Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hi-Res NAM Sim at HR 36 Here's the p06. Insane amounts of precipitation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
XtremeWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hi-Res NAM Sim at HR 36 WOW!! That looks insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 its an insane run...its NAM...and i will take it with a grain of salt...however, im feeling pretty confident come saturday night there are going to be a lot of happy people in the area Agree. I willing to bet most areas double there seasonal snowfall and the biggest storm since jan 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's obscene, but look at that cutoff. Goes from insane amounts here to a few inches for Philly. Going to be a lot of fuming weenies down that way. it's all about where it starts to pivot and close off. Think December 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 PLEASE POST MAPS FOR ENTIRE AREA Rossi WEATHER PORN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveTinNY Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I've got the dreaded DRY SLOT blues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 its an insane run...its NAM...and i will take it with a grain of salt...however, im feeling pretty confident come saturday night there are going to be a lot of happy people in the area yeah i am sure nam is doing its usual one rn with absurd qpf, id cut the amounts by maybe 40%and that might be a better estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's obscene, but look at that cutoff. Goes from insane amounts here to a few inches for Philly. Going to be a lot of fuming weenies down that way. and central LI get zero..LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Wow. YOU NEED AN MOG POST! ASAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So nam is only good when it shows good things. Got it. It had come inline with the rest of the guidance and pretty much now supports the forecast amounts from nws. Euro last night was well over a foot for NYC. Lets see what the other guidance does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 its an insane run...its NAM...and i will take it with a grain of salt...however, im feeling pretty confident come saturday night there are going to be a lot of happy people in the area Lol, you and a few others were taking it as gospel when it looked like garbage for us in prior runs but now that is getting a clue on what the Euro has been cooking for 7 runs+ pretty much, it is to be taken with a grain of salt. Gotta love the double standard. I never take it too seriously no matter what it shows and this run for me is no different. Would be spectacular if it verified but I only will believe it if every other major model comes in similar or better at today's 12z, 18z, 0z and tomorrow's 6z with the SREF's sprinkled in during the off hours if that is even possible lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So nam is only good when it shows good things. Got it. In this range with Euro Ens and SREF support. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So nam is only good when it shows good things. Got it. I think it's more everyone is excited that one of the scenarios that brings us very little snow has been taken off the table basically. Even though no one really trusted it...I'm sure everyone was nervous in the back of their minds...and now the NAM finally joins other guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If NAM verified it could take over as number 1 NESIF storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hi-Res NAM hour 42 Sim reflectivity: Deformation band from Portland to Perth Amboy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Agree. I willing to bet most areas double there seasonal snowfall and the biggest storm since jan 2011 well im at like 4-5" (sans the Nov storm). so i might be able to do that in a given hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Truly a monster bowling ball, even if its overdoing precip and we cut it in half, the area still gets a 12-18 inch snowstorm out of this. Bowling ball or buzz saw, your call!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 And we aren't done...HI-RES NAM SIM HR 39: HR 42 we are crushed again.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So nam is only good when it shows good things. Got it. No, but it finally came around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM is a legit blizzard for many on this forum and teetering on the edge for the interior. The dynamics on display are absolutely incredible as I persuade through some maps this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hate to ask, but any idea of surface winds jersey shore to south shore on this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sock Puppet Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Sick gradient in Brooklyn. If it ends up like this I may either end up happy or extremely pissed PLEASE POST MAPS FOR ENTIRE AREA Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 just gazed at the skew-t's at JFK from hours 39-48...the ratios might be pretty damn good (by that i mean amazing) at h7 the temps are about -12...i think thats about as perfect as it gets for snow growth...would love to see those cool charts that show omega FYI - there is a warm nose between 800-900mbs across the entire area at h36 (HPN rides the 0C line at that time) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hi-Res NAM Sim at HR 36 Looks more like a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM Total Precip: 3"+ area wide. Overdone, but still a ton of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So I guess NYC and Long Island are in better shape than 12 hours ago? Any chance blizzard watches for NYC NE NJ and Nassau County can be hoisted with the afternoon package? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 just gazed at the skew-t's at JFK from hours 39-48...the ratios might be pretty damn good (by that i mean amazing) at h7 the temps are about -12...i think thats about as perfect as it gets for snow growth...would love to see those cool charts that show omega FYI - there is a warm nose between 800-900mbs across the entire area at h36 If that warm nose is close enough to 0C, then the heavy precip should help to cool that off, IMO. Of course, a lack of heavy precip would not be able to do that, but considering what we're seeing on the models now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the NAM always overdoes precip so keep that in mind and love that people are even commenting on it after trashing it If the event unfolded as the NAM shows we'd probably see something like 10-15 inches or so but unlikely 20-30 inches outside of some meso bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarks green snow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Wow! Thanks to all who make this site remarkable to follow! Thought we were out of the game in the Northern Pocono/Scranton area but that NAM Clown map looks promising! Taking it with a grain of salt but starting to think we are going to do better than the 1-2 inches on the local news this AM-LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the NAM always overdoes precip so keep that in mind and love that people are even commenting on it after trashing it The earlier runs were trash. This is the first run after a day of garbage that seems more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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