weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You can already get an idea of where the heaviest banding is likely to setup...can;t completely rule out banding as far back as central MA into central CT but the fronto map is already shaping up as a beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is the wrf tossed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hey in case you jackpot freaks didn't notice. It's snowing and it gon' snow for the next 24 hours. And how by the way it's a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah 6" in the valley in western mass on the gfs...yikes. I get how it moved west slightly but it barely budged. The EC did move east but that barely budged and has been consistent. I would still go with a 20-28" forecast here, I honestly don't think we get less than 20". Yeah, a little underdone perhaps. I'm already into moderate snow w/ nice coating in the N end of valley. If it snows just at this rate I would be over 6" before the heavy stuff was progged to move in. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm starting to get a litte nervous....if I end up with like 15", it's a fail....I know people will want to choke me for saying that, but oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 You can already get an idea of where the heaviest banding is likely to setup...can;t completely rule out banding as far back as central MA into central CT but the fronto map is already shaping up as a beauty I like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Measured snowfall ratios from Norwalk, CT are about 7:1 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hey in case you jackpot freaks didn't notice. It's snowing and it gon' snow for the next 24 hours. And how by the way it's a blizzard. Great post. People need to relax. Not everywhere is going to Jackpot-enjoy the foot plus and wind and relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ray I think you'll be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I like This map will be fun to watch blossom throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Messenger and Phil are starting to get that creepy, subtle excitement for a cc jackpot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm starting to get a litte nervous....if I end up with like 15", it's a fail....I know people will want to choke me for saying that, but oh well You'll be fine...I think you end up with around 2' or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hey in case you jackpot freaks didn't notice. It's snowing and it gon' snow for the next 24 hours. And how by the way it's a blizzard. There's that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Great post. People need to relax. Not everywhere is going to Jackpot-enjoy the foot plus and wind and relax. yep. someone's always going to be pissed for missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Messenger and Phil are starting to get that creepy, subtle excitement for a cc jackpot lol nah. it would have to really shift SE and i don't think that's happening. i still like BOS/PVD corridor in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ray I think you'll be ok Yeah I can't see him doing worse than about 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 15Z Update on my TrendCast: Boston Weather Progression: Light Snow from now through 02Z, then heavy snow will begin from 09/03Z to 09/14Z. Snow rates will be around .2"/hr til 03Z, then increase to 1.5" to 1.7"/hr til 14Z. Accumulations of 17-20" possible during this time frame. Visibilities will be 1-2 miles now, then after 00Z drop below one mile, with winds 08020G30-35 til 02Z, then increase NE at 30G40-45Kts. Providence Weather Progression: Light snow from now until 20Z, then snow increasing rapidly from 20Z to 13Z. Snow rates will be around .3".hr til 20Z, then increase to 1.1 to 1.9"/hr, peaking up to 2.5 to 2.8"/hr from 02Z to 09Z. Accumulations of 19-22" possible during this timeframe. Winds will be NE 20G30-35Kts til 04Z, then NE at 27G41Kts til 07Z. Refershed all new cities: http://smartwxmodel.net/MA.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You can already get an idea of where the heaviest banding is likely to setup...can;t completely rule out banding as far back as central MA into central CT but the fronto map is already shaping up as a beauty You wouldn't want to explain that would you? Sorry, just trying to follow along quietly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 9z SREF plumes are quite impressive for snowfall totals out across eastern MA. Definitely think some end up with about 3' of snow...maybe close to 40''. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Messenger and Phil are starting to get that creepy, subtle excitement for a cc jackpot lol They did jackpot in 2005 (January) but I recall you saying how much of a great storm it ws for you. Unless you just want to jackpot. That thinking leads to a nearly 100% chance of disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 12z SUNY mm5 is absolutely insane for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Nice to see everything coming into a good consensus. Euro moved east at 00z... GFS moved west at 12z. Truth is somewhere inbetween. The trend today as been a track outside of the BM and a later capture/stall east of ACK as opposed to south of MVY. That puts the jackpot zone from CT (which was unlikely from the get go) to E Mass with the 24"+ potential. I like Foxborough to Taunton for the super weenie totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You wouldn't want to explain that would you? Sorry, just trying to follow along quietly. Frontogenesis basically measures the change in temperature over a period of time as well as distance. If this case we are seeing solid red lines which indicates that the temperature gradient (change in temperature) is increasing with time. This is indicative that the coastal front associated with this system is strengthening or a new one could perhaps form (if there isn't one already). The more contours you have = greater temperature gradient over a given time/distance = the stronger the lift associated with the front = heavier the snowfall rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN 11AM Blizzard: Position 62mi NE of Hatteras NC; Est min central pressure 29.91" (991mb); Max sustained 45mph, Gusts 55mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 AWT @GovMalloyOffice: Gov. Malloy will be declaring a State of Emergency in preparation for the coming blizzard. #CTStorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Can somebody post storm or qpf totals from the 12z Suny MM5 please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 AWT @GovMalloyOffice: Gov. Malloy will be declaring a State of Emergency in preparation for the coming blizzard. #CTStorm Do you think the state gets shut down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 AWT @GovMalloyOffice: Gov. Malloy will be declaring a State of Emergency in preparation for the coming blizzard. #CTStorm He's gonna shut the state down. Whatever that means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kcrosby Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just drove from Boston to Newry maine. 35 in Boston and mist , 9 in newry with light snow. Dumping along the 95 corridor from Portsmouth to portland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ursa99 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Boom!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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