Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For those wanting to see the UKMET while we wait for the Euro. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&hh=036 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ksstormhunter Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Just ran my trendcast output for the Boston area. Here is what I got, Snow beginning around 08/18Z, with the heaviest starting at 00Z through 12Z, seeing snowfall rates of up to 2.0" per hour around the 09/05Z time frame. In addition, winds gusting 40-45KTS from 09/07Z to 09/18Z. Predicted model snow accumulation around 22 to 24.2" for storm total in the Boston area. Here is the output: http://smartwxmodel.net/51.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For those wanting to see the UKMET while we wait for the Euro. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&hh=036 awesome 40/67? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For those wanting to see the UKMET while we wait for the Euro. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&hh=036 Looks like all 00z global models have trended east so far tonight... Euro probably will too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah, the confluence N of the system forced it to roll into itself, transforming an open wave into a closed one, but when that happens, there is a lot of momentum that has to be conserved, so when it curls in it gets exotic. Yeah, good point. It was very impressive to watch the emerging head form...the warm conveyor belt cloud field which formed it was nearly normal to the flat jet streak left exit. I wish I had a loop of it...it was fascinating to watch develop. Anyways, enough of my irrelevant storm talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For those wanting to see the UKMET while we wait for the Euro. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&hh=036 36 hour ..eh. Most have seen it in earlier posts though - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Man, I'm barely going to be able to stay up for the Euro. I'd expect it to at least tame the qpf a bit. It was still showing 3" of qpf for BOS at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 awesome 40/67? UKMET was always on the east side of the spectrum. It seems a bit too flat to me for sure, but who knows. Looks like all 00z global models have trended east so far tonight... Euro probably will too? NOGAPs came west, does that count? It's come towards the consensus of a good hit. Who knows on the Euro, as someone said elsewhere it will be interesting to see if the models at 0z followed what the Euro did earlier today and that's the "east" move we saw, or if the Euro is going to continue to adjust east. It's been the leader all along with this system. My hunch is it's east (somewhat delayed hook) but at 36-48 hours out, not sure it matters anyway. The UKMET really doesn't hook much at all any longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the southern stream distrubance seems to be further SE of mid Nc coast (instead of on mid coast coast) on 0z products. are there any changes on the stuff phil8822 (may be spell'd wrong but he's a met) posted yesterday regarding something that help'd the southern stream disturbance gain latitude better? i think he referred to something tropical. vague i know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For those wanting to see the UKMET while we wait for the Euro. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&hh=036 Almost looks like a complete miss at 48, but 60hr looked surprisingly good. Interesting solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 who is doing the EURO play by play.. I'm half awake.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NYC thread always does it, sometimes here it's delayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah, good point. It was very impressive to watch the emerging head form...the warm conveyor belt cloud field which formed it was nearly normal to the flat jet streak left exit. I wish I had a loop of it...it was fascinating to watch develop. Anyways, enough of my irrelevant storm talk. On the contrary... Yes I realize the storm at hand is paramount but it all applies really. Also, I am drawn to AK. Not sure why. I like to click on AK via NWS gov, and just see their AFDs and balance them against the various sat channels. There is so much fascinating meteorology up there. I love it. To give you an idea of just how dorky I am, I actually go to Barrow's web cams and enjoy the autumn sea ice advances. Not sure why but maybe its the solitude. Something is peaceful and pure, and pure natural about that. Most importantly, some of the most powerful storms on the planet are tapped into GOA. Can you imagine one of those 50 Mi SE of ISP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 i'm on way as a precaution to the tobin (about 5 min away) in preperation for euro run to play out. i feel qpf will be crushed, just a hunch. this is the biggest euro run in a very long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Too tired for PBP, but through 18-24 the Euro is notably faster in the southern stream. It's hard to tell up north I can't see 500mb...hopefully it's digging well or the southern stream sneaking out faster may be indicative of more movement the other way. Last run 36hr, low was in the west central part of the Panhandle. This run roughly SE GA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 nyc thread promet says southern stream more vorticity and stronger at 18 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z I think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 nyc thread promet says southern stream more vorticity and stronger at 18 hr Its way stronger at 30h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z agree looks a little faster, west, and wetter.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z That would be soooooo awesome and relieving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 wow way stronger and west at 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z looks like what it did in speed in the southern stream it made up for in the north. Unlike the GFS which was more positively tilted in the north. By 30-36 its' def west of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Early in the run, but this actually looks like its coming west of 12z yes please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 wow way stronger and west at 36 lol, its funny hearing its wetter/stronger when 12z had 3" qpf for some areas. Pure porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 euro is going to have some nutty qpf amounts again it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah this is easily west of 12z by 42h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 stupid American models lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 stupid American models lol garbage in, garbage out. But if the euro is really stronger/west AGAIN, I'm all in. First call for back home 16-24". Might be low in all honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah this is easily west of 12z by 42h. stupid American models lol lol, Euro has let the way the entire time, and has been so consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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