CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS a touch east from 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I see you guys post the RPM model, is it a reliable model for short term? I generally use the HRRR for 12 hr forecasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 i just went through the NAM step-by-step from 12z through 00z runs (i hate that it keeps running NW) i honestly think it is just very slowly slipping toward the consensus. you can see it with the track of some of the 9h to 8h lows etc. gfs is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:27 AM, CoastalWx said: The RGEM makes sense to me...I actually am a little surprised it's not a bit NW...but it seems to make sense. Yeah me too. It's what I expected the NAM to do. GFS is actually a little SE of the 18z OP GFS run through 21 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 0z GFS is slightly east of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS hangs tough. East for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Gas stations in ECT out of gas, hope deliveries arrive in the AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gfs and NAM are worlds apart.. even with only 12 hrs till the event starts.. crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 how do you find total precip from the canadian its giving me a headache Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:34 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: i just went through the NAM step-by-step from 12z through 00z runs (i hate that it keeps running NW) i honestly think it is just very slowly slipping toward the consensus. you can see it with the track of some of the 9h to 8h lows etc. gfs is interesting. Yeah. This is pretty much what the RAP has been doing FWIW, it kept all the heavy moisture off the coast north of about the VA Capes through it's run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charleskoz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS would be a big bust for a lot of places. Rare to see the GFS and NAM so divergent this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The rgem has been solid in past events. The Nam not so much. Just sayin' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:34 AM, CT Rain said: GFS hangs tough. East for sure. On 2/8/2013 at 3:36 AM, charleskoz said: GFS would be a big bust for a lot of places. Rare to see the GFS and NAM so divergent this close in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Stubborn GFS not budging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:34 AM, Ginxy said: Gas stations in ECT out of gas, hope deliveries arrive in the AMMy RI sister could not find gas last I heard. No issues here as far a sI know. Supermarket was nbd either Link for RGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:36 AM, Hazey said: The rgem has been solid in past events. The Nam not so much. Just sayin' On 2/8/2013 at 3:36 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: yikes Someone correct me if I'm misreading the RGEM, but doesn't it confine the big hit to eastern areas this run, particularly ese areas? GFS is definitely allowing this out further. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS would be epic bust for NYC lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yikes...that gfs has me thinking.. Probably brings me below a foot here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM on one side and GFS way ont he other....I still like the very consistent and middle ground Euro/SREF/RGEM type solutions for my final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:37 AM, ORH_wxman said: Stubborn GFS not budging. It's weird. I figured it would tick toward consensus even if it didn't make a big jump. I'm really surprised it went in the other direction. A bit concerning to be honest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 GFS would be like 10-12" need some analysis.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol, GFS would be a train wreck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Fox 25 is on crack. Less than 12" SE of TAN. my buddy interned with Kevin. He thinks it's bogus too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:38 AM, CT Rain said: It's weird. I figured it would tick toward consensus even if it didn't make a big jump. I'm really surprised it went in the other direction. A bit concerning to be honest. Ryan...isn't the RGEM kind of far east too? This loop looks to me not that different from the GFS http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is Pickles still pacing the Tobin? I still have faith in the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 The old back of the mind slip east solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 there's no capture until the gulf of maine. looks a bit like some of those older runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 On 2/8/2013 at 3:38 AM, dryslot said: lol, GFS would be a train wreck every met would be run out of town if the gfs would actually occur. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 meh...if the Euro starts itching towards the GFS then I would really worry, however, if the Euro is like the NAM or more like the NAM I wouldn't bet against the Euro/NAM combo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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