Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Where's the scale on the y-axis? 78, 92, 97, 05 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Oops! Increments of 0.5" ah much better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pinch me. This would put our snowmageddon to shame. I'm pulling for ya. Insanely jealous, but pulling for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 78, 92, 97, 05 God I'm so pumped. couldn't even pay attention in my classes today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Can you teach my wife to talk dirty to me like that? LOL classic. Good luck down there dude! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 that sharp cutoff makes any even later phasing very precarious for double digit totals west of the river id really like to see more love to the southwest,its very disconcerning to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 God I'm so pumped. couldn't even pay attention in my classes today. Same here, nearly had a stroke each 12z run of the models in class last couple days lol. first class canceled tomorrow so I'll be staying up for the euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I the only one who can't stand that the PSU site is always late with the 0z NAM? Yeah it is kinda weird how that happens. I'll see if my tuition dollars can go to some EWALL improvements Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ravens won the Superbowl, you're good. Really bombing at 57 hrs, with the NAM. Solid consolation for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Same here, nearly had a stroke each 12z run of the models in class last couple days lol. first class canceled tomorrow so I'll be staying up for the euro tonight. I had the GFS 2M winds up on my laptop during chemistry and my professor asked me how's the storm looking and I lit up. He's not happy b/c he teaches a class on Friday and one already was cancelled. Anyways though, it's amazing how we continue to look better and better with each run, that's when you really know things bode well. Just need to have the GFS/Euro stay steadfast or even look better and that will do it for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 As expected the NAM came fully back ... that 18z run completely dropped the southern stream for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Wow at the NAM, would honestly give up my 12-18" and take the 6" that the NAM has for me just to see some of those pictures, even if we slice QPF in half that's still one hell of a storm... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I had the GFS 2M winds up on my laptop during chemistry and my professor asked me how's the storm looking and I lit up. He's not happy b/c he teaches a class on Friday and one already was cancelled. Anyways though, it's amazing how we continue to look better and better with each run, that's when you really know things bode well. Just need to have the GFS/Euro stay steadfast or even look better and that will do it for me. I was really having trouble teaching today. Thurs will be worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 In all fairness...I think sometimes people overestimate how much influence the sound has more than 1-2 miles inland. I'm 3-4 miles inland...and we often can do surprisingly well even when the NWS/local stations have us in the coastal screw zone. The northern portions of the shoreline town cans sometimes be like night/day compared to immediate coast. This. You know the deal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAMs a sleetfest for BDL. Half the QPF would probably fall mostly as sleet with a huge warm hole between 850 and 825mb for a good chunk of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 78, 92, 97, 05 I absolutely agree. Could be a colder version of 1997. But, I think Jan 05 would be a better analog, though no where near as cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAMs a sleetfest for BDL. Half the QPF would probably fall mostly as sleet with a huge warm hole between 850 and 825mb for a good chunk of the storm. NAM is probably too warm...no other guidance is as warm as the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Am I sitting in subsidence on this run? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like RGEM shifted a shade east from 18z....18z was really amped though. 00z still pretty amped up overall though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN Wed. Late Evening Accumulation Maps I aired on @NECN - more detail, 2 foot area added: http://mnoy.es/TMX9tj That 2 foot area covers my house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks like Noyes is going with the later phase solution minus the warm air. Ignore the CT valley hump, it doesn't happen unless its like early December and there's zero cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 unless the tuck and stall happens further west than modeled...i think ACK where some folks have like 2" or 4" falling will make out fine. not sure i agree with the low numbers on the islands. obviously they won't get crushed but seen some really low numbers for CHH and ACK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 James Spann @spann New 00Z RPM with projected snow accumulation through 72 hours. pic.twitter.com/C4Si01bn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 :lol: 49.7.jpg Seems reasonable, Jeff. Why the laughing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just a crushing crushing run. Question for the mets... Normally see isallobaric flow out of the north, but with the banana high literally wrapping around the low pressure center does that imply weak convergence? Or at the very least will east flow be mitigated partially by an ageostrophic component out of the west? Yes... From an email with Harvey Leonard: Yeah, I understand but it depends. Do you recall the run-up to the 2003, Dec storm? The emails we exchanged, I tried to impress upon the fact that the particular position of the antecendent polar/arctic high up N was position so ideally, that a low approaching from the south would have to fight a might ageostrophic vector, and that the inevitable coastal boundary, might end up anomalously placed S along the S shore. We saw in that event, mid 30s F cold and wet snow in Boston, rather abruptly dry out when the temp crashed as the wind back abruptly from ENE to NNE then N. The water then was warmer than now. I remember it was 19F in Winchester Mass with a N wind gusting (est) 23kts from the N, and then shortly there after BOS wind went 010 and the temp went to 29F like a finger snap. 2 things leap to mind ...well 3, upon reading your paragraph. 1) the example above of how idiosyncratic details can compensate for typicals/normalcy. This is an extreme event, much like Dec 2003, odd things like that happen, and they happen for a reason. I wouldn't use this to trump your thinking - no way, but please keep in mind the the following... 2) bombing lows approaching from the S toward ACK, will tend to back the wind prematurely due to cross-isobaric wind response. That would combine with #1 in helping to establish a CF very close to Logan in my mind, where downtown on the common, certainly out toward Cambridge are blue. 3) the storm then stalls - the 00z NAM came gang busters back when it realized, "holy ****, there's a southern stream impulse I forgot to infuse". Anyway, a strong system that might bump west, or even loop would likely blast the CP with a N wind snow wall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 00Z WSI RPM 30-40+" over east 1/3 of MA, RI and SE Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Well, the biggest GFS run of the winter is running, GOOD LUCK TO ALL!!! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Noyes has an IMBY fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 unless the tuck and stall happens further west than modeled...i think ACK where some folks have like 2" or 4" falling will make out fine. not sure i agree with the low numbers on the islands. obviously they won't get crushed but seen some really low numbers for CHH and ACK Any predictions for E. Falmouth snowfal totals? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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