loops-us-east-coast.htm sick sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Where is this town? Wow Weather Underground @wunderground 12.1 inches of snow has fallen in Youngstown, NY. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Super duper weenie solution for here. do you have the link for total qpf on that? I can only look at frame by frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Where is this town? Wow Weather Underground @wunderground 12.1 inches of snow has fallen in Youngstown, NY. Expand Locally 8-12" here so far depending on elevation. Really didn't expect to get that much today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 the GF is lying next to me looking at the board, and said "hey what is with all the weenie talk" lmao picking up here in wakefield with snow and winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Interesting spread on the temps across the region. 19.3/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloudsncontrails Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Where is this town? Wow Weather Underground @wunderground 12.1 inches of snow has fallen in Youngstown, NY. Expand Google is your friend http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Youngstown,_New_York Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS may be too dry,that's the biggest issue...probably related to the capture. Yeah, but I don't think the orientation of the precip on the RGEM/GFS is proving to be bad. The big question is how much does that band explode over CT/WMA in the next few hours? One camp says not much, other says a ton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Beautiful 850-700mb frontogenesis starting to set up just north and west of the main center! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z hrrrr (4km) nam has 3 qpf for bos and surrounding areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Probably about 1/2 mile visibility, but the snow is mostly a slowly accumulating pixie dust. Probably between 1/2 and 1 inch, but I haven't measured yet. Downsloping has been an issue all afternoon, but it's not as bad now as it was earlier. Winds are gusting over 25 MPH. This radar capture shows the downslope areas nicely west of the mountains, especially that area immediately west of Mt. Greylock and the Taconics. Look just west of the MA, VT, NY triple point. They're probably just flurries there right now. These same areas will get enhancement in a NW flow situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Pretty intense bands right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 First band from the main system getting going across southern NH now, associated with some H7 frontogenesis. PSM has been +SN for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 First band from the main system getting going across southern NH now, associated with some H7 frontogenesis. PSM has been +SN for a while now. Roger Edwards issuing winter weather MCDs, it seriously doesn't get better. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0124.html MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0124 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0351 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND...LONG ISLAND AND SRN NY...FAR NERN NJ CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 082151Z - 090145Z SUMMARY...SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY THIS EVENING ...WITH RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HR OVER SRN NY/NERN NJ...TO 2-3 INCHES ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND. ADDITIONALLY...STRENGTHENING WINDS MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST. DISCUSSION...SFC OBS FROM 21Z CONTINUE TO REFLECT A RAPIDLY DEEPENING OFFSHORE CYCLONE...WITH PRESSURE FALLS OF 3-4 MB/HR OBSERVED. RADAR REFLECTIVITY MOSAIC SHOWS HIGHER PRECIPITATION RATES ARE BEGINNING TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND TOWARDS RI/SRN MA/SRN CT. HOWEVER...SOME BRIGHT-BAND ENHANCEMENT MAY BE OCCURRING AS MIXED P-TYPE OF RAIN AND/OR SNOW IS PREDOMINANT ACROSS LONG ISLAND...WHERE SFC TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY RANGING FROM 33-35 F. INITIALLY...NEAR- OR ABOVE-FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY SUPPRESS RATES IMMEDIATELY ALONG THE COAST...BUT WITH LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION INCREASING AS THE CYCLONE TRACKS N-NE...A CHANGEOVER TO PREDOMINANTLY SNOW IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 2-3 HRS ACROSS MOST OF THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. SNOWFALL RATES WILL BE INCREASING IN CONCERT WITH INTENSE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WITHIN A DEFORMATION ZONE. ADDITIONALLY...AN UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH /LOCATED OVER THE UPPER OH VALLEY PER 2130Z WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/ IS FORECAST TO PHASE WITH THE OFFSHORE DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE. AS THIS OCCURS...THE COMBINATION OF STRONG MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AND UPPER DIVERGENCE WITHIN A COUPLED UPPER JET STRUCTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING DEEP-LAYER ASCENT. FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A NEARLY SATURATED COLUMN WITH A DEEP ISOTHERMAL LAYER LOCATED BENEATH THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. THESE FACTORS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREMELY HIGH SNOWFALL RATES...ESPECIALLY FROM ERN LONG ISLAND INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...INCLUDING THE BOSTON METRO AREA...AS SUPPORTED BY THE RECENT SUITE OF HIGH-RESOLUTION NUMERICAL GUIDANCE. ..ROGERS.. 02/08/2013 ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...OKX...ALY...PHI... LAT...LON 41487041 41157173 40917237 40527347 40487426 40887445 41967427 42867373 43097258 43197147 43017087 42627073 42117042 41487041 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I liked this one better. I guess my overall point was we're still ripping at 12z according to that. I do like how it quickly breaks things up around 16z, probably more realistic that the rest of the guidance saying we hang on to snow until 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I guess my overall point was we're still ripping at 12z according to that. I do like how it quickly breaks things up around 16z, probably more realistic that the rest of the guidance saying we hang on to snow until 00z. I was just getting IMBY and Eek beat me to it anyways. How much do you guys have at GYX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Locally 8-12" here so far depending on elevation. Really didn't expect to get that much today. Congrats! Stowe is one of my favorite places! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ummmm......what's going on with the dry slot from hell west of the Hudson? 19.0/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Snow is accumulating quickly, getting colder now with the sunset and the low moving NNEward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was just getting IMBY and Eek beat me to it anyways. How much do you guys have at GYX? 5.7" with some pretty good blowing and drifting already. I expect us to be right in the thick of it based on the current trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 5.7" with some pretty good blowing and drifting already. I expect us to be right in the thick of it based on the current trends. Do you have any sense as to how much Bath/Brunswick area have received so far? I can't find a link to the spotter reports on the GYX site. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 look at the ML fronto going on SPC http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16&parm=pchg&underlay=1# matches Box radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Do you have any sense as to how much Bath/Brunswick area have received so far? I can't find a link to the spotter reports on the GYX site. Thanks. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GYX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=0&highlight=off It's buried in our winter weather page features, but anywhere between 6 and 8" I would say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Even 700-500mb frontogenesis starting to get going!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Enhanced cloud tops south of Long Island, NY. Lightning strikes detected to the northwest of the surface low center. A lot of snow falling out of the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'd be nervous about a bust points NYC west and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Really winding up now, check out this large vapor loop http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/satellite/displaySat.php?region=ALB&itype=wv&size=large&endDate=20130208&endTime=-1&duration=4 About 9mb the last two hours SE of the Cape http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44008&unit=M&tz=STN 15z SREFs look pretty reasonable to me with the 2" contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Smoke show... That will be sick!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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