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Feb 8-9th Blizzard Thread


dryslot

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Uhhhhh... gotta think nam west outlier and alone on a ledge. Likely over amped.

 

boy..what a miserable forecast for the people down there.  It looked like it was going to run further east initially, convection fires off in a major way and the low just tracks along with it pretty close to the VA/DE/NJ coast before it bends back out. 

 

I don't know how we can say toss it to be honest.  No way of knowing yet.

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I don't know, it looked good coming off the coast of VA, then it runs pretty well west as the convection explodes before looping more to the east.  That riding left to along the DE/NJ coast has it left the rest of the time.  NJ would likely get crushed?

Looks like the surface low centered about 30 miles s/e of nantucket at 30??

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I toss that without more support. I mean nyc peeps your pretty warm too you should be rooting a little east

There is no way there will be any sort of mid level or surface warm layer if that scenario played out uinless we're talking before 18Z, the NAM at 00Z shows N-NE winds with  the 700 and 850 lows 100 miles to the SE and thinks its going to be raining over CT LI and NYC...never.

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