ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 nam is a BECS just wow!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 looks like it sits and rots over ack, Big time hit for many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 i don't know getting close to its wheelhouse right? 24hr out if it can't get it right wtf.. I asked in the middle of the night what was to stop this from wrapping up (to typhoon and others) Nam was by far best this morning. IMHO. Doesn't absolutely mean anything but the 4km easier runs ran it over the cape and now this one does the same. Or does everyone toss for the consistency of the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Mother of god. Did LL hack the NAM? 50"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The thing that may save us some is that it made a west shift as long as it still gains some lat Looks so close to up here ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The thing that may save us some is that it made a west shift as long as it still gains some lat god damn. Goes over ACK! If that happens, everyone is happy but the Cape...but they get plastered later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 on the verge of 4 inches qpf here still snowing Ludicrous! Can you imagine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Snows around 5-7"per hour for a little while in W CT lol. Obviously something is up wtih this run, or is it seeing just how strong the S stream really is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM may be too amped up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Its a lot more reasonable for most on qpf as well 2-2.5"over a wide area, With some isolated 3" totals in SE mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This can't possibly be real........just can't but damn fun to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Looks so close to up here ... we get killed at 45-51. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM may be too amped up Yeah that's ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM is about as perfect as a snowstorm gets. Crushing for most of NE. I think blizzard warnings will be needed for southern ME if this continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I asked in the middle of the night what was to stop this from wrapping up (to typhoon and others)Nam was by far best this morning. IMHO. Doesn't absolutely mean anything but the 4km easier runs ran it over the cape and now this one does the same. Or does everyone toss for the consistency of the euro? Yeah I'm still on board with the EURO, but as we get closer NAM can't be discounted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I said it two hours ago but it got buried in the thread. Nam was by far the best IMO at 12z. The other models totky missed the heavy nature of precip just south of KDGX. Now take a look at the 48hr nam qpf. That shunt north is the mechanism the nam uses to pummel so far west. It develops the low closer to that qpf max. Is it real? Well let someone else decide. All I've heard for days is ride the euro, but the nam IMO was better this morning. Maybe it's gone too far I don't know someone else can figure that out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM may be too amped up It looks like that, but it initialized with the southern stream even weaker than it currently is lol. Maybe it's not that wrong. That SE Sector radar is just mind blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Let's get that GFS back in the fold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Its a lot more reasonable for most on qpf as well 2-2.5"over a wide area, With some isolated 3" totals in SE mass really? it still has some 3"+ totals in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is Nothing like the Widespread 4.0-6.0 12z run of yesterday. But it's Certainly turned into ANOTHER CT and NYC storm if it verified. Not wide widespread 3.0 either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I said it two hours ago but it got buried in the thread. Nam was by far the best IMO at 12z. The other models totky missed the heavy nature of precip just south of KDGX. Now take a look at the 48hr nam qpf. That shunt north is the mechanism the nam uses to pummel so far west. It develops the low closer to that qpf max. Is it real? Well let someone else decide. All I've heard for days is ride the euro, but the nam IMO was better this morning. Maybe it's gone too far I don't know someone else can figure that out. Yes ride the euro up until now because it had the best idea unlike the NAM. This is a new data set and the NAM is first out, so naturally it may have a better handle short term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This seems like the most egalitarian depiction so far. Spreads the wealth over largest area from NJ through almost all of New England. Hard to get much more phantasmagorical than this!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 and it's still snowing in some spots in E MA/Cape/DE Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It looks like that, but it initialized with the southern stream even weaker than it currently is lol. Maybe it's not that wrong. That SE Sector radar is just mind blowing. LOL, how do you know? Someone can fart and set off gulf convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM has about a 12 hour stall/loop just SE or over ACK. Not convinced it goes that far NW though. Now gives the heaviest QPF to NYC as opposed to E MA. likely due to phasing a bit South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It's the nam weenies. Easy. Prob too juiced up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You guys will kill me but 12 Z NAM equal 1717 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Seen this play out before within 24-36 hours, NAM QPF trends back by 50% and GFS comes north about 50-75 miles. Isn't that exactly what the Euro is depicting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 really? it still has some 3"+ totals in there. Well i cant see pluses , I see 3" color shading so yeah 3 + if you want to argue, Does it really matter though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My guess is too amped up...but we'll see. I do think an inside the BM track..in betrween ACK and the BM is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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