nzucker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Back country Greenwich has hills just under 500 ft, its a very hilly place lol considering its just a few miles from the sound. The reason coastal sw ct is waiting is purely based on the fact we lost so many days to Sandy...........its that simple. Same reason NYC hasn't canceled yet. We've already lost most of February break so they don't want to call another day. I really don't want to be stuck driving home at 3pm tomorrow, however, even though I think the worst waits till after 5pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My call is pretty much 15"-25" statewide. I could see some weenie totals down near HVN even. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Ryan's map Ryan's forecast - Click the video link on the right. http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/weather/school-closings/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 We're reached Nirvana when 19" is considered a screw zone. That's very funny. Wet is the new dry. 18 to 20 is awesome if it verifies...i am worried about slicing a quater to a third off the qpf forecasted due to ds and in that case those amounts wont come close to verifying.. the weenie in me hopes for two foot plus but i know where i live and i am not delusional. its not impossible but it is very unlikely here. its ok to want to live through tssn and three to five inch snowfall rates like the folks occasionally get just a bit east of here. i can do without all that wind though lol..that is annoying in big snowstorms. i am basing all this on 10 to 1 ratios and some damage to the snow from the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 BOXs map looks suspect for Kevin's area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Back country Greenwich has hills just under 500 ft, its a very hilly place lol considering its just a few miles from the sound. The reason coastal sw ct is waiting is purely based on the fact we lost so many days to Sandy...........its that simple. According to Ryan's station, snow isn't starting in Conn. until between 9 and 12. Unless it comes in early that's plenty of time to get a half day of school and work in for those that truly want to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My call is pretty much 15"-25" statewide. I could see some weenie totals down near HVN even. Did you really use my pic on air? if so, if you get a chance over the next couple weeks and can find a clip please send it to me, just let me know i can give you my email. Deform band city somewhere in western ct............but who gets the goods>? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 BOXs map looks suspect for Kevin's area. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Did you really use my pic on air? if so, if you get a chance over the next couple weeks and can find a clip please send it to me, just let me know i can give you my email. Deform band city somewhere in western ct............but who gets the goods>? Earthlight LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol, 18z gfs had .87 qpf for bdl and 18z nam has 1.91. The differences in this time frame are astounding really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 No they can't. Lawsuit city son Sadly he's right. Greenwich only school in the state that has said they are going with early close, 60ish schools closed across the state, no word from stamford yet.(Although the large private school in the city is closed(KING for the locals.)) -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18 to 20 is awesome if it verifies...i am worried about slicing a quater to a third off the qpf forecasted due to ds and in that case those amounts wont come close to verifying.. the weenie in me hopes for two foot plus but i know where i live and i am not delusional. its not impossible but it is very unlikely here. its ok to want to live through tssn and three to five inch snowfall rates like the folks occasionally get just a bit east of here. i can do without all that wind though lol..that is annoying in big snowstorms. GFS aside consensus has us at 2" QPF roughly, with probably 12-1 or better ratios. So I fully expect a quarter to a third shaved off, which still puts us at 16-18"... right in line with 1/12 and a big time win for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV WRF kicks off some OES action from SW maine down thru N shore around 3 am and expands to include s. shore by 6am, and moves into metro west after 7am. so some nice pre storm OES possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You seem to lose power easily. A deer farts and it's lights out in your region Man, when I lived in Maine, that's how it would be all the time. I'd call from work trips and my wife and infant daughter were sleeping in the living room (wood stove) when the power would go out in the winter. I'd be stuck in some crappy Hampton Inn watching Showtime not able to do anything. DT map click on it http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/1STcall.jpg Pretty much all the forecast maps (not the model maps) are showing essentially the same idea with very little variaiton in amounts. Perhaps some minor tweaks for a few from the 00z suite, but I think we're good with what we have in front of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol, 18z gfs had .87 qpf for bdl and 18z nam has 1.91. The differences in this time frame are astounding really Not sure where you're getting those numbers. The GFS at BDL looks solidly over 1" from the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My call is pretty much 15"-25" statewide. I could see some weenie totals down near HVN even. Yea the NW burbs of HVN sometime outperform other parts of the state. Its kinda hilly out that way towards the Merrit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 According to Ryan's station, snow isn't starting in Conn. until between 9 and 12. Unless it comes in early that's plenty of time to get a half day of school and work in for those that truly want to. I'd say school closings are probably the way to go tomorrow. High impact storm moving in with a lot of people on the roads early. Some light snow prior to 9 or 10 then it gets steadiers and heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Why? I think he gets more than 14-18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Some place will see 40"+ , I will put money on it! I'm also willing to bet this will be Bostons #1 storm after all said and done. Some places with hurricane force winds will see drifts 6'+ . With no solid warmup and another possible big nor easter in a week, if someone experiences any long term poweroutages, I fear it be alot worse than what is expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think he gets more than 14-18" It has 18-24 in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'd say school closings are probably the way to go tomorrow. High impact storm moving in with a lot of people on the roads early. Some light snow prior to 9 or 10 then it gets steadiers and heavier. Agreed, and how many snow days/hurricane days have happened already should be irrellevant to the decision, they close school because it is dangerous to travel, and the number of days already closed has no impact on the travel danger whatsoever. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Sadly he's right. Greenwich only school in the state that has said they are going with early close, 60ish schools closed across the state, no word from stamford yet.(Although the large private school in the city is closed(KING for the locals.)) -skisheep they'll have an inch OTG by 7:o0am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV WRF kicks off some OES action from SW maine down thru N shore around 3 am and expands to include s. shore by 6am, and moves into metro west after 7am. so some nice pre storm OES possible. A lot of the big ones have that feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 It has 18-24 in there too. Yeah the zone forecast has 18-24..but even that will likely have to be upped to like 20-30 or something like that..as will yours and BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV WRF loves the CT Valley/Berks/W CT for a deform band...been hitting that all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Euro PPV product, max 10 meter wind gusts exceed 75 knots SE Cape. And 65 knots as far North on the South Shore as maybe Weymouth. Obviously talking immediate coast, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hambone Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I've seen a couple of local Mets calling for possible 30"+ from Just east of Worcester through the Brockton/Providence corridor. Just like 78. I was in West Bridgewater then and we were over 40". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 18z BTV WRF loves the CT Valley/Berks/W CT for a deform band...been hitting that all day. berks are gonna be the jack with over 40 as we said this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 they'll have an inch OTG by 7:o0am That would be great, but I'm not holding my breath on accums that early in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah the zone forecast has 18-24..but even that will likely have to be upped to like 20-30 or something like that..as will yours and BOS You're being a huge . You may want to reel it back in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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