powderfreak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Never fails....deformation is always over GC and Dendrite lol They will probably jackpot.....that hasn't happened before I know its hard to not have the jackpot fetish, but you're fine dude. Of course someone is going to get subsidence when the strength of banding progged, but worst case scenario is still over a foot of snow. Hard to be down about that when we couldn't buy a flake of snow a week ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Great reads.... My wife just texted.........."am I a weather widow tonight?" Time to sit back and watch a great movie, get some sleep and awake to heaven on earth, good luck and enjoy NEMO Enjoy the storm joe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It looked like the H5 pattern and MSLP was a hair west, but it was not that big of a difference. I'll be curious to see how the mean QPF is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You guys expecting the upslope machine to turn on up there as a result of this? -skisheep Not really in this instance... the low escapes too far east and we end of advecting dry air in from that high on NW flow. Synoptically we'd want the mid/low level low centers much further north in either Maine or the adjacent Maritimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'll be curious to see how the mean QPF is. The mean still looks a bit juicier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 As we near this event I would like to thank all for their model analysis, banter and hype for this event, it has been fun and informative! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 New necn map expanded 2 foot area through Essex county down to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BTV WRF almost has a Boxing Day look with a heavy slug of precip near the coast, then a deformation band from hell coupled with strong easterly upslope winds into the east slopes of the Berkshires up towards Dendrites area. We've seen that show before plenty of times lately, lol. Don't you guys always joke that a certain mountain top in CT gets 14 inches during all the big storms? BTV WRF must've factored that in, too. Untitled.jpg oh please oh please oh please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 More like 2am. Ray, it all depends where the mid level lows are. We also will have tremendous banding tomorrow night. I also like a strong low/mid level fronto band over ern/se ma. So if I am getting this right.... We have the banding associated with the coastal front. Then we have the banding associated with the mid level lows. Then we have the deformation bands. Is that right? I'd like a serving of all 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is only 24hr QPF valid 18z Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol Ray you will be fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Weather Channel live stream with Cantore now. http://www.weather.com/tv/tvshows/live-stream Currently talking up the possibility of more coastals coming up next weekend and the following week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Actually even more juicier than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z 72 hr QPF 18z 72 QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z 72 hr QPF OP GFS has been atrocious in the off hours for this particular storm for whatever reason. The GEFS are the way to go vs the off hour GFS. JMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ryan's beloved Gefs are even juicier and farther west than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Geez Malloy cannot speak to save his life, can he? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lundberg texted me 30-35 inches he thinks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 As we near this event I would like to thank all for their model analysis, banter and hype for this event, it has been fun and informative! Amen, reading all your analysis and opinions has allowed me to learn so much more about this wonderful world we call weather, and i cannot express enough how grateful I am that you all post your thoughts and patiently answer questions from the uninformed. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Off to find nemo in middleboro mass with two of my met buddies from school. Will update throughout. Hopefully the biggest storm of my life. 2.5" qpf seems to be a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lundberg texted me 30-35 inches he thinks The odds of you getting 30"+ is very low for you. I'd say under 10%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 TIME TO LAAAAAAA LOCK THIS MUTHA UP wrt Gefs qpf (storm total) went up to 1.65 ish for me and as scooter said trend NW of op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Off to find nemo in middleboro mass with two of my met buddies from school. Will update throughout. Hopefully the biggest storm of my life. 2.5" qpf seems to be a lock. I hope it doesn't come in more amped, in middleboro, huh jk (mostly) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm thinking 2in qpf is a lock for Boston, agreed? Or am I a Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The odds of you getting 30"+ is very low for you. I'd say under 10%.Yesterday you said that about 20. Now you're forecast map has me 20-25 inches lol. Tomorrow you'll be saying I will get 30 but not 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lundberg texted me 30-35 inches he thinks Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I hope it doesn't come in more amped, in middleboro, huh jk (mostly) I swear to god. Don't even...hahahah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 LolCertainly possible based on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Why are schools closing up in northern ct for tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm thinking 2in qpf is a lock for Boston, agreed? Or am I a I'd say it's most likely. You don't hold back here, (here's why) you have 6 consecutive runs of the Euro with QPF over 2.50 for KBOS, this is being spit out for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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