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February 6-8th Great Lakes Wintry Storm Part 2


Hoosier

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been getting some good updates from LOT

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL

106 PM CST THU FEB 7 2013

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION

106 PM CST

WE HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE LAKE AND MCHENRY COUNTIES TO A WINTER

STORM WARNING. SHORT TERM GUIDANCE AND RADAR TRENDS CONTINUES TO

INDICATE HEAVY SNOW RATES IN ACROSS LAKE AND MCHENRY COUNTIES. WE

HAVE HAD REPORTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES IN BEACH PARK WITHIN A COUPLE

HOURS.

A RATHER IMPRESSIVE SHORT WAVE...CURRENTLY DIGGING SOUTHEAST ACROSS

EASTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO WESTERN IOWA...WILL LINK UP WITH A

STRENGTHENING BAND OF MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS AND NEGATIVE EPV TO

RESULT IN A BAND OF VERY HEAVY SNOW ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS

THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO QUICKLY TRANSITION TO

SNOW ACROSS THE CHICAGO AREA...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE

INTERSTATE 80 CORRIDOR BY MID AFTERNOON AS COLUMN COOL OCCURS IN

RESPONSE TO THE STRONG FRONTOGENETIC CIRCULATION. SOME OF THE LAST

AMDAR SOUNDINGS OUT OF ORD AND MDW...ONLY INDICATE A MAX TEMP OF

AROUND +1 AROUND 946 MB. SO IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH TO TIP THE SCALES

IN FAVOR FOR SNOW. ONCE THE SNOW STARTS EXPECT HEAVY SNOW UP TO AN

INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES THROUGH THE EVENING COMMUTE. LESSER AMOUNTS

OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH TOWARDS THE I 80 CORRIDOR.

HOWEVER...IT MAY TAKE SOME TIME TO CHANGE OVER THIS FAR SOUTH...THUS

1 TO 3 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA AS WELL INTO THE

EVENING.   

 

 

so close but so far

post-163-0-43405700-1360265062_thumb.jpg

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Lol I doubt it, though I think u kinda want it to be liquid for us. I am definitely expecting a mix at first. DTX sounds very on top of things. Saod freezing rain and sleet at onset turning to heavy snow.

Wanting it to be... Where do u come up with this stuff?

Anyways the WAA is in beastmode and the RAP is concerning.

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Haha I can't believe this... Partly cloudy with a light SE wind here in Battle Creek. No doubt in my mind it will be all liquid here along 94. I bet 1-2" of quick hitting snow as the system moves through and departs. Yet in Hastings, 20 miles north of me, there's heavy snow, temp of 28 and 2" of snow and counting.

 

Yeah, this sharp cut-off across our CWA is a sucker punch to the gut. Really had hopes for this too. In St. Joe at work and we had that batch of moisture come through as zr, while half a county north they got slammed with 4" in about a 2 hr span. I-94 curse!

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Parents are pulling kids from school. All after school activities in Kenosha will be cancelled.

 

Good idea! Going to be even more treacherous as the sun angle sinks.

 

Hearing reports of multiple cars in ditches and accidents across the local area.

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