Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Think it stops there? you are screwed on this one sorry to say...Central CT FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How is logan -SN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 One thing is for certain...GFS sh** the bed on this storm. What a failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 this is right there with 96 & 78 as the hardest I've ever seen it snow, I can barely see the house across the street Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This one is for the ages I think when its over that band is unreal...esp the part in CT...wish i could get in on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 The band that formed over Greenwich is hitting here, SN to sometimes SN+ with the wind, probably 1.5" per hour if I had to guess, but horrible at guessing those kinds of things. It's coming down FAST, not very heavy intensity, but the speed of the flakes is something that i don't get to see too often, for most of the day it was slow floaters, these things look like they mean buisness. Done with measurements for the night, but will provide eyeball updates as possible. Just getting too windy to get an accurate number, drifts getting large around here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Will,, what do you think? Where does she start to pivot? Should be anytime now..that band in CT will weaken as the ML fronto maxes out...but there will prob be new enhanced bands further NE developing too...they won't look like that though with the bright banding you guys got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Just measured 14.9" (4.2" in the last hour). Very heavy snow <200' visibility with graupel pellets mixed (and pelting!). Winds still gusting in the upper 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 you are screwed on this one sorry to say...Central CT FTW It's like 5 miles from my house lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Nothin' like a walk with thunder snow, lightning and virgin sidewalks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How is logan -SN? Lol, that's crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Parents have no power and tree hit house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 ~6" 14F 1/2SM SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 nice band moving into Manchvegas now....making steady progress...you guys getting it good down there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 TTSN in Wallingford! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Outages in RI have topped 122,000. That tops Sandy's high of 115,000 customers without power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Gotta be a gravity wave that just went over. Whole house is shaking. Mets confirm ??? There's some suggestion of that on base reflectivity out of KTAN, Kevin. Just on the se side of that bright band, there is what looks like a fold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 17" OTG here, should be over 20" by 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Closing in on 15" here in northeast CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Should be anytime now..that band in CT will weaken as the ML fronto maxes out...but there will prob be new enhanced bands further NE developing too...they won't look like that though with the bright banding you guys got. So basically now we look for where those other enhanced bands set up..or is that more hvy snow for everyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Parents have no power and tree hit house. Ugh..are they ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 It's like 5 miles from my house lol per radar, it's stopping and starting to pivot (and weaken) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 951 PM EST FRI FEB 8 2013 .SYNOPSIS... A HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS ANTICIPATED INTO SATURDAY... WITH AROUND 2 FEET OF SNOW. THIS STORM SHOULD COME TO AN END LATE SATURDAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS BY SUNDAY. A GREAT LAKES STORM WILL SWING A COLD FRONT THROUGH NEW ENGLAND ON MONDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY DRY WEATHER TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... 