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Feb 8th-9th Potential Blizzard


dryslot

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Tau tons new map give the whole CT river valley the middle finger of death.

 

CT shadowing IMO may be overdone..it's the mesoscale screw zones like Ryan said...and that will not be able to be nailed down.

 

Agreed Scooter.  Mitch's maps look fantastic for this area as well, which should help compensate.

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Yep, I think you'll be ok though. JMHO. A BM track like the euro smokes you.

 

Yeah it's really all about mid level features and mesoscale banding. A northerly wind in the boundary layer is not a big deal for CT. Up north a NE to NW wind will cause some shadowing in the CT River Valley... but this is a classic thumper for the I-84 corridor with a benchmark track.

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Everyone's phones just went off at the bar. Emergency alert. Never seen that before. This is the real deal. To keep it on topic. The models are pure porn

Yeah all our phones here in the NYC area did the same thing all at once. Never heard that before. Luckily the iPhone has an option to turn that crap off.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...A POTENTIAL HISTORIC WINTER STORM AND BLIZZARD IS EXPECTED TO
DROP AROUND 2 FEET OF SNOW FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...

MAZ005>007-012>023-RIZ001>008-080500-
/O.UPG.KBOX.BZ.A.0001.130208T1200Z-130209T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1100Z-130209T1800Z/
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-
BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...
PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...
WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
  BOSTON AND BOSTON METRO AREA...ALL OF RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING
  BLOCK ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW...BLOWING AND DRIFTING AT TIMES...
  QUARTER MILE VISIBILITIES...AND WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP BY FRIDAY MORNING...BECOMING
  HEAVY LATE IN THE DAY INTO THE EVENING COMMUTE. THE HEAVIEST OF
  SNOWFALL...ESPECIALLY FOCUS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR...WILL FALL
  FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

* IMPACTS...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND DANGEROUS TRAVEL. WHITE OUT
  CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED AS ROADS BECOME SNOW COVERED BY THE
  FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE. STRONG NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS ARE
  ANTICIPATED WITH GUSTS UP TO AROUND 60 MPH...RESULTING IN
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW. DAMAGE TO TREES AND STRUCTURES
  ALONG WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES ARE ANTICIPATED.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT
GUSTS OVER 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH CONSIDERABLE FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.  VISIBILITIES WILL BECOME POOR WITH
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.  THOSE VENTURING OUTDOORS MAY
BECOME LOST OR DISORIENTED...SO PERSONS IN THE WARNING AREA ARE
ADVISED TO STAY INDOORS.

 

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BANG!

 

Blizzard Warning
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013...MAJOR WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE TRI-STATE AREA FRIDAY INTOSATURDAY...CTZ005-009-080500-/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0001.130208T1800Z-130209T1800Z//O.NEW.KOKX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1100Z-130209T1800Z/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-355 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM ESTSATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARDWARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM FRIDAY TO 1 PM ESTSATURDAY.* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD COUNTY.* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS.* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES.* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.* TEMPERATURES...FALLING IT NO THE 20S FRIDAY EVENING.* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.* TIMING...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST SNOW WILL OCCUR FRIDAY  EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW AND WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DANGEROUS DRIVING  CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO IN WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS.  IN ADDITION...SOME TREE LIMBS WILL BE DOWNED...CAUSING SCATTERED  POWER OUTAGES.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDSAND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUTCONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IFYOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GETSTRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.
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I don't get it, BOX posted the warning statement saying 18-24" for Cape Cod, MA, but their map shows 8-10" for me, maybe its just not my storm.  WIthout mixing we would be talking the same amounts as areas southwest of Boston, MA.

 

Mixing or even plain rain is still a potential issue/is going to happen for some of us in the CP down this way.  Too early to tell much.

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