Max Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm hoping for convective feedback issues in the models tonight because the southern shortwave tonight is really active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:42 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: gfs keeps getting colder Yeah, temp issues falling by the wayside as it shifts east. Euro was the first to signal this at 12z when it jumped east early from the prior run. We'll see what it does. UK gets out in lala land where we risk not getting the tug back at all but it's always been the east outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:41 AM, Swiscaster said: Anyone watching TWC? (I couldn't help myself.) They have had the same accumulation map up all day; has PVD in 3-6" and the Cape in 1-3". Cantore also said the 00Z GFS comes out at midnight... Remember the Discovery channel in the early 90's? Actually did science. Now "realiy" TV. TWC is a goofball distraction, like every other Left wing media outlet. Turn it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:44 AM, MarkO said: GFS definitely east. Hoping it gets pulled back as it closes. People, Rollo ...etc... These are not red flags really. No one has "spiked footballs" this early; the conversation has been primarliy around what the NAM has shown at 00z - I don't think anyone is actually planning on 34" of snow. The 18z NAM wobbled, then came back. Why can't the GFS do the same? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS is downright awful. Wow. northern stream is weak as hell... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 21z SREF did reel in the QPF some, but at the same time there are only two members that show less than 20" of snowfall for PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The trend this evening is not kind for me, expecting the EURO to continue. Still think I verify a warning snow, but probably a low end 6-10" instead of the 12"+ that I was expecting before this GFS. We are about 30 hours out from the start, these were key runs if the snowier trend was to continue, and it looks like at least for me it will not. So, with that, I retire for the evening, and with all you EURO watchers the best of luck. Think snow! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 As "bad" as it was, Boston still gets 18". Hopefully we can trend it back west a bit though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 still a nice hit for Eastern areas, but not as prolific as the NAM or earlier runs, yet some other guidance is still showing 2' of snow, I guess we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:49 AM, OceanStWx said: 21z SREF did reel in the QPF some, but at the same time there are only two members that show less than 20" of snowfall for PWM. Yeah it was a pretty sizable cut back in many areas from 18z. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:37 AM, ctsnowlover said: just saying both GFS and RGEM are all east with a later phase, favors Mass and NH... i'm not sure if they are both out?? i dont think but this is a big concern of mine for tonite, i just don't buy yet that bos is gonna have their 6'th 20+ snowfall in the last 100 years this week. I'm saying this because at this time frame (as in tonite 0z) is a PRIME TIME for models to make a shift East if they are. Were 36-40 hrs out and the storms are both on the playing field and i'm just concerned that all. rant/jump over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Well the GFS is the 8-12 I told Kevin we had a shot of getting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WMASShole1 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:29 AM, codfishsnowman said: Screwed as usual, I'm still thinking a solid 15-20 for the CT river valley On 2/7/2013 at 3:29 AM, codfishsnowman said: and there is that stripe right up the river valley as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 All eastern areas are 1.25-2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:51 AM, cpick79 said: i'm not sure if they are both out?? i dont think but this is a big concern of mine for tonite, i just don't buy yet that bos is gonna have their 6'th 20+ snowfall in the last 100 years this week. I'm saying this because at this time frame (as in tonite 0z) is a PRIME TIME for models to make a shift East if they are. Were 36-40 hrs out and the storms are both on the playing field and i'm just concerned that all. rant/jump over RGEM is out. I don't think it's as far east as the UK and GFS. It looks alright to me to be honest. On 2/7/2013 at 3:51 AM, CT Rain said: Well the GFS is the 8-12 I told Kevin we had a shot of getting lol. Still a very nice hit on every model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the gfs is about 20-30" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 GFS went from 3" to .8" in western CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So nobody even feels there could be convective feedback in the models tonight? Seriously have you not seen the radar down south tonight? This thing looks very convective. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm actually chuckling about this situation.Here we are, some of us with Blizzard Watches over our heads, and the 0z models throw us a curveball. Mets from the NWS to local media give us 1-2 feet of snow to have it cut in half in some cases. And poor BOX is really screwed now with their 18-24" over almost the whole CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:53 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: the gfs is about 20-30" here Jeez some of these posts were making it sound like its a wide right escape and a dusting lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:45 AM, CT Rain said: CT people - I know it's frustrating but try to keep the iMBY posts to a minimum. These threads are flying along and we're trying to keep them clean and readable. It really seems there are those with fingers poised over the negativity button on the keyboard, and really just want to complain as their primary motivation. I mean, people ... if this falls down to a mere 4-8" type deal, given the road we've come this winter, you count your blessings and move on - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 This is the Euros fight all the rest are just preliminary matches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:54 AM, weatherMA said: GFS went from 3" to .8" in western CT 0.2" qpf here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:54 AM, Max said: So nobody even feels there could be convective feedback in the models tonight? Seriously have you not seen the radar down south tonight? This thing looks very convective. Yeah it's a very dynamic system. Convection is going to give the models fits lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I hope I didn't jinx you guys by getting a hotel out here (marlboro MA). When I went to school in Pitt they didn't see a snowstorm of over 6" until I left. Any changes to either branch will create big swings back and forth. It's a delicate situation and going to be a nailbiter until the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:53 AM, Tropopause_Fold said: the gfs is about 20-30" here Looks like all snow right? On 2/7/2013 at 3:54 AM, Max said: So nobody even feels there could be convective feedback in the models tonight? Seriously have you not seen the radar down south tonight? This thing looks very convective. I think all along there's been a convective struggle but that doesn't mean it has to work in our favor either. It's one run of the OP models. The key to me will be the Euro if it delays the phase further then that's probably the train to be on. If it holds the course, great. NCEP guidance has tended to run left of reality on earlier systems this winter...but we'll see/different pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:54 AM, PeabodyFlood said: Jeez some of these posts were making it sound like its a wide right escape and a dusting lol. Well it really did make a huge difference here. Boston still looks to get destroyed though, and I don't think much will prevent that from happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:54 AM, RobbieL241 said: I'm actually chuckling about this situation. Here we are, some of us with Blizzard Watches over our heads, and the 0z models throw us a curveball. Mets from the NWS to local media give us 1-2 feet of snow to have it cut in half in some cases. And poor BOX is really screwed now with their 18-24" over almost the whole CWA. It's one run bro. Chillax lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 On 2/7/2013 at 3:55 AM, ctsnowstorm628 said: 0.2" qpf here. I'm probably going home, but the GFS might not even be worth it. I've seen 8-12" storms before so I'll just enjoy the 5-7" at Plymouth if the GFS is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I disagree with whoever said RGEM is east, it looks real good to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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