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Feb 8th-9th Potential Blizzard


dryslot

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if those are even close to correct the totals will be astounding - potential exists for better than 10:1 ratios considering most models have temps at h7 around -10 to -12

Yeah, I can't wait to look at the detailed stuff when it comes out later.....pretty remarkable event getting ready to unfold.

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Good.

 

And I agree someone on the south shore has a real shot at 35-40" particularly with OE enhancement.  (norwood canton Stoughton, Sharon, Easton, etc).

I'll volunteer for that in Randolph.  Went out last night and bought snow shoes, and I'd love to get to some of the higher hills in the Blue Hills but it might be just a bit too far.

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Has there ever been a storm that delivered 20" + to both NYC and BOS?

 

Thinking... none of the storms of the last 20 years. '78... no.

 

It's happened many times now for NYC down to PHL, BAL and DC (Miller A's). 

 

I'm guessing we still fall short here, but fun looking at the potential for that.

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I'll volunteer for that in Randolph.  Went out last night and bought snow shoes, and I'd love to get to some of the higher hills in the Blue Hills but it might be just a bit too far.

 

 

Good.

 

And I agree someone on the south shore has a real shot at 35-40" particularly with OE enhancement.  (norwood canton Stoughton, Sharon, Easton, etc).

 

I figured as much.  Sharon always seems to get it the worst.  Unfortunately for me, my yard is surrounded by trees so snowfall underperforms IMBY. 

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Has there ever been a storm that delivered 20" + to both NYC and BOS?

 

Thinking... none of the storms of the last 20 years. '78... no.

 

It's happened many times now for NYC down to PHL, BAL and DC (Miller A's). 

 

I'm guessing we still fall short here, but fun looking at the potential for that.

 

I think LI has a real shot at 20" but that will be tough for the city to achieve...it will have to go perfect, but not impossible.

What did NYC get in PDII? They may have fallen short. That's the onyl storm where I'm not sure. The other 5 storms where BOS got 20"+, NYC did not get it.

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2/7/2012 12z ECWMF: QPF

 

Connecticut:

Bridgeport: 2.84”

Danbury: 2.44”

Groton: 2.45”

Hartford: 2.21”

New Haven: 2.76”

 

Maine:

Augusta: 1.28”

Bangor: 1.15”

Caribou: 0.23”

Houlton: 0.54”

Lewiston: 1.43"

Portland: 1.78”

 

Massachusetts:

Bedford: 2.53”

Beverly: 2.60”

Boston: 2.73”

Chicopee Falls: 1.99”

Fitchburg: 2.17”

Hyannis: 2.54”

Martha’s Vineyard: 2.62”

Milton: 2.77”

Nantucket: 2.43”

New Bedford: 2.82”

Norwood: 2.74”

Pittsfield: 1.32”

Plymouth: 2.74”

Provincetown: 2.57”

Taunton: 2.86”

Westfield: 2.01”

Worcester: 2.32”

 

New Hampshire:

Berlin: 0.75”

Concord: 1.64”

Jaffrey: 1.86”

Keene: 1.60”

Lebanon: 1.04”

Manchester: 1.89”

Nashua: 2.00”

Portsmouth: 2.14”

Whitefield: 0.77”

 

New Jersey:

Belmar: 2.42”

Caldwell: 1.81”

Newark: 2.08”

Sussex: 1.27”

Teterboro: 2.09”

Trenton: 1.65”

 

New York:

Albany: 0.77”

Islip: 3.06”

New York City:

…JFK: 2.70”

…LGA: 2.39”

…NYC: 2.25”

Newburgh: 1.46”

Poughkeepsie: 1.60”

Westhampton Beach: 2.76”

White Plains: 2.41”

 

Rhode Island:

Newport: 2.70”

Providence: 2.69”

Westerly: 2.50”

 

Vermont:

Burlington: 0.42”

Montpelier: 0.53”

Rutland: 0.75”

St. Johnsbury: 0.53”

 

Note: Not every city is entirely snow. Some cities also have 850 mb temperatures > 0°C for at least a time.

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I think LI has a real shot at 20" but that will be tough for the city to achieve...it will have to go perfect, but not impossible.

What did NYC get in PDII? They may have fallen short. That's the onyl storm where I'm not sure. The other 5 storms where BOS got 20"+, NYC did not get it.

Has Boston ever got 2 feet without NYC getting a inch?