945 PM UPDATE...HAVE MADE FEW EDITS TO THE GRIDS...THE FORECAST IS ON TRACK. WE HAVE RECEIVED NUMEROUS REPORTS OF SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. IN ADDITION...HAVE RECEIVED SEVERAL REPORTS OF THUNDERSNOW...MAINLY ACROSS RHODE ISLAND AND PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND WESTERN CONNECTICUT. WIND REPORTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD ACROSS EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE ISLAND. HIGHEST WIND REPORT THUS FAR HAS BEEN AT NANTUCKET WHERE WINDS GUSTED TO 69 MPH. RAIN ACROSS NANTUCKET SHOULD TRANSITION BACK OVER TO SNOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS THE LOW DEEPENS SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET. REPORTS ARE GREATLY APPRECIATED. FOLLOW US ON TWITTER...OR FRIEND US ON FACEBOOK. PICTURES ARE GREATLY WELCOMED. YOU CAN ALSO SUBMIT A STORM REPORT VIA OUR WEBPAGE AT ERH.NOAA.GOV/BOX. HEADLINES /HIGH CONFIDENCE/... * A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD IS IMPACTING SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INTO SATURDAY. YOU SHOULD NOT BE OUT ON THE ROADS AT THIS TIME. THIS IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. STAY INDOORS! * THIS STORM WILL POSE SIGNIFICANT HAZARDS AND THREATS TO BOTH LIFE AND PROPERTY! * BLIZZARD WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CT...RI...E/SE MA...AND SE NH. WINTER STORM WARNINGS FOR ALL OTHER LOCALES. * FOR THOSE AREAS WITHIN THE BLIZZARD WARNING...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS OF AROUND 60 MPH. * STORM SNOWFALL TOTALS BY STORMS END MAY BE IN THE ALL-TIME TOP 10 FOR VARIOUS CITIES...UP TO AROUND 2 FEET POSSIBLE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING ANTICIPATING RESULTING IN HIGHER DRIFTS. * TRAVEL CONDITIONS HAVE DETERIORATED...BECOMING NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE. DRIVING IS HIGHLY DISCOURAGED. DRIVING AND PARKING BANS HAVE BEEN PUT IN PLACE FOR NUMEROUS LOCALES. */MODEL CONSENSUS... CONTINUING TO STICK WITH THE LATEST 08.12Z ECMWF...WITH CONSIDERATION TOWARDS THE SREF MEANS. VERY GOOD CONSISTENCY AMONGST MODEL OUTPUT CONCERNING QPF AND WIND FIELDS. NEAR-TERM MESOSCALE GUIDANCE DOING WELL WITH 2M TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS OVER THE MOS-GUIDE. CONSIDERED SNOW RATIOS OF 1:8 FOR WHERE WET AND HEAVIER SNOW IS ANTICIPATED...WITH MORE 1:12 WITH COLDER AIR...ESPECIALLY ACROSS N/W INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. OTHERWISE...ONLY SLIGHT MODIFICATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OVERALL FORECAST FIELDS AND ATTENDANT HAZARDS. */SYNOPSIS... SPLIT FLOW DISTURBANCES PHASING ACROSS THE S/E SHORELINES OF NEW ENGLAND AND OFFSHORE AS A STRONG 1035 HIGH KEEPS COLD AIR IN PLACE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THE LOW ITSELF HAS DEEPENED DOWN TO 993 MB AS THE NORTHERN STREAM HAS BEEN USURPED INTO THE SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE. EXPLOSIVE DEEPENING IS ONGOING WITH THE SURFACE LOW AS IT PROGRESSES TOWARDS THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK. ANTICIPATING A CENTRAL LOW PRESSURE OF AROUND 975 MB THROUGH THE PASSAGE OF THIS STORM. AS THE SYSTEM DEEPENS...WILL SEE THE DRAW OF DEEP MOIST FLOW FROM THE SOUTH PER STRONG /HURRICANE FORCE/ LOW-LVL FLOW. THIS CAN ACTUALLY BE SEEN IN CIMMS PRECIPITABLE WATER TOOL SHOWING PRESENTLY ANOMALOUSLY HIGH VALUES BEING DRAWN UP THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO THE CENTER OF THE SOUTHERN STREAM DISTURBANCE. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT E AND SE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND INTO SATURDAY PRIOR TO THE STORM TAPERING OFF INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. */PRECIPITATION... HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION RESULTING IN VISIBILITIES DOWN TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS. SNOWFALL RATES OF AROUND 3 INCHES PER HOUR OVERNIGHT. WITH THE DEEPENING LOW...THE THERMAL FIELDS ARE COLLAPSING. COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO ENCROACH SOUTH AND EAST. RAIN AT NANTUCKET SHOULD CHANGE BACK OVER TO SNOW OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THE DRAW OF COLDER AIR WILL ALSO RESULT IN SNOW ACROSS THE INTERIOR TOWARDS THE COAST TO BECOME FLUFFIER...RESULTING IN INCREASING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS PER HOUR. