CIK62 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:35 PM, SnowGoose69 said: 4/6/82 I think still matches the 500mb pattern right but this time the surface low re-develops way more south as opposed to just off NJ or the Delmarva. This event was aided by volcanic ash from El Chicon Volcano which erupted a few times before event. Cooled atmospheric and provided particulate material increase. Sun much higher of course too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 mm5 is prolific and cold as well. Sets up the CCB from the city eastward...parts of NNJ included as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:43 PM, Kaner587 said: mm5 is prolific and cold as well. Sets up the CCB from the city eastward...parts of NNJ included as well was just gonna post about the MM5 - more importantly its FROZEN for everyone from wire-to-wire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:39 PM, sferic said: Does anyone feel Upton with their 4PM package will extend Blizzard watches westard into western LI/NYC/NE NJ? No. This storm is tracking rather far east of what would normally bring blizzard conditions to the area. We're relying on a strong CCB well removed from the central circulation of the storm thanks to the diving northern shortwave, so while the storm will be sitting just over or southeast of the benchmark, we will be sitting under a wide band of heavy snow and less severe northerly winds. I'd say blowing snow is possible, but probably not blizzard conditions west of suffolk county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:43 PM, Kaner587 said: mm5 is prolific and cold as well. Sets up the CCB from the city eastward...parts of NNJ included as well Link please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro coming up soon. JMA looks very Nam like but slightly further east with its QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:33 PM, bluewave said: We have been seeing plenty of unique events around here lately to keep us on our toes. Yeah. And everyone of our coastals lately have just been absolute bombs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:45 PM, CooL said: Yeah. And everyone of our coastals lately have just been absolute bombs I could get used to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:44 PM, Dosh said: No. This storm is tracking rather far east of what would normally bring blizzard conditions to the area. We're relying on a strong CCB well removed from the central circulation of the storm thanks to the diving northern shortwave, so while the storm will be sitting just over or southeast of the benchmark, we will be sitting under a wide band of heavy snow and northerly winds. I'd say blowing snow is possible, but probably not blizzard conditions west of suffolk county. this is the track we get our blizzards....storm traveling over the benchmark. Yes storms that tuck in a bit inside the bm also give us some of our blizzards I think you're making an incorrect assumption Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Getting hyped here.....Tempted to take tomorrow off, work in brooklyn, live in western nassau. Haven't felt this intensity in awhile, hope the EURO gives us all what we want, a paralyzing shut down the city epic blizzard, but i still pray for those living in tents from Sandy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:41 PM, SnowGoose69 said: I remember that one, that was the closest near miss I had ever seen up to that time, 40 mile shift and we'd have been slammed there was heavy snow 20 miles SE of LI. I can remember being really annoyed that we missed out on that one. Just goes to show the heavy snow potential and big QPF with these phase bombs. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Juan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/html/alt_mm5.cgi mm5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:48 PM, Kaner587 said: http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/html/alt_mm5.cgi mm5 DISREGARD, I POSTED a 3HOUR PRECIP AND NOT 12 HOUR OH CRAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:49 PM, Dosh said: 2-4" everywhere west of the city, 6-12"+ from NYC on east. oof, thats a sharp cutoff http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2013020712/images_d1/pcp3.42.0000.gif its still snowing at 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:48 PM, Kaner587 said: http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/html/alt_mm5.cgi mm5 That has 1.5" of liquid from NNJ/NYC and points N&E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:49 PM, Dosh said: 2-4" everywhere west of the city, 6-12"+ from NYC on east. oof, thats a sharp cutoff http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2013020712/images_d1/pcp3.42.0000.gif Probably would be some more snow after that too, since it only goes out to hour 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 euro looks AMPED at 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 hr 24 sub 1000 low over hse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks looks a bit more amplified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Oops, sorry, I posted 3 hour precip, not 12 hour. My bad! here's storm total. woof! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jasonli18t Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:49 PM, Dosh said: 2-4" everywhere west of the city, 6-12"+ from NYC on east. oof, thats a sharp cutoff http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2013020712/images_d1/pcp3.42.0000.gif i think you forgot an extra "o" in your username Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 hr 30 sub 996 east of va beach...moderate snow into the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:53 PM, Dosh said: Oops, sorry, I posted 3 hour precip, not 12 hour. My bad! here's storm total. woof! Looks like 12"+ of snow from NYC and points N&E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro looks about the same through 30 hours. Maybe a hair less phased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 EURO is going to be nice this run... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the euro is right cnj wakes up to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 heavy snow for the area at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 5:49 PM, Dosh said: 2-4" everywhere west of the city, 6-12"+ from NYC on east. oof, thats a sharp cutoff http://ch On 2/7/2013 at 5:49 PM, Dosh said: 2-4" everywhere west of the city, 6-12"+ from NYC on east. oof, thats a sharp cutoff http://cheget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2013020712/images_d1/pcp3.42.0000.gif WRONG...ive never seen the MM5 be so robust eget.msrc.sunysb.edu/mm5rt_data/2013020712/images_d1/pcp3.42.0000.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NYC is all snow this run. Hr 36 getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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