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Just able to update my Trendcast output with the 12Z GFS inputs.  Initial Snow total for Boston is showing 25 to 28.8", Providence area around 23.4 to 25.5" possible.  Generally showing light snow starting at Noon, and snow really increasing around 5PM.  Still showing some impressive snow rates of up to 2.6" per hour. 

 

I have update my output matrix:  http://smartwxmodel.net/MA.htm

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2/7/2012 12z ECWMF: QPF

 

Connecticut:

Bridgeport: 2.84”

Danbury: 2.44”

Groton: 2.45”

Hartford: 2.21”

New Haven: 2.76”

 

Maine:

Augusta: 1.28”

Bangor: 1.15”

Caribou: 0.23”

Houlton: 0.54”

Lewiston: 0.06”

Portland: 1.78”

 

Massachusetts:

Bedford: 2.53”

Beverly: 2.60”

Boston: 2.73”

Chicopee Falls: 1.99”

Fitchburg: 2.17”

Hyannis: 2.54”

Martha’s Vineyard: 2.62”

Milton: 2.77”

Nantucket: 2.43”

New Bedford: 2.82”

Norwood: 2.74”

Pittsfield: 1.32”

Plymouth: 2.74”

Provincetown: 2.57”

Taunton: 2.86”

Westfield: 2.01”

Worcester: 2.32”

 

New Hampshire:

Berlin: 0.75”

Concord: 1.64”

Jaffrey: 1.86”

Keene: 1.60”

Lebanon: 1.04”

Manchester: 1.89”

Nashua: 2.00”

Portsmouth: 2.14”

Whitefield: 0.77”

 

New Jersey:

Belmar: 2.42”

Caldwell: 1.81”

Newark: 2.08”

Sussex: 1.27”

Teterboro: 2.09”

Trenton: 1.65”

 

New York:

Albany: 0.77”

Islip: 3.06”

New York City:

…JFK: 2.70”

…LGA: 2.39”

…NYC: 2.25”

Newburgh: 1.46”

Poughkeepsie: 1.60”

Westhampton Beach: 2.76”

White Plains: 2.41”

 

Rhode Island:

Newport: 2.70”

Providence: 2.69”

Westerly: 2.50”

 

Vermont:

Burlington: 0.42”

Montpelier: 0.53”

Rutland: 0.75”

St. Johnsbury: 0.53”

 

Note: Not every city is entirely snow. Some cities also have 850 mb temperatures > 0°C for at least a time.

 

Some of us may see 15:1 ratios or better, mind boggling.

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2/7/2012 12z ECWMF: QPF

Connecticut:

Bridgeport: 2.84”

Danbury: 2.44”

Groton: 2.45”

Hartford: 2.21”

New Haven: 2.76”

Maine:

Augusta: 1.28”

Bangor: 1.15”

Caribou: 0.23”

Houlton: 0.54”

Lewiston: 0.06”

Portland: 1.78”

Massachusetts:

Bedford: 2.53”

Beverly: 2.60”

Boston: 2.73”

Chicopee Falls: 1.99”

Fitchburg: 2.17”

Hyannis: 2.54”

Martha’s Vineyard: 2.62”

Milton: 2.77”

Nantucket: 2.43”

New Bedford: 2.82”

Norwood: 2.74”

Pittsfield: 1.32”

Plymouth: 2.74”

Provincetown: 2.57”

Taunton: 2.86”

Westfield: 2.01”

Worcester: 2.32”

New Hampshire:

Berlin: 0.75”

Concord: 1.64”

Jaffrey: 1.86”

Keene: 1.60”

Lebanon: 1.04”

Manchester: 1.89”

Nashua: 2.00”

Portsmouth: 2.14”

Whitefield: 0.77”

New Jersey:

Belmar: 2.42”

Caldwell: 1.81”

Newark: 2.08”

Sussex: 1.27”

Teterboro: 2.09”

Trenton: 1.65”

New York:

Albany: 0.77”

Islip: 3.06”

New York City:

…JFK: 2.70”

…LGA: 2.39”

…NYC: 2.25”

Newburgh: 1.46”

Poughkeepsie: 1.60”

Westhampton Beach: 2.76”

White Plains: 2.41”

Rhode Island:

Newport: 2.70”

Providence: 2.69”

Westerly: 2.50”

Vermont:

Burlington: 0.42”

Montpelier: 0.53”

Rutland: 0.75”

St. Johnsbury: 0.53”

Note: Not every city is entirely snow. Some cities also have 850 mb temperatures > 0°C for at least a time.

I don't think Jeff in Lewiston will be happy with the 0.06"
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