Sparky Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Have fun with this, New England peeps! If I am lucky I will get a couple of inches from the wrap around at the tail end.....it happened in Feb 78 down this way, we had like a foot of wrap around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That would be great, but I'm not holding my breath on accums that early in the day. Yeah nothing really shows that. In most of the state early dismissals are between 12 and 2... so buses aren't done until 230pm or so. That's cutting it pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You're being a huge . You may want to reel it back in a bit. Coming from the dude that said 8-12 seemed likely yesterday and then bit on the 00z GFS last nite lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Coming from the dude that said 8-12 seemed likely yesterday and then bit on the 00z GFS last nite lol.. I didn't say it was likely and you know that. I said it was certainly possible that this could turn into an 8-12 kind of deal but was forecasting 12+. Stop trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 they'll have an inch OTG by 7:o0am It's not 7:00 AM that i'm worried about, it's 12 when the early dismissal happens, there should be 2-4" by then and snowing moderatley. They did early dismissal for the 1/2 that we got a week from last monday, and their not going to close for this? seems silly, as I said above, a snow day should not be decided based on how many days already have been used. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Quincy's map Danbury/Naugatuck WX @danburyweather For those who just want the image, this is my latest snowfall forecast for CT and surrounding areas: #wxedge pic.twitter.com/0ZBRAI24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not sure where you're getting those numbers. The GFS at BDL looks solidly over 1" from the 18z run. Ryan, I was looking at Cobb data. Not sure how accurate they are. StnID: kbdl Profile Thermal Adjust: 0.0 Cloud RH threshold: 85% Average Hourly Sounding: NO Date/hour FHr Wind SfcT Ptype SR |Snow||Sleet|| FZRA|| QPF CumSR|TotSN||TotPL||TotZR|| TQPF S%| I%| L%============================================================================================================================130207/2100Z 3 11005KT 25.4F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0130208/0000Z 6 09007KT 18.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0130208/0300Z 9 08007KT 15.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0130208/0600Z 12 07006KT 15.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---130208/0900Z 15 06008KT 17.1F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00 0| 0| 0130208/1200Z 18 06010KT 23.4F SNOW 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 10:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0130208/1500Z 21 07017KT 30.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.036 8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 100| 0| 0130208/1800Z 24 07018KT 32.4F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.054 8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.10 84| 0| 16----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---130208/2100Z 27 05019KT 31.5F SNOW 7:1| 0.8|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.117 7:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.22 100| 0| 0130209/0000Z 30 04022KT 29.4F SNOW 8:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.148 8:1| 2.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.36 100| 0| 0130209/0300Z 33 02025KT 24.5F SNOW 14:1| 1.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.138 10:1| 4.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.50 100| 0| 0130209/0600Z 36 02023KT 16.4F SNOW 20:1| 3.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.199 13:1| 8.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.70 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---130209/0900Z 39 35017KT 20.2F SNOW 16:1| 2.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.124 13:1| 10.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.83 100| 0| 0130209/1200Z 42 32015KT 22.4F SNOW 21:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 14:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.87 100| 0| 0130209/1500Z 45 33016KT 20.9F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 14:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.87 0| 0| 0130209/1800Z 48 33019KT 21.8F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 14:1| 11.2|| 0.00|| Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I just heard the T is down as of 3 tomorrow? I rely on it Fridays ....hopefully I'll get down with the schedule by noon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah nothing really shows that. In most of the state early dismissals are between 12 and 2... so buses aren't done until 230pm or so. That's cutting it pretty close. I respect your opinion even though we sometimes disagree...serious question: If NYC does not cancel school, should I go to work tomorrow? I work in Brooklyn and finish school at 2:20. It takes me a bit under an hour to drive home, so I would be off the roads by about 3:30 or so. Can I fit this in without it being dangerous? