CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hope the NAM is wrong for Phil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My guess is too amped up...but we'll see. I do think an inside the BM track..in betrween ACK and the BM is possible. How would that bode for us eastern MA dwellers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol it's the NAM. I guess that phrase is reserved for when it shows something we don't like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 How would that bode for us eastern MA dwellers? It has a band..like a low level fronto band similar to Boxing day 2010. I'd rather not have the NAM because when it's that close...stuff like drysloits and meso things can cause good and bad issues regarding snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol it's the NAM. I guess that phrase is reserved for when it shows something we don't like. It may be right, but it's questionable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Cut the NAM in half and we're good. I'd take 15 inches with wind and run any day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Well i cant see pluses , I see 3" color shading so yeah 3 + if you want to argue, Does it really matter though? not at this time, 24+ plus for me our bust.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It may be right, but it's questionable. Offhand, do you know what model handles extreme southern energy with best inside 36 hours? I know Will mentioned non-hydrostatic modeling last night..figured I'd ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 snow drifts are going to be massive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Jackpot snows on NAM look to be from about upper valley of NH/VT down throw the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Save a horse ride the EUro. It's the Euros fight all the rest are preliminary matches. Some good fights though, lol NAM would shut down NYC to Portland. Some 5 inch lollies in there , some interior clown maps will approach 50 inches. Even taken Dryslots 1/3 reduction we are talking 3 feet totals in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You guys will kill me but 12 Z NAM equal 1717 You mean this? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Snow_of_1717 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Qpf on the nam for Boston? In class so I cant check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 My guess is too amped up...but we'll see. I do think an inside the BM track..in betrween ACK and the BM is possible. It would be on these more amped up solutions, Before the GFS comes out , A euro track between the goal post of the Nam ann GFS would be plausible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It may be right, but it's questionable. Said it on the other thread. Euro doesn't seem like its going to be bad by 18z. Nam did well with the northern extent of heavy precip. It's either taking the lead because it figured that out first or busting for the same reason (the cascades that occur when models try to develop lows around convection etc) Good luck to the forecasters trying to figure it out for the next few hours...yikes! Bloomberg can't catch a break...little lighter snow or 1888? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It may be right, but it's questionable. Its prob too amped up...we usually get a few ridiculous NAM runs. It doesn't seem to make much difference for BOS/ORH on these solutions...still ridiculous amoutns of snow, but further southwest its a bigger deal and also on the Cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Qpf on the nam for Boston? In class so I cant check. Just under 3". Dam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Jackpot snows on NAM look to be from about upper valley of NH/VT down throw the Berks. as well as SW Connecticut. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Very nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Offhand, do you know what model handles extreme southern energy with best inside 36 hours? I know Will mentioned non-hydrostatic modeling last night..figured I'd ask. He's right, but as we both said...it seems too amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I will say this....a day ago some models came in with unreal solutions, then backed away a bit. Now they may be coming back...I've seen this happen many times. It all started with the Euro signal days and days ago. I am thinking someone approaches 4 feet...it might be in the high qpf zone over sne or it might be way far north and west in the wildcard deformation. But I think this is historic and bigger than 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hi everyone - I live down in Hingham. Really excited to finally dust off the snowblower and get some snow. Do you think we'll have to contend with a lot of rain/mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Think of it this way. It's been dry for a long while on average and particularly the last several weeks. The atmosphere is juiced. Mother Nature is constipated and is about to have a large bowel movement finally into this cold dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just under 3". Dam. Crazy. If we get gfs and euro with qpf like that think the forecasts will go from 1-2 feet to 2-3? Lol that would be fun to see on air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Offhand, do you know what model handles extreme southern energy with best inside 36 hours? I know Will mentioned non-hydrostatic modeling last night..figured I'd ask. Late night disco last night was the non hydro models i believe and i may be wrong handle these types of convective s/w's better ala Nam/Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Think of it this way. It's been dry for a long while on average and particularly the last several weeks. The atmosphere is juiced. Mother Nature is constipated and is about to have a large bowel movement finally into this cold dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Don't wish this too close, because there also will be a meso subsidence band over a certain poster in NE CT. Like I said..probably too amped, but it would not shock me for something inside the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 There's a pretty good period of a pellet-fest in SW CT on the 12z NAM before it goes over to obscenely heavy snow for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 4km nam. Lol. Rots the lot between Chatham and ack. Didn't we hear these are the models to go with in this situation? Nam= non hydrostatic? Euro hasn't moved a few miles in 3 runs. what a brutal news cycle potentially for forecasters down the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Don't wish this too close, because there also will be a meso subsidence band over a certain poster in NE CT. Like I said..probably too amped, but it would not shock me for something inside the BM Take a look at the 4 knm Nam's qpf.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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