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Feb 8th-9th Potential Blizzard


dryslot

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Metro North is going to be a mess tomorrow evening and saturday. Probably a sunday schedule friday night, which is hourly/1/2 hourly service express and local only instead of 10-15 minute services with local, semi express, express, and super express. Trains are packed as it is friday, 1/3rd the number of trains is going to be chaos.

 

-skisheep

As long as there is a bar car... it's all good.

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Me? lol

Haha...you're now seeing the fun part of NW New England... If its snowing for most on this forum we are watching from the outside, but if we are getting crushed chances are its not that exciting elsewhere to the SE so it gets no attention.

I'm so stoked for SNE though. Been a rough stretch for some down there and what comes around goes around. Maybe I'm getting jaded, but lately I've really been able to detach emotionally from snow better than in the past, lol.

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The Euro is so cold it's certainly possible that this is more than a 10:1 kind of snow too. 

 

Mike was saying the CAR algorithm was showing 15-20:1 up there and out toward me as well.  The arithmetic is awe-inspiring if that were to play.  Hopefully we'll keep out dendrite intacts with less wind up here to help on totals.  (yes, I'm weenieing myself).

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It looks like the Blizzard of '78 on the Euro in terms of many of the synoptic features/placement of the storm...slows down/stalls right near the BM and does the little loop and drifts almost ESE from there...and looks to have that mega area of forcing from LI right up through the I-95 corridor between RI/MA.

The only difference is this extends further north than that storm did with the good stuff.

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We are fine, Looks like close to 1.50" for some of us on my weenie SV maps

So a big storm but nothing historic for Maine. Definitely excited, but it's amazing how the truly big ones seem to target SNE over NNE.

 

(just getting my jackpot envy post out of the way)

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Some numbers for the SWCT crew, read em' and weep

 

KHPN 2.49" all snow

KBDR 2.84" all snow

KDXR 2.44" all snow

 

Congrats

if those are even close to correct the totals will be astounding - potential exists for better than 10:1 ratios considering most models have temps at h7 around -10 to -12

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The snow doesn't really start until the afternoon. They could do a lunchtime release.

 

But it's lawyers, not mets, who make these decisions, so they'll probably just close.

 

There is a long fetch onshore of fresh polar/arctic hybrid air, and it will likely bring some OES into the shore and probably some of the interior; this, prior to the main event - perhaps by dawn tomorrow.  That snow being in the air combined with the forecast and warnings et al, really should be enough to get people to their destinations and done with road travel before say.... 3-5pm S to N alone the Mass Pike.  After that, thinking is snow comes in like a wall, and that the wind may pulse rather abruptly upward in velocity almost concurrent with main synoptic snow shield.  Could see OES occasional 1.25 to 2.5 vis snow flurry activity get abruptly more uniform and 1/2 mile or less, with blowing snow very quickly toward dark from S to N.  By 00z tomorrow night all hell is breaking lose.  

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It looks like the Blizzard of '78 on the Euro in terms of many of the synoptic features/placement of the storm...slows down/stalls right near the BM and does the little loop and drifts almost ESE from there...and looks to have that mega area of forcing from LI right up through the I-95 corridor between RI/MA.

The only difference is this extends further north than that storm did with the good stuff.

 

 

Yeah, We were kind of out of 78 for the most part here

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