JSantanaNYC Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 We just need the GFS to be on board for 18+ for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 We just need the GFS to be on board for 18+ for nyc No we don't lol......it'd be nice though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 How many Blizzard Warnings have been issued for NYC since 2003? not many...jan 2005, not sure about feb 06. maybe dec 09? def dec 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z WRF-NMM Epic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Possibly, but we don't work for American so we can't answer that. Why don't you call them? Term number 3 please (in your sig)...likely one of the most underrepresented of them all...and possibly the largest contributor to rapid cyclogenesis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 holy fook! thats 30" on the WRF-NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mt. Holly slightly raised totals in their new map, now 8-10'' here (which I expect to go up more later unless the models change): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just a thought: Upton starting the blizzard warning at 6am would give Bloomberg more of a reason to cancel school and keep people from going to work. Call it activist or call it being over-cautious or call it bullish, I dont think blizzard conditions would really kick in until 6 PM rather than 6 AM. That being said, I approve of them going with 6am just to get everyone off the roads and out of work if they dont need to be. I agree with the Blizzard Conditions starting at 6 PM, but an early release should be arranged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mt. Holly slightly raised totals in their new map, now 8-10'' here: :O Pixels of 18-24 leaking out of bergen county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Will this storm be known as "The Bloomberg Bomb"? Bloomberg really doesn't pay attention to weather reports. I'm quite surprised he got off so easily for how be downplayed Sandy up until 24 hrs before it hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ive never seen a storm look so nice on satellite imagery in terms of moisture since Feb 5,6 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 looking niccce. maybe a little warm,but still good 984 on the BM but east of NAM still a crushing 36 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/3294_100.gif 48 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/3295_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What is this? (From hour 39) I looked at teh 850 temps forecast on the 18z NAM at that time and they are around -9. I supect that is a small area of -10. The NAM gets really cold in a hurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Papa Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 How many Blizzard Warnings have been issued for NYC since 2003? If I had to take a guess, I would say about 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS is correcting west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Next will be Mt Holly - always catching up! Rossi Hey I am talking about Blizzaed warning. Rossi Your first post certainly did not mention blizzard warning. You posted the word "always". Blizzard warnings are not issued that often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Term number 3 please (in your sig)...likely one of the most underrepresented of them all...and possibly the largest contributor to rapid cyclogenesis. So often neglected and unloved... I just had to include it. Looks like we'll get front row seats as to why it shouldn't be left out.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 After careful consideration, I decided to issue my forecast map. LOL!!! I will have to reshare this!!! (crediting you of course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Are they cancelling school tomorrow? I work in NYC public schools.. Hope so, not going in regardless, I live on Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's what I'm talking about! Blizzard warnings for all of CT, RI, NYC and surrounding areas ,LI, and coastal MA, NH, and ME. 10-14 for the city, 18-24" for me. -skisheep Blizzard WarningURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE TRI-STATE AREA FRIDAY INTOSATURDAY...CTZ005-009-080500-/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.130208T1800Z-130209T1800Z//O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1100Z-130209T1800Z/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM ESTSATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM ESTSATURDAY.* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...FALLING IT NO THE 20S FRIDAY EVENING.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION...SOME TREE LIMBS WILL BE DOWNED...CAUSING SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDSAND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUTCONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IFYOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GETSTRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
battlebrick Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS 21h deepening off coast of NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Your first post certainly did not mention blizzard warning. You posted the word "always". Blizzard warnings are not issued that often. You are correct sorry for that. But based on the latest models it should be for W./E. Monmouth on north thru Middlesex. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS is about 20-30 miles west at hr 27. Maybe a tad slower too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Middlesex and parts of Monmouth are always a challenge in these situations being under Mt Holly. I always felt they should have remained with NY Upton. Either way those parts of Jersey look to do quite well. Im not complaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Beautiful GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Middlesex and parts of Monmouth are always a challenge in these situations being under Mt Holly. I always felt they should have remained with NY Upton. Either way those parts of Jersey look to do quite well. Im not complaining. Yup, right on the edge there, along with Ocean County with the CCB. I feel bad for whoever ends up just west of that thing, there's almost certainly going to be big shifts in snowfall amounts over south central Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z gfs gets 1.25-1.50 for nyc metro it looks like. wetter than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 looks like the 0c line stays below the city the whole run. It gets close HRs 21 - 27 but it appears to stay below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Gfs 1+ of liquid for Ttn-east. NYC is 1.25+ and Long Island is hammered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaverickTrader Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Reminds me of the 1978 Blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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