ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Rain snow line moving north again for Nassau and Soffolk that is a very bad sign.. where are the goggle wearers who were arguing with me about the MM5 earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 first time the model will ever be right and will ever be right...if thats the case we get very little real accums Still gives Suffolk County 18-24" somehow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This is just crazy that at this stage warm air is actually ADVANCING again. I guess the meso models were onto something with the warm nose that fought its way back in. Still thinking we make it to 12" but every hour we keep this warm nose it gets more likely we end up getting relatively in a shaft zone. Don't think we'll even be close to 12 on the south shore..lucky to get 6 later tonight..big downer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 power flickering here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 its still light out ..street lights aren't even on yet Rayleigh scattering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 now just flurries here...the edge of the screw zone is dangerously close to me like breathing on my doorstep close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 So this is it, got less than an inch, now it's very light. Wow great storm and the stuff over PA is weakening. yep,. we'll have to rely on the deformation band later on....all the models showed areas southwest of nyc as the gradient zone...liking my call from earlier this morning Zir0b, on 08 Feb 2013 - 08:48, said: I think at this point with the trend of a later phase, the big amounts for the city are becoming increasingly unlikely. I'd probably go with 6-10 for NYC, 8-12" NW (should benefit more from whatever falls into this afternoon not associated with the CCB) Unfortunately places to the west and especially southwest look to perform the worst in this region, there's going to be a sharp cutoff with the CCB not being tucked into the coast like the Euro and NAM were showing yesterday. Amounts in this region look to be 4-7" southwest of EWR, and dropping off to around 2-5" around TTN. My guesses TTN- 4.5" EWR- 7.5" NYC- 9" LGA- 11" JFK- 10" OKX -12" HPN- 13" Going to adjust these #s and add more specific locations after looking at the 12z NAM. Using the city as a midpoint, you can expect amounts to increase rapidly as you had east, and likewise decrease rapidly as you head west/southwest. Also models tend to be way too generous with the precip on the western flanks of the CCB, there's likely to be an area of subsidence direct west of the heaviest qpf, which should be immediately west of NYC... TTN- 2.5" EWR- 7.5" MMU-6" NYC- 9" LGA- 12" JFK- 14" OKX -17" HPN- 15" And some specific locations New Brunswick - 4" Marlboro- 6" Perth Amboy- 5" Fort Lee- 10" Springfield/Wesfield/Scotch Plains 6-7" Islip - 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyg Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 This is approximately what it looked like for me. I had to adjust the colors in Photoshop though as my camera is pretty bad with color balance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Lightened up a lot here. Looks like that dry line is moving again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
loadletterpaper Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just back home to RP. 347/25 east from Port Jeff was a wreck. Did not see a single plow the whole way. Roads were all hard packed. Definitely people out driving who shouldn't be but maybe had to be. 10 MPH crawl. Couple of cars getting stuck on the local hills up here. Very heavy snow on the trip but has "lightened up" a little now. Eyeballing about 4-5" here. Lights have flickered twice in the last 5 mins. No DirecTV. Assume dish is pasted. Huge flakes out here at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Don't think we'll even be close to 12 on the south shore..lucky to get 6 later tonight..big downer Too bad we had to have that pesky northern stream low push the warmth out ahead of it this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Still gives Suffolk County 18-24" somehow. We can still get a lot in a short time, and even post 0z we have a long way to go but we're at the point now where this is starting to hurt our chances at really high totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We can still get a lot in a short time, and even post 0z we have a long way to go but we're at the point now where this is starting to hurt our chances at really high totals. Yup. This is quite frustrating. I'm not even sure what to do to kill the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yup. This is quite frustrating. I'm not even sure what to do to kill the time. Do what I'm doing. Having a drink. Captain FTW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Mix line jumping north... 32.5F Mod. Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The Correlation Coefficient sleet/snow line is moving way north again. We may have to wait until 0z to actually get sustained snow for all of Long Island. Maybe even 1z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 probably half that here. what's your call for a total? I like four down in sw middlesex and 6-7 up here. NYC I will go 7.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Sleet line collapsing south on C LI again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 CC showing a big warm push into LI now and into Queens and Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Back to snow again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yup. This is quite frustrating. I'm not even sure what to do to kill the time. you can watch the radar in NJ completely dry up. yeash. we all have our problems. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hohnywx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just measured 5" here in Hastings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 around 6 inches here and snowing heavily. Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Sleet line collapsing south on C LI again. Yeah, it's collapsing south in western Suffolk, but going north in Nassau. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Heavy Snow/Wind/30F/5.8" of Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We can still get a lot in a short time, and even post 0z we have a long way to go but we're at the point now where this is starting to hurt our chances at really high totals. i fear we arent snow at 0Z or 2Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Moderate snow in College Point right near Flushing Bay, can barely see LGA across the bay, so it's probably about 1/2 mile visibility. Measured 1.2" from noon to 5pm, much of that probably since 2 or 3, bringing the total for the day to 1.6" including the snow and sleet this morning before the rain. Would guesstimate at least 0.5" since 5pm. Large snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah, it's collapsing south in western Suffolk, but going north in Nassau. That's very strange. Sleet/snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 5:30 pm Mod Snow 4.25'' 0.5''/hr rate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The Correlation Coefficient sleet/snow line is moving way north again. We may have to wait until 0z to actually get sustained snow for all of Long Island. Maybe even 1z. Is the primary still doing this, even with the low offshore bombing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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