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Coming from the dude that said 8-12 seemed likely yesterday and then bit on the 00z GFS last nite lol.. You actually have the nerve to troll Ryan with some of the horrific calls you have made all winter? Ease up a bit, man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV WRF loves the CT Valley/Berks/W CT for a deform band...been hitting that all day. 18z Hi-Res NAM just crushes you at home in Litchfield County. Has that deformation band that just rots there and lifts up into ME. What's interesting on these models is that the deform band is forming but it isn't curling eastward, but transitioning northeast into NH/ME. Its interesting because east of that band, the models are sort of ending the heaviest snows until you get back towards the immediate coast. But man, get into this puppy and its all over. This band is going to be ripping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I respect your opinion even though we sometimes disagree...serious question: If NYC does not cancel school, should I go to work tomorrow? I work in Brooklyn and finish school at 2:20. It takes me a bit under an hour to drive home, so I would be off the roads by about 3:30 or so. Can I fit this in without it being dangerous? Can you take mass transit? I don't think it will be dangerous but the roads might be totally jammed with people leaving early and having to deal with developing S+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You actually have the nerve to troll Ryan with some of the horrific calls you have made all winter? Ease up a bit, man. WTF? You guys obviosuly talking about me in the mod fourm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Kev chill, get in the mood bro. Shot hour, c'mon man this is it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Can you take mass transit? I don't think it will be dangerous but the roads might be totally jammed with people leaving early and having to deal with developing S+. I really can't...I work in a part of Brooklyn that takes forever to get too (hours) without a car, which takes about 45 minutes. What should I do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV MESO 4km click total precip ....HELLO! more robust than 12z . shows C conn and W central mass (lesser) areas pretty well /consistently with great banding signature in WSNE from MRG and Conway/ashfield MA S on a line to Hartford Center down to clinton/killingworth WEST toward stamford then back North thru Bethel , Goshen, and up to Peru MA . enahancement goes up into woodford vt area actually just less intense. Then the big qpf bomb from W RI up thru 495 over to lawrence /gloucster And all areas S And east over 2.5 qpf w 3 in BOS and 4 in middleboro over to the cape). another mini jackpot type ares in Monads, nh as well/ and can't forget the continuation of that deform band showing up from MHT on a line NNE to madison,nh (king pine ski) into maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Kev chill, get in the mood bro. Shot hour, c'mon man this is it. What did i do? Seriously.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 berks are gonna be the jack with over 40 as we said this morning wow... now we're up to 40"+ lollis? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I really can't...I work in a part of Brooklyn that takes forever to get too (hours) without a car, which takes about 45 minutes. What should I do? Tough call to be honest. Sick day? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 wow... now we're up to 40"+ lollis? Might as well just make it 50" lol. 1 to 2 feet seems like a reasonable expectation. I could see someone getting 3 ft but I have no idea where that will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z Hi-Res NAM just crushes you at home in Litchfield County. Has that deformation band that just rots there and lifts up into ME. What's interesting on these models is that the deform band is forming but it isn't curling eastward, but transitioning northeast into NH/ME. Its interesting because east of that band, the models are sort of ending the heaviest snows until you get back towards the immediate coast. But man, get into this puppy and its all over. This band is going to be ripping. Untitled.jpg If one of those bands backed up 10-15 miles my totals would triple. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charleskoz Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Honestly, I don't see why some of these areas are closing school already. In many parts of New England there will barely be 2" of snow on the ground by 3 pm. It's February... we can't handle a bit of snow? Too many damned lawyers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yup 26.4 on Jan 12 2011 My biggest is 28" from the April Fools Day storm in 1997. Let's see if we can best that....I doubt it, but there's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Kev chill, get in the mood bro. Shot hour, c'mon man this is it. How much for your 'hood? 25? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM was showing that also. 18z BTV WRF kicks off some OES action from SW maine down thru N shore around 3 am and expands to include s. shore by 6am, and moves into metro west after 7am. so some nice pre storm OES possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Might as well just make it 50" lol. 1 to 2 feet seems like a reasonable expectation. I could see someone getting 3 ft but I have no idea where that will be. duh. at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hey Kev In all honesty, what do you the E slope of the Berks may see out of this thing ? we are pretty sure that deform band is gonna rock the hell out of MRG/ Peru and high elevation in W 1/3 of ct. i mean i think we are going to likely see SCARY numbers. near 50 in jackpots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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