weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Let me know if your anywhere near my hood I will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was explaining how much I wanted as much snow as possible....50 or more if it were doable. After we catch up on sleep when the storm ends we'll need another snow fix. Lets enjoy this one.....a truly epic event for the ages. Think about it, 2-3 inch qpf rainstorms are noteworthy when people always say...imagine if this was snow? Now it will be!The best part is the mild up next week is gone and there's a snow storm progged late week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How much QPF was in the April Fools 1997 storm? I gotta imagine that was more QPF as snow than what this storm looks to be. What a disaster that was for NNE. We had .5" at Plymouth State. Yeah there was quite a bit of wasted QPF in 97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was explaining how much I wanted as much snow as possible....50 or more if it were doable. After we catch up on sleep when the storm ends we'll need another snow fix. Lets enjoy this one.....a truly epic event for the ages. Think about it, 2-3 inch qpf rainstorms are noteworthy when people always say...imagine if this was snow? Now it will be! Jerry you are one of my idols on this board, a non met yet an absolute treasure of information. Enjoy this storm, I know you've been waiting all winter for it. The ghosts of 93-94 are not walking through that door but I think this will do How many of us will be imbibing in something special tomorrow night, toasting GInxy, then heading out for a JebWalk in a whiteout !!! Congrats to all !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How much QPF was in the April Fools 1997 storm? I gotta imagine that was more QPF as snow than what this storm looks to be. That was something like 3.5 in BOS but we lost at least a inch to rain as it didn't get cold enough until the storm wrapped up. Remember it was in the 60s the day before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm just thunder struck by this text - it's like what you read about out over one of those Alaska peninsulas Snow. Snow may be heavy at times. Additional snow accumulation of 12 to 18 inches. Very windy with lows around 20. northeast winds 30 to 40 mph. Gusts up to 50 mph...increasing to 65 mph after midnight. Chance of snow near 100 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just pushed out a fresh new output on my TrendCast. Current Snowfall projections based on my inputs are as follows: Boston:24.8" Providence: 23.8" Worcester: 24.4" Long Island: 12.5" JFK: 8.1" Boston weather progression: Looking for light snow to begin around 17Z, then increasing in intensity around 01Z, with a zone of 02Z to 15Z with snow rates 1.0" and greater, with a peak of 2" around 05Z ot 09Z. In addition, tracking winds above 44KTS beginning from 09/03Z to 19Z, with a peak of 48KTS possible. Major impact to Air Travel with LIFR conditions from 08/19Z to 09/18Z. Providence weather progression: Light snow starting around 17Z, then increasing around 09/02Z, with a zone of heavy snow from 03Z to 10Z, with rates of 1" or greater per hour, with a peak of 2.5" per hour from 05Z to 08Z. In addition, winds will be above 44Kts from 09/03Z to 09/11Z, with a peak of 48Kts. Uploaded all the impacted output at http://smartwxmodel.net/MA.htm output is now auto-updating every 3 hours as new surface observations are feed into my program. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Jerry you are one of my idols on this board, a non met yet an absolute treasure of information. Enjoy this storm, I know you've been waiting all winter for it. The ghosts of 93-94 are not walking through that door but I think this will do How many of us will be imbibing in something special tomorrow night, toasting GInxy, then heading out for a JebWalk in a whiteout !!! Congrats to all !!!! Hey Mark...thanks for the kind words! We have to meet in brookline one of these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Can us SNE'ers call this the Ginxy storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was out skiing and away from internet...any sig changes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Can us SNE'ers call this the Ginxy storm? How about the ginxy birthday blizzard? