Amped Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Blizzard of '05 once again the top analog (this time using the NAM) on the 12z CIPS. http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/stats.php?reg=EC&model=NAM212&fhr=F048&flg= That lacked a southern stream. Shape of the snow area appears similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charleskoz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 All I can say is.. I wish you guys good luck, but it would be nice if a storm went west of forecast for once when it was forecast *east* of us, rather than always going west when we're supposed to be the bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 RPM looks okay for you, 36-48" not bad. Yeah, he gets steamrolled there with incredible rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 nam out to 3 and already sharper lets see what happens from here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BBQ at my house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM just keeps getting stronger and stronger. (12h 18z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BBQ at my house? Heading to middleboro. Yes. BBQ. Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 hi everyone good luck with the storm blizzard coming for sne area total snowfall for now 14 to 22 inches will likey change it later today for ct area .You the man Blizzy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I had a typo when typing in the code. I hope Jeff has recovered fully from his heart attack in time to enjoy the storm. P.S. Happy birthday. Thanks Don , a memorable one for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM just keeps getting stronger and stronger. (12h 18z) lol, Northern s/w precip a hair north of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 By looking at the nam you can tell this is going to be one of the weenier solutions weve seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Speaking of 2005, that was the last Cat 4 NESIS storm, if the Euro/NAM solutions verify, this could be the next. And the 18z NAM is looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is pretty crazy to think this could be my 3rd storm I've witnessed at least 2'! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 They keep destroying SE MA and E MA....over 2.50" qpf again for that area on the SREF mean. Matches the Euro though.Euro has that amount to W CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I know what he went threw because its the same around here stores will be empty by 5 lol I ran to get gas for my snowblower and picked up some milk at Big Y. Packed--it's never crowded. You don't think Malloy will shut state roads? He always does and will again. Presser either tonite or early am PC is at 6:00 I think according to WTIC. I was listening through the static on my way to the store. Bob Cox was calling for 10-20" with higher amounts. Best chances for upper end were the hills in NW and NE CT, but that they could really occur anywhere in the state. 15z SREFs. 2.5" over SE MA. 2" for E MA/RI/CC/E LI 1" back W of NYC/ All of CT/W LI/ MA/ up to C VT/C NH/ C ME How do those compare to earlier, Bob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 As a sidebar. Lou Uccellini has been named the next Director of the NWS. fitting I had breakfast with him and Kocin in 06 in Balt at the conference, we talked about 78 for an hour. Just get us a stall and we are there again, I can see it occurring. With ratios insane amounts in non windy areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 By looking at the nam you can tell this is going to be one of the weenier solutions weve seen It looks a little NW early on up north and down south then 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro has that amount to W CT I'm heading home now for an mri, would you come back if you were me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 When I just talked to my mom she said someone showed her an image where there was 39" for Shrewsbury forecast. I had to tell her it was not a forecast but the RPM model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro has that amount to W CT Yes it does. For E MA though, the Euro and SREF match...for W CT, they don't. I wasn't talking about the latter though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 BBQ at my house? I'll bring the weenies. (Sorry.....) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Blizzard Warnings will be posted shortly. Jim Cantore @JimCantore @NWSBoston just waiting on you guys to make the#blizzard watch a warning. Expand 2mNWS Boston @NWSBoston @jimcantore Hey Jim, we will get it out as soon as we can. Hoping to have everything out by 4 PM as is normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM not letting the southern s/w escape this run. More like the others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It looks a little NW early on up north and down south then 12z What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I ran to get gas for my snowblower and picked up some milk at Big Y. Packed--it's never crowded. PC is at 6:00 I think according to WTIC. I was listening through the static on my way to the store. Bob Cox was calling for 10-20" with higher amounts. Best chances for upper end were the hills in NW and NE CT, but that they could really occur anywhere in the state. How do those compare to earlier, Bob? I went to school with him at Lyndon. He's as conservative as they come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I went to school with him at Lyndon. He's as conservative as they come.Hes an awful met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I think the hires ARW model is a good model to use for QPF amounts, relatively conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Blizzard warnings are a given at the 4pm package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I ran to get gas for my snowblower and picked up some milk at Big Y. Packed--it's never crowded. PC is at 6:00 I think according to WTIC. I was listening through the static on my way to the store. Bob Cox was calling for 10-20" with higher amounts. Best chances for upper end were the hills in NW and NE CT, but that they could really occur anywhere in the state. How do those compare to earlier, Bob? They are up some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is closing off way to the south on the nam.wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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