Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 15z SREFs are gorgeous....2.0 NYC east 1.75+ trenton east. Looks like the euro in precip distribution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You have to look at that list and really wonder. If you were a 90's kid (folks in their 20's and 30's today), you have been through 6/10 of the greatest snowfalls in NYC, and quite possibly heading towards 7/10. I don't think it's a coincidence. Folks from the Greatest Generation will tell you that something fishy has been going on. To be honest we have only been keeping records for 150 years, that is much to small of a Sample period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 850 line on the sref looks to get halfway up long island/NYC/NJ before collapsing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 CPT NWS just updated their zones....They basically went with the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What? That has nothing to do with it. I asked why precip is already showing up on radar with nothing in the area. Exactly. That's going to moisten the air. Also, I have no idea why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 One of the top analogs from the 12z CIPS (using the NAM) is Feb, 2006. There are quite a few other big ones in there as well. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=NAM212&fhr=F036&flg= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 850 line on the sref looks to get halfway up long island/NYC/NJ before collapsing Warmer or colder than its previous run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 SREFS just ticked stronger and wetter again, wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is going to be a beauty to watch on Satellite presentation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 CPT NWS just updated their zones....They basically went with the Euro. Can you post them or give link Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 basically the same thermally from prior run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 tombo said slightly colder as well on the sref Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm 30 years old...If this pans out, I will have seen 70% of top 10 snowstorms within 20% of total record keeping. You are a moron if you can't appreciate that. To be honest we have only been keeping records for 150 years, that is much to small of a Sample period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just spoke to one of my Jewish friends, said they are allowed to shovel, just can not use a blower. That would be a "no" to shoveling whether mechanical or electrical, however the idea of living in a Jewish neighborhood and keeping a pure blanket of snow all Saturday sounds good to me. Reminds me of the storm of 1983 I was 11 and we got buried over shabbath at night we all went out and shoveled. Good memories sitting at the window with my family watching heavy snow fall. Another major plus for me would be that I can't look go online and look at the weather radar or message boards it's just looking at the window and guessing what's going to happen next, I can't wait to share the experience with my own children . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Take it down after a couple minutes. Dual jackpots..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I guess the nam wasn't that insane then. Though it was still overdone with over 3" of widespread QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 um wow euro drops 18-24" border of 24-30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 euro suggests basically 20 for NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm 30 years old...If this pans out, I will have seen 70% of top 10 snowstorms within 20% of total record keeping. I've researched northeastern snowstorms back to 1800, and the cluster of extreme snowstorms beginning in 1996 is nothing short of astonishing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Where are you getting the updated SREF maps? My sources (SPC, PSU) are still 09Z. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm 30 years old...If this pans out, I will have seen 70% of top 10 snowstorms within 20% of total record keeping. You are a moron if you can't appreciate that. Woah, no need for name calling. Im 25 and have seen the same amount as you and i think its great. But in the big picture of thing, all im saying is you cant draw a conculsion about weather patterns over just 150 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Warmer or colder than its previous run? About the same, maybe a bit colder. Starting to think that we have a thump snow to start which makes it harder to change over if we have marginal temps at the low-mid levels. We then absolutely go to town later tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I've researched northeastern snowstorms back to 1800, and the cluster of extreme snowstorms beginning in 1996 is nothing short of astonishing. yes we can all attest to this. If this ends up top 10 it is just crazy. I dont want to jinx ourselves though lol. Things are looking great right now though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Where are you getting the updated SREF maps? My sources (SPC, PSU) are still 09Z. Thanks. SV...comes out at 225/825 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It takes a long time for the PSU ewall SREFs to update. Where are you getting the updated SREF maps? My sources (SPC, PSU) are still 09Z. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Wow, the SREFS are still coming West with the precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Are we looking at a sustained 18 to 24 hour precip event or 12-18 hour, certainly not an 8 hour event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 One of the top analogs from the 12z CIPS (using the NAM) is Feb, 2006. There are quite a few other big ones in there as well. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=NAM212&fhr=F036&flg= Most of those are KU events. I love #10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 18z nam out to 6...its amazing how much stronger it is with the southern vort as compared to 00z last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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