Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some people want 30" on every run, lol.send us 1/2 of that.. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 sums it up.. Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi GFS east, RGEM now further west. Nam with 30 inches BOS pvd.. never a dull moment eh? pic.twitter.com/n4TFpfI9 The GGEM at 12z was further west by quite a bit versus tonights 0z RGEM, I'm not sure what he's talking about there. It's really not that close, it's further east. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNM&hh2=054&fixhh=1&hh=060 Even RGEM to RGEM it's further SE from even the 18z. It's 4 for 4 so far on the later phase. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=042&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=042 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some people want 30" on every run, lol. Some people want 30" on every run, lol.Last time I saw this was Jan 11 , yea 8 inches in one hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some people want 30" on every run, lol. Not me. At verification time will work for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 ot but i like the day 7 storm thing too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This post is nonsense ... The 36 hour differences between this run and the 12z's 48 hour are almost meaningless. wow is right. People, we need moderation in here haha. It's almost as though people took a few model cycles and got entitled, spun them selves up - there were enough model cycles to make box okx and alb all rather bullish and they tend to generally be conservative. i tend to be very skeptical, esp living here in spfd but i did start to think a foot to a foot in a half of snow was a decent shot. i never bought anything over 20 inches, heck the 78 storm couldnt get that done here and look what a monster that was with a track closer than what is being advertised here the only storm i know of to clobber this area was the 1888 storm which is prob a one in five hundred year event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Some people want 30" on every run, lol. Not me. At verification time will work for me. I'm good if I see a foot or so. After that, it's all icing on the cake. The fact that some models have been showing 4-5' at times makes people a bit crazy. Just a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS still good .. that's a lot of snow. Good luck with that bit of advice - haha lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Will be interesting to see if the Euro holds. If it holds then we will be fine. i'll start with the 0z GEFS . the gfs is a solid model, and unless there is convective feedback issues, i would hope it is a tick or so west of OP. When do 0z gefs come out, i still think ens are within their useful period (barely) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Figured I'd ask this while were waiting for the EURO, what site should I be on for the models? I still have no idea.. (Sorry if banter) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm good if I see a foot or so. After that, it's all icing on the cake. The fact that some models have been showing 4-5' at times makes people a bit crazy. Just a bit. 1-2 feet is the expectation that NWS has set for much of the region. The 3 foot totals are fun to look at, but we need more evidence to take them seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 There is gonna be a sucker zone somewhere between the old primary and the coastal. Best candidates right now ENY below Albany down to NYC. < 6" in that zone probably. The GGEM at 12z was further west by quite a bit versus tonights 0z RGEM, I'm not sure what he's talking about there. It's really not that close, it's further east. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNM&hh2=054&fixhh=1&hh=060 Even RGEM to RGEM it's further SE from even the 18z. It's 4 for 4 so far on the later phase. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=042&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=042 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 1-2 feet is the expectation that NWS has set for much of the region. The 3 foot totals are fun to look at, but we need more evidence to take them seriously. And 1-2 feet is a high enough bar as it is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GGEM a beast it seems through 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The GGEM at 12z was further west by quite a bit versus tonights 0z RGEM, I'm not sure what he's talking about there. It's really not that close, it's further east. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=gemglb&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=gemglb&stn2=PNM&hh2=054&fixhh=1&hh=060 Even RGEM to RGEM it's further SE from even the 18z. It's 4 for 4 so far on the later phase. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=042&fixhh=1&hh=048 http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=gemreg&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&hh=042 4 for 4? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 And 1-2 feet is a high enough bar as it is! Pretty uncomfortable bar to set at the watch phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 And 1-2 feet is a high enough bar as it is!Nuts to a vise, weenie request me to NECT Modfan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nuts to a vise, weenie request me to NECT Modfan? I'll say 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 There is gonna be a sucker zone somewhere between the old primary and the coastal. Best candidates right now ENY below Albany down to NYC. < 6" in that zone probably. That always scares me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Pretty uncomfortable bar to set at the watch phase. Yeah I'm just not sure (any of us) do the public favors by tight ranges and deterministic forecasts at the "watch" phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The euro has been steady as she goes for the most part...no major flip flops up here. As long as the 00z looks reasonable probably just go with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Yeah I'm just not sure (any of us) do the public favors by tight ranges and deterministic forecasts at the "watch" phase. I agree. At least in discussion with media and EMs today it was all in reference to 6+ and 12+. But within 3 days, whether through the zones, P&C, etc. those totals get out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 4 for 4? RGEM, UKMET, GFS and NAM all phased later this run to one degree or another. I'll take the bet that the Euro will continue to lead. Nice storm, pretty epic pressure drops on all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The euro has been steady as she goes for the most part...no major flip flops up here. As long as the 00z looks reasonable probably just go with that. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GGEM 972 just outside the bm. Huge blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GGEM 972 just outside the bm. Huge blizzard. did it go east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 The euro has been steady as she goes for the most part...no major flip flops up here. As long as the 00z looks reasonable probably just go with that. Stay the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 did it go east? I can't remember nor care unfortunately. I'm in a good spot for the I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 And 1-2 feet is a high enough bar as it is! Not asking where, but what would you estimate for a jackpot total for somewhere in SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GGEm went east, but great hit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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