leemhoc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is the storm much faster along than expected? I heard snow flurries in NYC by 6 am. If storm has gained speed, cold air in the morning could accompany moderate precip, maybe a few inches in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Is the storm much faster along than expected? I heard snow flurries in NYC by 6 am. If storm has gained speed, cold air in the morning could accompany moderate precip, maybe a few inches in the morning My grandfather and father have always said that a storm that moves in faster than expected seems to put down much more snow. I've found this to be true....always a good sign Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Anyone else any insight on speed and potential snow in the morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NYC snowfalls http://www.weather2000.com/NY_Snowstorms.html 1) 26.9" Feb 11-12, 20062) 26.4" Dec 26-27, 19473) 21.0" Mar 12-14, 18884) 20.8" Feb 25-26, 20105) 20.2" Jan 7-8, 19966) 20.0" Dec 26-27, 20107) 19.8" Feb 16-17, 20038) 19.0" Jan 26-27, 20119) 18.1" Mar 7-8, 194110) 17.7" Feb 5-7, 1978 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NYC snowfalls http://www.weather2000.com/NY_Snowstorms.html 1) 26.9" Feb 11-12, 2006 2) 26.4" Dec 26-27, 1947 3) 21.0" Mar 12-14, 1888 4) 20.8" Feb 25-26, 2010 5) 20.2" Jan 7-8, 1996 6) 20.0" Dec 26-27, 2010 7) 19.8" Feb 16-17, 2003 8) 19.0" Jan 26-27, 2011 9) 18.1" Mar 7-8, 1941 10) 17.7" Feb 5-7, 1978 outside chance at top 10. it would be kinda sad though to knock off '78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If anyone has the EWR top 10 please post. Dont have access Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. great map...agree with your thinking. Where have you been lately, seems like you've been missing the fun with tracking this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard-on-GFS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. Excellent map. Pretty much my thoughts exactly haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 some of the wettest KU storms to hit our area...February 1972 and December 1969 changed to heavy rain but ended as light snow... dates......................precip.....snowfall/ice Feb. 26-27th 2010...3.18"...19.0" Feb. 03-04th 1961...2.74"...17.4" Mar. 13-14th 1993...2.52"...10.6" Dec. 26-27th 1947...2.40"...25.8" Jan. 07-08th 1996...2.16"...20.2" Jan. 26-27th 2011...2.06"...19.0" Feb. 11-12th 2006...1.86"...26.9" Dec. 26-27th 1969...1.85".....6.8" Feb. 09-10th 1969...1.82"...15.3" Feb. 19-20th 1972...1.65".....5.7" Mar. 20-21st 1958...1.63"...11.8" Dec. 26-27th 2010...1.61"...20.0" Dec. 19-20th 1948...1.53"...16.0" Feb. 16-17th 2003...1.52"...19.8" Jan. 19-20th 1978...1.50"...13.6" Feb. 11-12th 1983...1.49"...17.6" Feb. 09-10th 2010...1.33"...10.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 God bless that map, nicest one I've seen for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. I agree completely ! Nice one ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. I agree, great map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 1888? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 1888? Probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 outside chance at top 10. it would be kinda sad though to knock off '78 The list is skewed though since they didn't measure in the same way for older storms like 1941 and 1888, not using the 6-hour method, and thus not getting the higher amounts we see today. Every weenie knows deep down that March 1888 was probably the top snowfall in NYC with around 30"...many places in Brooklyn approached 3' and New Haven CT had 48". Albany had over 50" in the 1888 storm. There's no way the Park got that little. This storm does have a lot of resemblances to Feb 1978 with the jackpot amounts over New England and the potential for blizzard conditions. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 1888? Especially in areas on LI and in SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 question for any met or non-met who knows the answer; that energy in eastern OK and arkansas, what effect if any is it having on our storm development? On wv imagery it looks like theres some interaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 great map...agree with your thinking. Where have you been lately, seems like you've been missing the fun with tracking this one Thanks man, yeah I have been very busy lately so this one sort of snuck up on me to be honest. Was speechless looking at today's model guidance. The favorable MJO forcing is definitely pulling through for us here. I think we're looking at some good times ahead through the rest of February as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Here's my thinking right now. Solid. I might add a + sign after the 18" for safety given the bombs some of the models are tossing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NYC snowfalls http://www.weather2000.com/NY_Snowstorms.html 1) 26.9" Feb 11-12, 2006 2) 26.4" Dec 26-27, 1947 3) 21.0" Mar 12-14, 1888 4) 20.8" Feb 25-26, 2010 5) 20.2" Jan 7-8, 1996 6) 20.0" Dec 26-27, 2010 7) 19.8" Feb 16-17, 2003 8) 19.0" Jan 26-27, 2011 9) 18.1" Mar 7-8, 1941 10) 17.7" Feb 5-7, 1978 how is 1983 not on that list...did the city get screwed on that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 East is least lga 8 mph hate that wind it's the prince of darkness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Excellent map. Pretty much my thoughts exactly haha. God bless that map, nicest one I've seen for my area. I agree completely ! Nice one ! I agree, great map. Thanks guys. I think if it busts, I'll probably be slightly conservative. If I had to guess a NYC number, it would be 16", a solid MECS event for NJ/NYC, with HECS potential from E LI and CT northeastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisjmcjr Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Any predictions for the 0z runs??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Especially in areas on LI and in SNE. ...craig..how do you feel re:changeover..when? how long? and when we go back to snow..I'm in eastport, so we are both south shore guys.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Any predictions for the 0z runs???qpf bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 ...craig..how do you feel re:changeover..when? how long? and when we go back to snow..I'm in eastport, so we are both south shore guys.. It's even hard for me to say. If you go with the alone and warm GFS, you're looking at at least 6,7, 8 hours of solid rain, but it's not picking up of some of the dynamical cooling processes that the other models are. The NAM has only a couple hours of mix precip and/or rain, but mostly a snow event verbatim. Euro is almost all snow, with some light drizzle to start, from 18z Fri on out, it's snow. Given the consistency of the Euro, I'm going with it with a slight blend of the NAM in terms of precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Snowgasm thats the forecast very dynamic system i gave JB some valium dudes i'm pumped i'm afraid to drink coffee LOL sit back relax and play some rock from 1969-72 great music Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If we go by the Euro trends and its ensembles... GFS should be more west on 0z hence more qpf. I really don't think Nam will change that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 greg postel on TWC is getting very excited talking about the storm lol...anyway they've clearly jumped on the bandwagon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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