Zeus Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 We'll see. What do you see as the starting time here? Are we talking overnight tonight? or more like mid morning? Looks like 10-11am now. But mid afternoon we may have an inch or two down. Evening commute will be awful imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? That's funny...What a nightmare! You're fooked either way. Tell them noon or 1. Then call in sick in the morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 School districts have a potentially tough decision for tomorrow....What's people's thoughts on school closings/early dismissals? I'm guessing they could go full day here, but it obviously depends on when the snow starts/intensity. Assuming something like the EURO, the GFS, or the new NAM verifies, schools will close down here, even if it was going to change to rain Stamford Public Schools is paranoid about snow, they did early dismissal for the 1" that we got a week or so ago... -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? I am in the exact same boat. I've busted before and there's real money riding on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 That's definitely the problem with this hobby. When people actually want you to tell them what's it's going to do. You can't tell them "read more, post less". They don't care about the intricacies of the models. When, where, how much....that's it. Glad it's a hobby and not a profession Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z NAM. HOT DAMN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? You're screwed either way But I would close, it's better to bust than to keep it open and then have people getting stuck/injured in the commute home. Better safe than sorry is important, especially when dealing with the type of conditions that we are dealing with here. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 To keep the other thread clear. Nam had a good handle on the northern rain band. By 18z today the euro will seemingly have a good handle on the situation. Very hard , did the nam just fall into one of those loops because of the northern precip shield? Latent heat release or whatever causing the track to be skewed? Beats me. But what a pita for forecasters to figure out. It's either right because it picked up on the northern extent first, or wrong because of the same reason. Heh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I am hoping for a snow drift the size of my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 HAHAHA my brother who doesn't really even follow weather just sent me a message on facebook and said "It's the NAM though...it's crap". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? The worst case scenario, and I think this happened in the 78 blizzard in CT/MA and it happened here a couple years ago, is when people go to work and get stranded on the way home. There are 2 factors which combine to make this happen. 1. The snow starts earlier than expected and comes down in a quick burst. 2. Everyone who was going to leave work a little later per the forecast races out all at once. So now you have a rush hour in a snowstorm. Lesser factor is that when your have a storm that starts later in the day, you have many drivers who would never venture voluntarily out in a storm go to work and are all of a sudden are out there with little confidence/experience. (More of a factor here, but still somewhat of a factor there). If I were in your "no-win" shoes, I would suggest a range of closing to be finalized tomorrow. i.e. noon-3. If anyone is set up to telecommute, they should be urged to choose to do that as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El Kabong Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I don't mean to intrude on your thread since I'm only about 1,000 miles south of your area, but I have to say that it's absolutely awesome to see the enthusiasm of you guys as you prepare to see almost as much snow in one storm as I've seen in my whole life! Those of us in the SE will sit back and watch (with just a hint of envy) as the real-time obs start rolling in tomorrow evening. Looking forward to hanging out in your forum over the next 2 days. Hope the anticipated totals work out for all of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The use of three letters NAM in any context should be deleted. I think the banter thread has better input then the moderated pinned. Cut the QPF in half as depicted, add .50 for the loop to which will occur. Presto chango we get 2-2.3" of 15:1 is loli's to 3' This place goes nuts! Brett, Do not cancel or early dismiss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? Everything is shifted up a couple hours here, but I was asked the same thing by the UMass EM and advocated for opening and then early dismissal. UMass may be closed by the governors office however which would make it a moot point. As usual, a lot more pressure in the private sector. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 El Kabong glad you enjoy and dropped by. Rgem is coming north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Everything is shifted up a couple hours here, but I was asked the same thing by the UMass EM and advocated for opening and then early dismissal. UMass may be closed by the governors office however which would make it a moot point. As usual, a lot more pressure in the private sector. Yeah. I'm gonna start off by reminding them that I have zero formal education on the subject and that in the event of a decision being viewed as poor on their part, I shall be held harmless. Can I have an orange tag for the day? To counteract the negative effects of the stress? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Lol I hope this monster qpf gets shown on the less deranged models, just so I can see on the news, "so about the totals we had on the map earlier... Add about a foot to it." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 El Kabong glad you enjoy and dropped by. Rgem is coming north too. like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 4km NAM is a crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Brent, snow day, just tell them it starts tomorrow early AM with OES. Seriously,I would Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 like tough call. Euro consistency or new model run non hydro stuff etc? Brutal calls for down the coast but my guess is we are seeing close to the final outcome in these two runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 jay did you find a way back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineMan Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? I got caught once in this situation for my employer a couple of years ago. No met background, just a solid interest in met and forecasting, with an understanding of models and inputs, other considerations. The easiest option, if available, is to encourage EVERYONE capable of telecommuting to do so. Go ahead and postpone any important meetings until next week. Set the office up so that it's easy for them to pull the trigger to close when the conditions are just preliminary to hazardous. The early morning timing is everything. Cancel if you've got snow on the ground upon wake up--it's only getting worse. Otherwise, cancel and send everyone home once a dusting is on the ground. My 0.02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 jay did you find a way back? Waiting for word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 So. I need some help. Apparently this ****ing hobby has gone and ****ed me over. My CFO just dropped by. Usually he asks my thoughts, and I tell him, and somehow he's come to rely more on my information than on TV mets etc. Today, he told me he's scheduled me for a 3 PM meeting with our entire VP suite. To present on the weather. They're gonna want information by which to make a decision on closing the office or not tomorrow. As much as I'd like to get all doom and gloom on them and get myself the day off, being correct is more important to me. I don't think things get serious until afternoon. But my real dilemma is when does the heavier stuff come in and start mucking up traffic. I'm thinking we can get the workday in before that, possibly with an early release around 3 or 3:30 to beat the rush and the heavier stuff. Can I get some input on that? Maybe tell them when it comes down hard, it will be too late to close early, and that will be sometime tomorrow afternoon, and nobody knows precisely when that will be. There's a good chance there will be a few light inches before tomorrow afternoon, and that could make it even worse when the heavy stuff happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Waiting for word I will donate money if I have to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Brent, snow day, just tell them it starts tomorrow early AM with OES. Seriously,I wouldAgreed.Monday is another day... 'cept in '78 when it was a week...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Tough call on what to tell your employer. Its going to be snowing almost all day tomorrow, but the really heavy stuff will probably not come in until between 3-6pm. The best idea is probably just to not even bother with work tomorrow if at all possible. An early dismissal will prob invite getting a lot of people stuck in a traffic nightmare as I imagine other companies/schools/etc will probably try to get in a half day and have people leaving early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.