Geos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pretty good snow in Carpenterville according to some WGN viewers. Holy cow at that map, Brewers^. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pretty good snow in Carpenterville according to some WGN viewers. that's a pretty decent jump south with the rain/snow line if true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z ECMWF...The only one I'm posting. YYZ: THU 18Z 07-FEB -3.6 -8.3 1028 72 93 0.02 550 528 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -4.1 -4.8 1025 83 98 0.05 550 531 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -3.2 -5.4 1021 83 84 0.07 548 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -3.8 -5.8 1016 90 100 0.25 545 532 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -6.6 -7.4 1016 88 100 0.55 541 528 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -8.3 -9.1 1020 82 99 0.33 538 522 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -9.3 -10.3 1024 81 75 0.05 540 522 I hope the Toronto folks do well, but remember to keep your expectations in check. The boxing day storm here had days and days of 1"+ QPF on the Euro, with the NAM being over bullish as well. After days of max QPF bullsyeyes we ended up with 0.45" liquid equivalent with a storm track not far off what was modeled. The euro can be king, but it's stunk with QPF in the eastern lakes this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like the "drier" 0z run was an aberration. Locked and ready to go. What's the latest Euro calling for in Toronto? A foot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like GRR is right in the bullseye with a really heavy band setting up right overhead. Big wet cement flakes coming down like gangbusters right now. I feel uncomfortable posting now with so many people in the more populated cities getting fringed. I'll try hard not to rub it in too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like GRR is right in the bullseye with a really heavy band setting up right overhead. Big wet cement flakes coming down like gangbusters right now. I feel uncomfortable posting now with so many people in the more populated cities getting fringed. I'll try hard not to rub it in too much. post away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like GRR is right in the bullseye with a really heavy band setting up right overhead. Big wet cement flakes coming down like gangbusters right now. I feel uncomfortable posting now with so many people in the more populated cities getting fringed. I'll try hard not to rub it in too much. Nope. Keep reporting.It Don't bother me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What's the latest Euro calling for in Toronto? A foot? Yep! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like GRR is right in the bullseye with a really heavy band setting up right overhead. Big wet cement flakes coming down like gangbusters right now. I feel uncomfortable posting now with so many people in the more populated cities getting fringed. I'll try hard not to rub it in too much. You getting almost 1" dia flakes coming almost straight down? RPM seems a little low up here, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Our whole seasonal snowfall, (+) with one storm. Shame living in S/E Michigan where you cannot get a foot of snowfall ...How pathetic...Puts the GHDB to shame lol.. ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BOS FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.7 -10.6 1029 71 93 0.01 553 530 FRI 18Z 08-FEB 0.5 -7.4 1024 76 99 0.04 552 533 SAT 00Z 09-FEB 0.2 -6.4 1015 89 99 0.38 547 535 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -0.9 -9.1 1004 87 100 0.89 539 536 SAT 12Z 09-FEB -8.0 -9.0 1003 82 97 0.79 532 529 SAT 18Z 09-FEB -8.8 -16.1 1008 71 92 0.54 532 525 SUN 00Z 10-FEB -7.0 -13.5 1016 68 75 0.08 536 524 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You getting almost 1" dia flakes coming almost straight down? RPM seems a little low up here, lol! rpm_020713.jpg lol @ .8" difference between O'Hare and Waukegan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I hope the Toronto folks do well, but remember to keep your expectations in check. The boxing day storm here had days and days of 1"+ QPF on the Euro, with the NAM being over bullish as well. After days of max QPF bullsyeyes we ended up with 0.45" liquid equivalent with a storm track not far off what was modeled. The euro can be king, but it's stunk with QPF in the eastern lakes this season. When looking at BUFKIT spitting out 2-3"/hr rates tomorrow morning, the first thing I thought about were your comments during that storm about how lack of verification of intense rates precluded Cleveland from achieving whopper type totals. Telling tale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 MKX calling for 8-9" in the SE now Won't even get close to that unless snow rates pick up. They are moderate, but that probably won't do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Won't even get close to that unless snow rates pick up. They are moderate, but that probably won't do it. Upstream returns looks pretty good dude...really organizing nicely and there are indifications of a pseudo defo band later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I think this one might beat the GHD storm in terms of water content. I think that one was just barely over an inch of liquid. Won't get the wind or extreme low visibilities with this though. This is a much flakier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 that's a pretty decent jump south with the rain/snow line if true May not be that far off, depending on if this map is true... Shows snow in N Dekalb county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Upstream returns looks pretty good dude...really organizing nicely and there are indifications of a pseudo defo band later. Kenosha County might get there, I just wish they wouldn't broadbrush these accumulation maps. They should take into account areas that have already been robbed of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Won't even get close to that unless snow rates pick up. They are moderate, but that probably won't do it. Idk, it looks like this could overachieve especially down here near the border and looks like the snow could hang around till midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 anyone looking for lolz check out some of the 1 hr snowfall totals the HRRR busts out later this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 anyone looking for lolz check out some of the 1 hr snowfall totals the HRRR busts out later this evening lol 5" an hour... sounds like fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Winter Storm Warning just popped up on Weatherbug for the County. Evergreen trees are bending over pretty good here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostfern Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You getting almost 1" dia flakes coming almost straight down? RPM seems a little low up here, lol! rpm_020713.jpg They've gotten smaller now but it's still coming down pretty good. A wide variety of flake sizes. Mix of big and small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 anyone looking for lolz check out some of the 1 hr snowfall totals the HRRR busts out later this evening Lolz for sure. May have to take a trip down there, if I can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The radar looks ok here for me now but must be all verga grrrrrrrr. 30° here in Saginaw, waiting patiently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: DTW LAT= 42.23 LON= -83.33 ELE= 663 12Z FEB07 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 00Z 08-FEB -2.2 -0.4 1017 77 62 0.00 553 539 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -0.8 -0.7 1013 90 100 0.05 549 539 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.3 -3.0 1011 93 93 0.30 542 534 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -3.3 -6.7 1017 78 93 0.11 539 525 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -5.5 -7.5 1025 78 10 0.00 543 523 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -6.6 -6.6 1028 81 15 0.00 547 526 Still looking good for Detroit..! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lolz for sure. May have to take a trip down there, if I can. you can look at the radar and tell SC WI isn't going to see 5" per hour rates...maybe geos! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Kenosha is getting pounded. Looks like they picked up an inch the past hour. KENW 071853Z 14005KT 1/4SM +SN FG VV004 01/M01 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP150 P0010 T00061006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Back below freezing on top of the met building, 31.7 F. The slush continues to thicken, 0.28" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 heavy snow at UGN KUGN 071852Z 12007KT 1/4SM +SN FG OVC003 00/00 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP152 P0000 T00000000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: DTW LAT= 42.23 LON= -83.33 ELE= 663 12Z FEB07 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 © © (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 00Z 08-FEB -2.2 -0.4 1017 77 62 0.00 553 539 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -0.8 -0.7 1013 90 100 0.05 549 539 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.3 -3.0 1011 93 93 0.30 542 534 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -3.3 -6.7 1017 78 93 0.11 539 525 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -5.5 -7.5 1025 78 10 0.00 543 523 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -6.6 -6.6 1028 81 15 0.00 547 526 Still looking good for Detroit..! Temps are rising to high. Temps 36-38 degrees. Could be a major problem at the start of the storm around 94 south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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