Chrisrotary12 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 did it go east? Which part of huge blizzard did you miss? Everyone freaking out cuz the models shift a bit to the east. Models still dropping over a foot of snow!!!!! We live in a world of extremes it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 did it go east? East of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The euro has been steady as she goes for the most part...no major flip flops up here. As long as the 00z looks reasonable probably just go with that.Save a horse ride the Euro. QPF distribution consistency, surface features, upper levels, for 8 runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 there were enough model cycles to make box okx and alb all rather bullish and they tend to generally be conservative. i tend to be very skeptical, esp living here in spfd but i did start to think a foot to a foot in a half of snow was a decent shot. i never bought anything over 20 inches, heck the 78 storm couldnt get that done here and look what a monster that was with a track closer than what is being advertised here the only storm i know of to clobber this area was the 1888 storm which is prob a one in five hundred year event. I think anyone W of the Ct River needs to be reasonable and accept that this storm, in terms of historic potential has the best odds inside of Rt - 495. The Ct River Valley should do just fine with 12"+ totals. Don't despair if the NAM or any other model is showing a "Valley Screw Zone". Different set up than the Boxing Day storm. More QPF and better snow growth than that fiasco. Be happy with warning criteria snows and be elated that weenies to the E get smoked. Remeber too that a 50 mile shift W and Springfield and Hartford get crushed. I'm planning on 15"+ in Greenfield which will eclipse the Oct 2011 total imby. If it's less it won't be much less and I'll be thrilled. Damn it's been tough to be traveling today with only 3g internet. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Not asking where, but what would you estimate for a jackpot total for somewhere in SNE? For how much? I dunno 2 feet probably? Maybe a spot 30? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Which part of huge blizzard did you miss? Everyone freaking out cuz the models shift a bit to the east. Models still dropping over a foot of snow!!!!! We live in a world of extremes it seems. Well i am far enough away that a shift effects me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Gulf coast convection!!!. Rainfall in LA-GA is much weaker and further south on all the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Seems to be going from epic to major. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 did it go east? Yeah. At 12z Saturday on the 12z run the 25mm line cut from ORH to TOL. This run from Bos to Fall River roughly. Regionwide 10-60mm west to east. Slightly delayed phase from the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 well...several late nights ahead...and the model will look the same when i check it in the morning. so i'm out. hvy hvy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I think anyone W of the Ct River needs to be reasonable and accept that this storm, in terms of historic potential has the best odds inside of Rt - 495. The Ct River Valley should do just fine with 12"+ totals. Don't despair if the NAM or any other model is showing a "Valley Screw Zone". Different set up than the Boxing Day storm. More QPF and better snow growth than that fiasco. Be happy with warning criteria snows and be elated that weenies to the E get smoked. Remeber too that a 50 mile shift W and Springfield and Hartford get crushed. I'm planning on 15"+ in Greenfield which will eclipse the Oct 2011 total imby. If it's less it won't be much less and I'll be thrilled. Damn it's been tough to be traveling today with only 3g internet. lol How often do we see heavy bands set up in NW CT and Western MA? A lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That always scares me Jeezuz, you'll be fine in your E slope homestead. If this storm ticks 50mi W you and I will be running the snow blower multiple times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 did it go east? http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html bookmark it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'll say 12"Thanks, most important Euro run of your life since you switched from batman underoos to boxer briefs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html bookmark it. thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For how much? I dunno 2 feet probably? Maybe a spot 30? Thanks. I won't hold you to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 people complaining about the complainers...do you honestly believe that after 3 days of projections of 2ft and "historic", once in a few decade storm, people will just come back down easy to 8-12 inches that happen most winters...come on you have to expect some disappointment. I do think a trend east is being played out here...it has been the theme all winter and will be tought to break...this one may phase the closest to us but not quite enough to bring blizzard conditions. The last 3 clippers have blown up into monsters once they left new england...this one will do it as well...but no blocking is a game of roulette. After almost every met in here told people not to expect 2-3 foot totals until we are closer and it still shows it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Seems to be going from epic to major. No reason it should have been epic, right? Unreasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Harvey says solid 12-24. Reasonable forecast. Pete 16-24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 After almost every met in here told people not to expect 2-3 foot totals until we are closer and it still shows it. Even with these slight east trends, still worth drive in your opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Thanks, most important Euro run of your life since you switched from batman underoos to boxer briefs? Nicely done. You should be a teacher. Always give praise before criticism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Seems to be going from epic to major. and all have been warned about that potential for days so hopefully the non-delusional have kept their expectations in check. (I know you have) Still the biggest snow of the season incoming barring and epic model fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Which part of huge blizzard did you miss? Everyone freaking out cuz the models shift a bit to the east. Models still dropping over a foot of snow!!!!! We live in a world of extremes it seems. The underlying conern is not THIS run, it's that it is starting a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I honestly think epic is on the table. Not often do r get that much moisture available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 After almost every met in here told people not to expect 2-3 foot totals until we are closer and it still shows it. you could say it unil you blue in the face...people cannot help themselves when they are presented with so much positive data..even if it seems unimaginable...they will start to believe it. If you never bought into this being historic...good for you...you are better than me:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Even with these slight east trends, still worth drive in your opinion? For Boston? Yeah I'd do it. I mean, it depends what your own threshold is. The models are going to wobble a lot here in the final 48 hours with the convection in the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Even with these slight east trends, still worth drive in your opinion?Go see Ray he needs a man hug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 No reason it should have been epic, right? Unreasonable. It was only epic on a few clown models/maps. I won't be disappointed if I see less that 20', but I would be a bit let down with 7" or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nicely done. You should be a teacher. Always give praise before criticism. Lol he said 12 for us, that's awesome.can not wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GGEM also snows most of Saturday. End result is plenty of water. My guess is euro holds serve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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