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was out skiing and away from internet...any sig changes? Nope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I was out skiing and away from internet...any sig changes? You might get 25 instead of 24 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 How about the ginxy birthday blizzard? Yup...although Tip had early insight, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterLand Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I am still trying to wrap my mind around the magnitude of this storm...It seems so surreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You might get 25 instead of 24 inches I honestly think the under on that here...18-20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The precip amounts the euro is showing are close to what 2/5/2010 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That was something like 3.5 in BOS but we lost at least a inch to rain as it didn't get cold enough until the storm wrapped up. Remember it was in the 60s the day before. So true, I was out in Littleton by 495 and we rained a good part of that night....that was classic.....beautiful Sunday (right?) in the 60's and the new snow record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hoe from work and was looking at 18z data and just can't believe it. Someone is going to pump out 36-40'' of snow if that deformation band can sit somewhere for a solid 4-5 hours which is highly possibly with the slow nature of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 guys i see boston bouy is 40.6F and winds are forecast to be E tommorrow thru what 5-6pm? Are we SURE that areas in EMA near the water don't start as rain for a few hours tommorrow afternoon. i mean like BOS, Scituate, ? etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I just had a moment ... I was reading some of the finer details of the various warning messages by NWS, and it was reminding me of the Blizzard of '78, the Cleveland Superbomb, where I experience as a child in Kalamazoo, Michigan. I clicked on a desktop window that I had opened up that featured the NWS radar, from earlier, over southern Lower Michigan and Chicago areas, and low a behold, the vort max of the N stream appears as though it is going to pass right over Kalamazoo. And here we are, comparing this to the grandfather of all storms. There were too haul ass horrific storms that year, the Cleveland bomb, and the incredible storm up here in the NE, two weeks later. There seems to be some kind of mystical connection between Michigan and Massachusetts, like what happens there, happens here the next day, or transitively, a few weeks later. I once then read about a Michigan tornado outbreak and an F5 tornado in Flint Michigan - the next day, there was the great Worcester tornado. June 1953. Spatial irony I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 guys i see boston bouy is 40.6F and winds are forecast to be E tommorrow thru what 5-6pm? Are we SURE that areas in EMA near the water don't start as rain for a few hours tommorrow afternoon. i mean like BOS, Scituate, ? etc. Its possible on the s-shore....perhaps briefly BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Updated snowfall probabilities. My 2 things to watch are mesoscale banding (obviously) an dthe track of the mid level low. A track like the GFS is a more run of the mill 10"-15" kinda storm. Something like the NAM/Euro (old EE rule in effect? is an historic event given the stall that's progged and some of the other parameters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 While we're waiting for modelsis a good time to radar hallucinate. It's already banding across the tidewater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 0z is going to be interesting along the coast to our south. I haven't spent a ton of time looking but based on the various 0z analysis from SPC etc, RAP and what not, I'd say the low is a smidge E or ESE of the 18z models that ticked west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Updated snowfall probabilities. My 2 things to watch are mesoscale banding (obviously) an dthe track of the mid level low. A track like the GFS is a more run of the mill 10"-15" kinda storm. Something like the NAM/Euro (old EE rule in effect? is an historic event given the stall that's progged and some of the other parameters. ryan what are your caution flags with this system, i can speak for everyone here saying you are one of the best, so is there something you are seeing (that lends credence to the GFS mid level low positioning) , that has you concerned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 21z SREFS definitely ticked SE just a smidge. They just came out. Not much, normal wobbles, but SE. with the 1" and 2" lines in New England. Pretty sure it is tracking on the right side of the 18z guidance, but we'll see. That doesn't mean much at all to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The late February 2010 double snow event here was absurd in terms of water content. 46" here and up to 60" around Berne with snow that was 10-1 ratio or even a bit wetter. That would be hard to top. How much QPF was in the April Fools 1997 storm? I gotta imagine that was more QPF as snow than what this storm looks to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 21z SREF 500mb looks better but the precip looks a tad weaker and a bit farther East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 21z SREFs a rolled out. Still 2.5" 24h totals in SE MA/CC 2" fo E MA/RI 1" for S VT/ S NH/ S ME/ CT 0.5" just S of canadian border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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