weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Nice! Snowing now....love when the snow blows down the street as happens in the big ones. Here near across from the Gahden near the north end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We've had plenty of jackpots the last few years. We're going to get a lot of snow...just probably not as much as to our SE. You seem really "woe is me" this morning. LOL. Maybe becasue my daughter has a school day, my wife's work was cancelled, and I never get a snow day since I work from home. It is sillly to be bummed by 'only' 12-18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Nice! Snowing now....love when the snow blows down the street as happens in the big ones. Here near across from the Gahden near the north end. At Downtown Crossing...snowing lightly here too. Going to take the last train out back to ORH at 2:45 before the shut down the MBTA. I'm thinking this is going to be 20+ for BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 LOL. Maybe becasue my daughter has a school day, my wife's work was cancelled, and I never get a snow day since I work from home. It is sillly to be bummed by 'only' 12-18". You and I are bummed, but I can recall many others who completely melted down when they were in our shoes. A sick passion..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not surprising at all that the Nam is coming in line with the rest of the guidance. I mentioned it last night. I lol'd at the posters saying the Gfs is a piece of crap and not worth tax money. Its a piece of guidance and shouldn't be ignored. I'm not saying its going to be right but it did advertise the east component. I know its hard to take the weenie hats off and be objective but you can't dismiss everything because it doesn't drop the gauntlet on your backyard. Enjoy the snow, whatever falls. Its a win this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Why would anyone doubt the Euro, 2 inches QPF with the winds, certainly historic for CT. I feel good for your area. Certainly don't doubt the euro but it did take a noticeable jog east overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 What is he getting this from? Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN Inland penetration of coastal front, if storm really ramps up, opesn door for change to coastal rain b4 back to snow overnight Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I believe the snow total predictions are inflated...cut in half is much more likely. Still a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Using that SREF plume viewer site, the numbers have been really stable for the last 24 hours, at least in my area. The outliers have bounced around a bit - but the mean has been rock steady. Some of the weenie members are hilarious - 09Z SREF weenie record for KASH - 49" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You can see how Noyes derived his snow jackpot zone,, right to the wnw of the coastal front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 What is he getting this from? Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN Inland penetration of coastal front, if storm really ramps up, opesn door for change to coastal rain b4 back to snow overnight Expand he's off the deep end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ok, I feel better about that new box map... At least I am not alone in the letdown of less than 2'. It does say 18"-24" for us so it's not like Box is thinking 2' is somehow now out of the realms of possibility. Big storm incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 What is he getting this from? Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN Inland penetration of coastal front, if storm really ramps up, opesn door for change to coastal rain b4 back to snow overnight Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 i don't care too much about the RAP model...but the 14z RAP wobbles the low north for an hour or so...and then almost ENE...it actually looks pretty far S of the BM...but that's out toward the end of it's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 At Downtown Crossing...snowing lightly here too. Going to take the last train out back to ORH at 2:45 before the shut down the MBTA. I'm thinking this is going to be 20+ for BOS. Yeah most people called and rescheduled so I'm outta here before the shut down though I could walk the 5 miles home.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ackwaves Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Where is the latest guidance? Benchmark or just east of Benchmark? We've been snowing since 9am. 35f. I'm trying to get a handle on when the change happens and when it goes back to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 DT' final map overall looks pretty good..though some totals might need to be nudged upwards http://1664596.sites.myregisteredsite.com/meteorology/LAST.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I feel good for your area. Certainly don't doubt the euro but it did take a noticeable jog east overnight. you know better than most, banding and mesos will determine the outcome. I think 18-24 for most is acceptable. Lol on the angst with some posters. The radar coming into SW CT looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 would like to ask mets how the Northern shortwave is acting wrt strength/speed. a slower northern stream would mean a later capture by a few hrs right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 DT' final map overall looks pretty good..though some totals might need to be nudged upwards http://1664596.sites.myregisteredsite.com/meteorology/LAST.jpg Pretty much looks like everyone else's maps at this point. Big Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 12z ECMWF may shift a very slight bit east, but this storm is clearly becoming phased with the upper low as the southern low has recently taken a hard left/northward turn, the cloud field is expanding and cooling over SNE ahead of the upper low...which indicates the warm air advection associated with the southern low is beginning to spread ahead of the northern stream. Bigger question now becomes mesoscale dynamics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SREFs were a bit east of the NAM so still think it nudges east, but GFS comes west. Closer to NAM than GFS. Has jackpot BOS - PVD - GON and east. QPF max east of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The late stall/capture seems like a lock now. Notice it slows east of ack as opposed to southwest of ack. Big difference ct/w mass but a big big hit east. this is EXACTLY what i was worried about...it's like march 01 all over again and jan 05 all over again those few who said they were worried about a last minute jog east were right all along, even from three days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Definite cf penetration but so far all snow...increasing slowly. I'm at waters edge practically today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 What are folks thoughts on winds? when do we start cranking up in that dept? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 CF is slowly moving se it appears. May stall but looks near or just west of BED and LWM. Slowly moving south on GYX radar too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I feel good for your area. Certainly don't doubt the euro but it did take a noticeable jog east overnight. Definitely need to keep expectations in check for us west of the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The 12z ECMWF may shift a very slight bit east, but this storm is clearly becoming phased with the upper low as the southern low has recently taken a hard left/northward turn, the cloud field is expanding and cooling over SNE ahead of the upper low...which indicates the warm air advection associated with the southern low is beginning to spread ahead of the northern stream. Bigger question now becomes mesoscale dynamics.Exactly. All systems go. Let's get this party started. Lol Portland has 6 inches already, that is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 CF is LITERALLY set up about 2 miles to my south.....24 imby, then street got wet once I hit the Burlington line....wet here in Bedford.......!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 this is EXACTLY what i was worried about...it's like march 01 all over again and jan 05 all over again those few who said they were worried about a last minute jog east were right all along, even from three days ago not a big deal for most...we all still get 12-15 inches at the bottom end of that range. In a winter like this, I will take that and run any day of the week. Enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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