ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You really have to forecast 2-3 feet for all of Sne. Except maybe far south coast. And even those spots are well over 12 No you don't. There's def some pretty big lingering questions the further SW you head in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 No you don't. There's def some pretty big lingering questions the further SW you head in this one.Imo its irresponsible not to.. Sw ct looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GEFS def came west/juicier from 00z....Euro ensembles are sickening. I don't think there is much to worry about for the E MA folks. The place that seems to have a higher bust potential is SW New England Bust? I think everything is in check down here. Are some people expecting crazy numbers? 6-12 seems like a nice starting point, do you think that is to high> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 No you don't. There's def some pretty big lingering questions the further SW you head in this one. That sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I would wait until after the 12z runs are finished but you may be right... You really have to forecast 2-3 feet for all of Sne. Except maybe far south coast. And even those spots are well over 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 You still holding caution flags or are you all in? Snowman I'm in. But anytime you're staring at what is an average or probably 20-35" amounts I think it's wise to keep an open mind particularly as we are still just in the formative stages for this system. The differences between the euro/ nam and others all occurred right now. Lots of convection, ironically NAM may have done the best job with the northern extent of heavier precip. Ineedsnow yeah I'd agree on the super high totals post 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bust? I think everything is in check down here. Are some people expecting crazy numbers? 6-12 seems like a nice starting point, do you think that is to high> Bust doesn't have to mean lower than forecast...it could end up being higher than that down there. But I think 6-12 is a good starting point in SW CT. Kevin thinks everyone should be forecasting 2-3 feet, lol. I wouldn't even forecast that for Boston right now...where it looks the most favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just checked both local stations wtnh is 5-10 here, nbc 30 10-15.............I like the middle ground 6-12 can ramp up or cut back as the storm evolves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 were fine here nothing to worry about sw ct to nyc may have trouble reach huge numbers but still atleast 12 looks likely there That sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GEFS def came west/juicier from 00z....Euro ensembles are sickening. I don't think there is much to worry about for the E MA folks. The place that seems to have a higher bust potential is SW New England Hasn't that been the possibility all along with this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lordy, Lord......good luck to Jerry and the crew up there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Hasn't that been the possibility all along with this one? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 were fine here nothing to worry about sw ct to nyc may have trouble reach huge numbers but still atleast 12 looks likely there Hope your right. I am looking for an epic storm here. we haven't had squat lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bust doesn't have to mean lower than forecast...it could end up being higher than that down there. But I think 6-12 is a good starting point in SW CT. Kevin thinks everyone should be forecasting 2-3 feet, lol. I wouldn't even forecast that for Boston right now...where it looks the most favorable. Bos will do great but they don't ever jack in these . I think they will see 24 plus but that won't be the highest amount Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I don't think we're getting 18 on the shore. NWS has snow to snow/rain mix here tomorrow with any accumulation only around an inch which means zero on roads with highs in the mid-30s. Then tomorrow night any rain changes to snow for good, so I would think 8-12 or 10-14 will do it for coastal lower Fairfield county. Not going to be that bad down this way. Depending on how much of a northerly vs. easterly fetch there is to the wind, the coastal flooding and winds may be the bigger deal. Plus with the sun and upper-30s Sunday a lot of melting will occur especially for the roads. According to NYC forum GFS and EURO are all snow or very close to it.? NWS last updated at 3 ish so they were working off the 0z GFS, which is not nearly as good as 6z. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bos will do great but they don't ever jack in these . I think they will see 24 plus but that won't be the highest amount LOL. What specific city ever always jackpots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bch2014 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bos will do great but they don't ever jack in these . I think they will see 24 plus but that won't be the highest amount What does the KFS have as the jackpot area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What does the KFS have as the jackpot area? Prob somewhere close to Tolland I imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 LOL. What specific city ever always jackpots?Orh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Bust? I think everything is in check down here. Are some people expecting crazy numbers? 6-12 seems like a nice starting point, do you think that is to high> 6-12" seems reasonable for now, but if the 12z GFS stays at 6z or ticks towards the EURO, both of which were all snow, I wouldn't be suprised to see those numbers go up. Upton talking about potential blizzard warnings all the way back to NYC... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Ginxy>Grandpa>Cweat and pHil^scooter and ray<Will hunch mpm and Kev to the south.............that should be the squeeze box. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukon Cornelius Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If someone has time...How are deformation bands forecast? Specifically, how early prior to one setting up can you actually forecast where and if it will happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I actually think the Berks are going to be the jack. 35-40 inch amounts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 6F this morning in Augusta Maine with sunshine..The calm before the Beast...... The fun begins tomorrow afternoon.... http://northeastweathereye.com Augusta Maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just checked both local stations wtnh is 5-10 here, nbc 30 10-15.............I like the middle ground 6-12 can ramp up or cut back as the storm evolves. News12 is 6-10 in the I-95 corridor as far north as Milford, and a good bit of the state lives in that corridor, so there may be a fairly significant portion of the state that doesn't even reach a foot. Personally I think that's a little underdone, but I wouldn't go much higher than 8-12 or 10-14 tops. By the time the changeover happens tomorrow night, we're probably too far west to get into the good stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 6-12" seems reasonable for now, but if the 12z GFS stays at 6z or ticks towards the EURO, both of which were all snow, I wouldn't be suprised to see those numbers go up. Upton talking about potential blizzard warnings all the way back to NYC... -skisheep Sure, the euro looked great no doubt about it, Will is just outlining the area that could bust compared to what models are spitting out. 6-12 is a nice starting point everything else is gravy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 LOL. What specific city ever always jackpots? Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 LOL. What specific city ever always jackpots? However, I think we look great up here actually... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 How does Marlborough, MA usually fair in winter storms such as these? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Orh Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.