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO MIDDAY SATURDAY... BECOMING LIGHTER INTO LATE MORNING HOURS SATURDAY...GRADUALLY TAPERING WEST TO EAST AS THE SURFACE LOW EXITS OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. */SNOWFALL AMOUNTS... INITIAL E-W SNOW-BANDING IS COMING ASHORE AND BEGINNING TO PIVOT SW-NE AS THE LOW DEEPENS TO THE NE ACROSS THE 40N/70W. THIS BANDING IS COINCIDENT WITH THE NW QUADRANT OF THE MID-LVL LOW WHERE FAVORABLE ISENTROPIC TROWALING OF THETAE AXIS...MID-LVL FRONTOGENESIS...AND DEEP-LAYER ENHANCED ASCENT EXISTS WITHIN THE BETTER SNOW-GROWTH REGIONS. STRONG VERTICAL VELOCITIES THROUGH THE SNOW-GROWTH REGIONS ARE PRESENTLY MODELED IN THE INITIALIZATION FIELDS OF THE NEAR-TERM MESOSCALE MODELS OVER S/SE NEW ENGLAND. AROUND 3 INCH/HR SNOWFALL RATES ARE NOW ANTICIPATED. HEAVIEST BANDS MAY BE ONLY 5 TO 10 MILES IN WIDTH...AND...AS EXPECTED...WITH THE DYNAMICALLY DEEP NATURE OF THE STORM WE ARE SEEING NUMEROUS REPORTS OF THUNDER-SNOW /COINCIDENT WITH THE STRONGER VORTMAX WHERE THE STRONGEST ASCENT EXISTS AT THE LEADING EDGE/. ASIDE...WITH MORE FAVORABILITY TOWARDS THE ECMWF...A LOW-MID LVL BAND SETUP IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS SE NEW ENGLAND COINCIDENT WITH THE BETTER DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE LOW /PARALLEL AND LIKELY ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR BETWEEN BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE/. A MORE MID-LVL BANDING SETUP APPEARS LIKELY FROM THE SOUTHERN HUDSON RIVER VALLEY ACROSS W MA TOWARDS THE SHORELINE OF MAINE. COULD BE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ALONG THE E SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. WE ARE SEEING THIS SETUP ALREADY DEVELOPING WITHIN THE WSR-88D RADAR RETURNS. NO SURPRISE...AS CLIMATOLOGICALLY WITH A SURFACE LOW CROSSING OVER THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE ORIENTED ALONG AND ACROSS THE I-95 CORRIDOR. CONTINUE TO SET MY SIGHTS OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THIS VICINITY. HEAVIEST SNOWS ACROSS E/SE NEW ENGLAND WITH THE EXPECTATION OF WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS UNDER HIGH WIND CRITERIA. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 24 TO 30 INCHES EXPECTED /LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE NOW ANTICIPATED/...WITH 18 TO 24 INCHES ELSEWHERE. LOWER TOTALS OVER EXTREME SE NEW ENGLAND OVER THE E CAPE AND ISLANDS DUE TO INITIAL MIXING WITH RAIN. SOME DOWNSLOPING WINDS MAY CREATE A LULL IN SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CONNECTICUT VALLEY. BLIZZARD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR CT/RI...E/SE MA EXCLUDING NANTUCKET...AND SE NH. ALL OTHER LOCATIONS UNDER A WINTER STORM WARNING. WILL SET THE TIMING FROM FRIDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY... WITH THE EXPECTATION OF THE WORST OF THE CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. */WINDS HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA /GUSTS GREATER THAN 58 MPH/ WILL IMPACT ALL AREAS ENCOMPASSED IN THE BLIZZARD WARNING...AS WELL AS NANTUCKET. N/NE WINDS RIGHT OFF THE DECK /500 FT AGL/ OVER THE EASTERN WATERS ARE FORECAST TO BE SUSTAINED AT AROUND 70 MPH CENTERED AROUND TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY OUT OF THE NORTH- NORTHEAST. CONSIDERING THE PROXIMITY OF THE SURFACE LOW...PRECIPITATION DRAG PROCESSES...AND A MOIST-ADIABATIC VERTICAL PROFILE UP TO H925...AM EXPECTING GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH FOR FAR NW MA...INCREASING SOUTH AND EAST WITH GUSTS ACROSS SE MA INCLUDING THE CAPE/ISLANDS AND ADJACENT WATERS OF AROUND 80 MPH. CLIMATOLOGICALLY...BASED ON THE LOW PASSING OVER THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AROUND THE I-95 CORRIDOR EAST AND SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE CAPE/ISLANDS AND ADJACENT WATERS. AS MENTIONED EARLIER...DRAW DOWN OF COLDER AIR WILL MAKE THE SNOW FLUFFIER IN NATURE. ANTICIPATING BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS FOR THE OUTER WATERS...WITH STORM WARNINGS FOR THE INNER WATERS. */MARINE IMPACTS PLEASE SEE THE MARINE SECTION NEAR THE BOTTOM OF THE DISCUSSION. */COASTAL FLOODING PLEASE SEE THE COASTAL FLOODING SECTION AT THE BOTTOM OF THE DISCUSSION. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... BIG PICTURE... THE UPPER PATTERN STARTS QUITE WAVY BUT WITH A SENSE OF A RIDGE IN THE EAST AND TROUGH IN THE WEST. THE WESTERN TROUGH THEN OOZES EAST THANKS TO A DIGGING SHORTWAVE FROM THE ARCTIC LOW. BY THE END OF THE WEEK THE PATTERN IS REVERSED...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE EAST AND RIDGE IN THE WEST. TEMPERATURE FIELDS WAVER BETWEEN MILDER AND COOLER THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH SIGNS OF A COOL DOWN OVER THE PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES LATE WEEK. MODEL FEATURES ARE SIMILAR THROUGH TUESDAY AND THEN DIVERGE DURING WEDNESDAY TO FRIDAY. FEATURES OF CONCERN FOR NEW ENGLAND...LOW PRESSURE ALOFT TURNS THE CORNER OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AND EJECTS ACROSS THE PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...THEN CROSSES NEW ENGLAND MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY. A SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO THE WESTERN TROUGH EJECTS EAST EARLY IN THE WEEK AND GENERATES A GULF OF MEXICO SURFACE LOW. THIS RACES SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT. THE DAILIES... SATURDAY NIGHT... COASTAL STORM WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND PASS SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. NEW ENGLAND WILL START THE NIGHT WITH PRESSURE RISES OF 1-2 MB PER HOUR...DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 1 MB PER HOUR BY DAYBREAK. MIXING IS STILL INDICATED ACROSS THE MASSACHUSETTS EAST COAST DURING THE EVENING WITH 30-45 KT AVAILABLE...BUT BOTH THE WINDS ALOFT AND THE MIXING SIGNAL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. EXPECT DIMINISHING WINDS OVERNIGHT. ALL MODELS SHOW QPF OVER EASTERN MASS EARLY. SO POPS ARE CONCENTRATED IN THIS AREA WITH LIKELY POPS OVER THE CAPE AND NANTUCKET...VALUES THEN DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Outages in RI have topped 122,000. That tops Sandy's high of 115,000 customers without power. That is definitely the mark of a great storm. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 There's almost convective looking elements being fed into the whole CCB coming from SE of MA...just so much instability and dynamics in this system. The power of it is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Last minute guidance was too far e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Put on a movie ("Flight", which I enjoyed) at 745pm, we had about 5" at that time, came out when it was done about 20 minutes ago and we were pretty close to 12", amazing! It must have all been that intense band that came through, but which is now (unfortunately for me) off to my NW. I'm content, more snow to come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevin1927 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 How is logan -SN? This. What the hell. Their final measurement at the end of the storm will probably be way too low as well. It always is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 There's some suggestion of that on base reflectivity out of KTAN, Kevin. Just on the se side of that bright band, there is what looks like a fold I'm not sure what to look for on radar? What am I looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Take it up Dom...we are rockin now and will through tomorrow... Beer on over under of 17? I kind of neglected looking at the time on the models, sort of thought it was mostly over by 4 AM but that seems to not be the case just looked at the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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