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February 8th-9th Snowstorm/Blizzard Event Observations


WeatherFox

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000

FXUS61 KOKX 090453

AFDOKX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

1153 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS FOR EASTERN LI AND CT OVERNIGHT WITH

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF CLOSED ROADS AND STRANDED CARS.

FORECAST UPDATED TO INCORPORATE LATEST REPORTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS

AND BANDING EVOLUTION.

NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGIES ARE CURRENTLY PHASING WITH

LOW PRESSURE CONTINUING TO DEEPEN AS IT DRIFTS NE THROUGH THE

40/70 BENCHMARK.

PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED TO ALL SNOW WITH N TO NW FLOW FOR ALL

BUT THE SOUTH FORK OF SUFFOLK COUNTY...WITH EVEN THERE EXPECTED

TO CHANGEOVER SHORTLY. LARGE 100 MILE WIDE SNOW BAND EXTENDING FROM

DOWNEAST MAINE THROUGH CT INTO LI...WITH WESTERN EDGE TO HUDSON

RIVER INTO NYC. UP TO 2 TO 4 INCH SNOWFALL RATES EXPECTED UNDER

THIS BAND AS IT GRADUALLY SLIDES EAST AND DISSIPATES BETWEEN 2 AND

5 AM. THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 18 TO 36 INCHES LIKELY FROM

NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL SUFFOLK COUNTY INTO CENTRAL CT.

IN TERMS OF WINDS...LOOKS LIKE WIND FIELD IS A BIT NARROWER THAN

MODELED. WITH 60 TO 80 MILE PER HOUR GUSTS RELEGATED TO EAST OF

THE CT AND LI. GENERALLY EXPECTING UP TO 40 MPH GUSTS ACROSS THE

NYC METRO AND WESTERN LI/CT...WITH HIGHEST GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH

ACROSS EASTERN LI AND CT. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THIS

AREA THROUGH 2 TO 5 AM. WINDS TO THE WEST WILL BE GENERALLY UP TO

30 MPH WITH STILL BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

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Is this storm going to end from sw to ne or w to e?

It cant stall can it? How much potential qpf left for snow starved south nassau?

it kind of does stall, although in terms of precip and snow this was predicted for us. These bands will consolidate and dissipate through 4-5am before moving out. The rates in these backend stuff are high...probably at leas 1in/hr but as high as 4 especially out on LI. 

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