earthlight Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 1" liquid from Newark east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Still a solid snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Major differences in the timing of the phase. The 12z NAM closed off at 500mb just of the NJ coast while the 12z GFS closes off SE of Rhode Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS at HR 42: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:40 PM, earthlight said: I wouldn't call it bad at all Seriously... GFS looks stronger than its last run, and the NAM was likely too amped/warm anyway. Still a very, very nice run and it might trend stronger still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:41 PM, earthlight said: 1" liquid from Newark east even at 25% rain would still be 7 or 8 inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:40 PM, earthlight said: I wouldn't call it bad at all. This is what I said before earthlight, you think the sharp cutoff west and northwest of the city is legit? And where is your best guess for it to cutoff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS all snow for me, correct? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:40 PM, earthlight said: I wouldn't call it bad at all Bad was too harsh a word but I wouldn't count on that last minute wrap around that it insists on. It's no NAM for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:43 PM, Saturn510 said: even at 25% rain would still be 7 or 8 inches of snow There is no rain!!! Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 1" QPF NE NJ all snow.....12" or so now among the lowest snow output on the models..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisjmcjr Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 question is which model is right.. we will soon find out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 There is ZERO rian on this run CITY West , North , East . Looks 1.25 all snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 gfs looks pretty good and reasonable to me plus its colder, probably all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 4-8 for everyone 8-12 twin forks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:44 PM, rossi said: There is no rain!!! Rossi We prob mix for a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 are we forgetting how far east the gfs was on the 00z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:45 PM, Zelocita Weather said: 1" QPF NE NJ all snow.....12" or so now among the lowest snow output on the models..... Hey everyone stop compalining about a foot of snow - last week we had nothing but clippers- Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:44 PM, rossi said: There is no rain!!! Rossi YEH 850`s never N of Monmouth County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 When you have one model showing a historic storm over the area and another showing a major snowstorm it's not a bad day. Just would prefer the historic storm over the run of the mill noreaster that the GFS shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS changes over to snow at the coast around 6 pm but the heaviest precip is east in line with the RGEM. We have seen the NAM a little too far west with the precip shield so far this winter like others have mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The trend is undeniable here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisjmcjr Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:46 PM, forkyfork said: are we forgetting how far east the gfs was on the 00z run? are you saying the gfs is ajusting west??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:46 PM, PB GFI said: YEH 850`s never N of Monmouth County Also what will the ratios be? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:44 PM, YanksFan27 said: Bad was too harsh a word but I wouldn't count on that last minute wrap around that it insists on. It's no NAM for sure. It moved more precip NW than on previous runs so it's definitely still trending that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Suffolk County -- North Shore looks OK....South Shore? Can't tell by the map - 850's are right on LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bloomberg giving Live conference now on Channel 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS is too far east, take a blend of the nam and gfs and you got the track, onto the euro. Edit:east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:46 PM, forkyfork said: are we forgetting how far east the gfs was on the 00z run? trending toward the Euro..no doubt..Euro has had this since last Sunday,when nobody had it..ride it till the end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEC Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mayor Bloomberg (NYC) just held a press conference and he (and the City's Sanitation Department) is expecting a 4-6 inch snowfall by Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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